Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (5-8) and New York Yankees (5-7) open a three-game series at Yankee Stadium Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Rays 2-1

Tampa Bay enters on a 3-game losing skid. The Rays fell 6-4 in 10 innings to the visiting Texas Rangers Thursday, wrapping up a 3-4 homestand, which started with taking two of three from the Yankees.

New York, which just lost two of three at the Toronto Blue Jays in Dunedin, Fla., enters on a 2-game skid. The Yankees had Thursday off.

RHP Michael Wacha is projected to start for the Rays. He is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 and 5.0 BB/9 in 1 start and 1 relief appearance this season.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 5 K vs. Yankees Sunday in relief. Entered with a 2-0 lead to start the top of the 3rd inning and left after the 6th with the Rays in front 4-3 – they would eventually lose 8-4 in 10 innings
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 5.85 ERA (20 IP, 13 ER) in 3 starts and Sunday’s relief outing

RHP Nick Nelson is expected to make his first career start for the Yankees, taking the mound in an opener role. He has appeared in three games out of the bullpen this season, yielding 5 runs (4 earned) over 4 innings while striking out 8 and walking 1. He’ll be followed by RHP Michael King, who was impressive in his one outing this season as he allowed just 1 hit and 1 walk with 3 K’s in 6 scoreless innings of long relief vs. Toronto April 4.

  • Nelson career vs. Rays (regular season): 0-0, 5.87 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 5 ER), including 4 ER in 1 2/3 IP this season
  • King career vs. Rays (regular season): 0-1, 7.36 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1 H, 5 BB in 1 start last season, a 5-3 road loss
  • King 2021 spring training: 2-1, 6.61 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 12 ER) in 7 games, including 3 starts

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Rays at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rays +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Rays 6, Yankees 5

Money line (ML)

TAMPA BAY (+135) is the value play. The Rays are 10-3 in their last 13 regular-season meetings with the Yankees, going 8-2 last season and 2-1 so far this year. Tampa Bay also beat New York 3-2 in the best-of-5 ALDS in 2020.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. Neither team can be trusted. Tampa Bay has been awful against the spread to start the season, while the Yankees are 5-7 ATS.

ATS records: Rays 3-10 | Yankees 5-7

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 9 (-120) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager – with this pitching matchup. Plus, the Rays bullpen ranks 28th in the majors with a 5.70 ERA.

O/U records: Rays 9-4 | Yankees 4-8

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JOHNNY RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 16-15 6-3 +2.74
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 119-100-1 55-44 +16.29
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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