The Milwaukee Brewers (58-50) host the Tampa Bay Rays (58-50) Tuesday for the 1st game of their interleague back-to-back. First pitch at American Family Field is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Tampa is 5-5 straight up (SU) in the last 10 games, but has won 4 of the last 5, including 3 of 4 games at the Detroit Tigers last weekend.
Milwaukee has dropped 6 of the last 7 games and has fallen to 2nd-place in the NL Central behind the St. Louis Cardinals.
Season series: Milwaukee leads 2-0 and won both games by a 5-3 score
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Rays at Brewers projected starters
RHP Jimmy Yacabonis vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Tampa hasn’t officially announced its starter yet but Yacabonis is projected to make his 1st start of the season.
- Yacabonis is 1-1 with a 9.00 ERA (10 IP, 10 ER), 15 H, 5 BB and 17 K mostly for the Miami Marlins
- This is Yacabonis’s 2nd appearance for the Rays since being claimed off waivers Aug. 4
- Tuesday will most likely be a bullpen day for Tampa with Yacabonis serving as the “opener”
Peralta is 3-2 with a 4.46 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 42 1/3 IP across 9 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in Milwaukee’s 8-7 loss Aug. 3 at the Pittsburgh Pirates with 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 3 K
- This is Peralta’s 2nd start since returning from an IL stint due to a strain in his throwing arm
Rays at Brewers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:07 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Rays +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Brewers -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-155) | Brewers -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Rays at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 5, Brewers 4
Money line
LEAN RAYS (+135) only because Tampa’s RL is a better look and 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 losses since Aug. 2 were against the terrible Cincinnati Reds and Pirates.
But, Peralta has struggled at home this season and the Rays have the 2nd-best record in interleague play since the beginning of 2020.
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Run line/Against the spread
BET a HALF-UNIT on the RAYS +1.5 (-155) because they are 14-8 RL as road underdogs while the Brewers -1.5 (+125) are just 19-30 RL at home.
Also, there’s been sharp line movement headed in Tampa’s direction. The public is split in the RL market but more than 90% of the cash is on the RAYS +1.5 (-155), according to Pregame.com. Oddsmakers have reacted by raising Tampa’s RL from the -145 opener. Let’s follow the money.
Over/Under
PASS.
The O/U trends and betting splits don’t provide a clue and both lineups and bullpens are mediocre. Peralta is having an off-year but has nasty stuff and isn’t a pitcher I’m ready to fade.
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