The Tampa Bay Rays (2-0) and Miami Marlins (0-2) play the final game of a three-game set Saturday at 6:10 p.m. ET at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Rich Hill is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He was 2-2 with a 3.03 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9 in 38 2/3 IP over eight starts in 2020. Hill was solid in his two starts on the road in 2020, going 0-1 with a 1.50 ERA and .171 opponent batting average across 12 innings.
RHP Elieser Hernandez is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He was 1-0 with a 3.16 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 11.9 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 in 25 2/3 IP over six starts in 2020. Hernandez was sharp in two home assignments in 2020, allowing just one earned run, five hits and one walk with 11 strikeouts across seven innings with no homers allowed.
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Rays at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:32 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rays -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Marlins +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rays -1.5 (+125) | Marlins +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: +105)
Prediction
Rays 3, Marlins 2
Money line (ML)
The RAYS (-130) are a nice value behind the veteran Hill as they look to go a perfect 3-for-3 on the road against the Marlins to open the season.
Tampa Bay has won 19 of its past 26 trips to Miami, and it’s 35-16 in the previous 51 meetings overall against its Sunshine State rivals. Keep fading the Marlins until they start ticking off wins against the Rays.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The MARLINS +1.5 (-155) dropped the opener 1-0 and fell by a 6-4 score in the second outing. They have been getting great pitching so far. It’s just the offense hasn’t been able to start fast. Look for Miami to be able to keep it close again.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 7.5 (+105) is the lean here. The Under cashed in the opener, while the Over cashed Friday as the bullpens folded after another well-pitched game early.
In fact, bet the UNDER 4 (+100) on the 1ST 5 INNINGS line for a good wager. We have had zero total runs in each of the first two games in the first five innings in this series.
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