The Tampa Bay Rays (55-49) head to Comerica Park Thursday to start a 4-game series with the Detroit Tigers (42-54) at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tampa leads 2-1 and has outscored Detroit by 11 runs in the 3 games.
Tampa split a back-to-back at home vs. the Toronto Blue Jays with a 3-2 win Wednesday, but the Rays are just 3-7 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.
Detroit lost 2 consecutive road series at the Blue Jays and Minnesota Twins after taking 2 of 3 games at home vs. the San Diego Padres. The Tigers are just 4-6 SU in the last 10 games.
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Rays at Tigers projected starters
LHP Jeffrey Springs vs. RHP Drew Hutchinson
Springs is 3-3 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 73 1/3 IP over 13 starts and 8 relief appearances.
- Last start: Lost 4-1 Friday at home vs. the Cleveland Guardians with 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 5 K.
- 2022 road splits: 2-1 with a 3.11 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 5 HR and 9.6 K/9 in 7 starts and 3 bullpen outings.
Hutchinson is 1-4 with a 4.53 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 49 2/3 IP across 7 starts and 10 relief appearances.
- Last start: No-decision in Detroit’s 5-3 loss at the Blue Jays Saturday with 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 3 K.
- 2022 home splits: 1-3 with a 4.78 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 2 HR and 4.8 K/9 in 4 starts and 6 bullpen outings.
Rays at Tigers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:41 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Rays -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (-110) | Tigers -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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Rays at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Tigers 4, Rays 3
Money line
BET a HALF-UNIT on the TIGERS (+155) because this is a more profitable spot for them than the Rays (-190).
Detroit is 4-3 SU as home underdogs vs. left-handed starters with a plus-30.7% return on investment (ROI) and an average final score of 5.71-4.29.
Tampa is 2-6 SU as road favorites of -150 or greater vs. right-handed starters with a minus-59.6% ROI and an average final deficit of 4.25-4.12.
Also, it’s a good spot to fade the Rays who are getting a majority of the action from the betting market but haven’t been winning games lately.
Save a half-unit for Detroit’s RL but spend another half-unit on the TIGERS (+155).
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Run line/Against the spread
BET a HALF-UNIT on the TIGERS +1.5 (-110) because the Rays -1.5 (-110) are 1-7 RL as road favorites of -150 or greater vs. righties with a minus-75.0% ROI and 9-19 RL as road favorites.
Also, Detroit’s bullpen has a better WAR, ERA, WHIP FIP and home runs allowed per 9 innings than Tampa’s, according to FanGraphs.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-120) because a vast majority of the money is on the Over 8.5 (-105) according to Pregame.com yet the Under is suspiciously cheaper.
Furthermore, Detroit’s lineup is one of the worst in MLB and the Tigers are 32-49-2 O/U as underdogs. Tampa’s lineup has been struggling recently as well only scoring more than 3 runs twice in the last 10 outings.
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