Tampa Bay Rays at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (45-38) and Cincinnati Reds (30-54) meet Sunday for the finale of their 3-game interleague series at Great American Ball Park. First pitch slated for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cincinnati leads 2-0.

Tampa Bay was 5-1 with an .867 OPS in the 6 games before arriving on the north bank of the Ohio River, But the Rays have lost the 1st 2 games of this series each in 10 innings, 2-1 Friday and 5-4 Saturday.

The Reds are now 10-10 this season in 1-run affairs. Four of the club’s last 5 wins have been by a 1-run margin.

Rays at Reds projected starters

RHP Shane Baz vs. LHP Nick Lodolo

Baz (1-1, 2.92 ERA) is tabbed for his 6th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 24 2/3 IP.

  • Rocked for 5 runs in his season debut June 11, but owns a 1.21 ERA since.
  • Logged a 1.68 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 12.8 K/9 in 59 Triple-A innings in 2021-22.

Lodolo (1-2, 4.19 ERA) is making his 5th start. He has a 1.5 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 12.6 K/9 in 19 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed just 1 run in 10 1/3 IP in his last 2 starts at home.
  • The 24-year-old rookie has only pitched 36 2/3 innings above Double-A ball.

Rays at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 1:08 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rays -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Reds +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Run line (RL): Rays -1.5 (+110) | Reds +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Rays at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Rays 4

Money line

Tampa is under-.500 (10-11) against left-handed starters. After back-to-back pitch counts in the mid-90s, peg Baz and the scuffling Rays as being vulnerable in this get-away game.

THE VALUE HERE IS ON CINCINNATI (+122).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS. Cincy +1.5 would be worth a look at -125.

Over/Under

Cincinnati hits much better at home. Tampa had been swinging hot bats heading into this series. Great American Ball Park is a hitter’s yard.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-135).

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