The Baltimore Orioles (16-24) host the Tampa Bay Rays (23-16) Saturday at Camden Yards for the second game of their 3-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Baltimore beat Tampa in the series opener Friday 8-6 with an extra-inning, walk-off, 2-run home run by 2B Rougned Odor in the bottom of the 13th.
The Orioles have won back-to-back games, both with walk-off homers, but are just 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Rays are 5-5 in their last 10 and have won their last two series.
Rays at Orioles projected starters
LHP Jeffrey Springs vs. RHP Kyle Bradish
Springs is 1-1 with a 1.66 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP over 3 starts and 8 relief appearances.
- Last start: No-decision in 3-0 home win vs. the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday with 4 2/3-scoreless IP, 4 H, 0 BB and 2 K.
Bradish is 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 21 1/3 IP across 4 starts.
- Last start: Loss, 6-2 at home vs. the New York Yankees Monday with 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 6 K.
Rays at Orioles odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:49 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Rays -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+120) | Orioles +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Rays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 5, Orioles 2
Money line
BET RAYS (-135).
Springs has nasty stuff and has been one of the best left-handers in the AL thus far. According to Statcast, Springs grades 90th percentile or better in chase rate (99%), expected ERA (95%), expected wOBA (95%) and barrel rate (90%).
Also, Baltimore’s lineup ranks 25th in wRC+ (83), 26th in wOBA (.280) and 27th in BB/K rate (0.28), per FanGraphs.
Bradish grades in the 38th percentile in chase rate, 37th percentile in hard-hit rate, 21st percentile in barrel rate and 8th percentile in exit velocity.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Rays -1.5 (+120) don’t offer a big enough payout considering they are just 5-5 RL as road favorites, while the Orioles are 13-5 RL as home underdogs.
Over/Under
PASS with a “lean” to the Under 8.5 (-125) because Baltimore’s lineup should struggle vs. Springs and the Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 head-to-head meetings.
However, the Over has cashed in 8 of their last 10 meetings in Baltimore, the Rays are 3-0-1 O/U in their last 4 as road favorites and the Orioles are 5-1 O/U in their last 6 games as home underdogs.
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