Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) travel to face an NFC South rival in the New Orleans Saints (2-3) Sunday. Kickoff from the Caesars Superdome is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Buccaneers vs. Saints odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Tampa Bay suffered a 36-30 OT loss at the hands of the Atlanta Falcons on Thursday Night Football Oct. 3. The Buccaneers failed to cover as 2.5-point road underdogs while allowing 550 total yards, including 477 through the air. Tampa Bay has lost 2 of its last 3 games.

New Orleans was bested 26-13 by the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football as a 5-point road underdog. The Saints were outgained 460 yards to 220 and picked up only 14 first downs to Kansas City’s 28. New Orleans has dropped each of its last 3 games.

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Buccaneers at Saints odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Saints +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers -3.5 (-105) | Saints +3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 42 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Buccaneers at Saints key injuries

Buccaneers

  • WR Trey Palmer (concussion) out
  • RB Rachaad White (foot) doubtful
  • Jordan Whitehead (groin) questionable
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. (foot) questionable

Saints

  • QB Derek Carr (oblique) out
  • DB Will Harris (hamstring) out
  • TE Taysom Hill (rib) out
  • LB Pete Werner (hamstring) out

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Buccaneers at Saints picks and predictions

Prediction

Buccaneers 24, Saints 20

Moneyline

PASS.

The Buccaneers will pick up the win here as -185 favorites, especially with QB Spencer Rattler getting the start thanks to a Derek Carr injury, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites.

I recommend passing here and betting he spread and/or O/U instead, but if you are okay with the risk of betting on a -185 favorite, then you can divvy up units between the ML and spread.

Against the spread

LEAN BUCCANEERS -3.5 (-105).

Tampa Bay is the better team and has beaten tougher opponents like Detroit and Philadelphia, so I do expect the Buccaneers to be able to win by at least 4 points against a reeling New Orleans squad.

This is a lean because I do expect this New Orleans offense to look slightly better with Rattler playing and divisional matchups tend to be very close finishes.

Over/Under

BET OVER 42 (-110).

The Over has hit in each of Tampa Bay’s last 2 games and is 3-2 for both squads so far this season.

The Buccaneers showed that their passing defense is exploitable in their last outing, and with Rattler at the helm, the Saints’ offense should be more dynamic in the passing game and be able to push this game to hit the Over.

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