Over or under: 27.5 passing touchdowns
Pick: Over 27.5 passing TDs
This is one area where an increase in attempts may not be super helpful for projecting an over. Garoppolo should have more than the 27 passing touchdowns he had last season, but it’s not an easy call. He threw touchdowns on 5.6 percent of his throws in 2018, and 5.7 percent of his throws in 2019. That indicates he should go over 27.5 with more attempts, but head coach Kyle Shanahan isn’t afraid to stay run-heavy in the red zone behind a good offensive line, tight end George Kittle and fullback Kyle Juszczyk. San Francisco also doesn’t have a proven red zone threat at receiver, which may keep them leaning on the run game down near the end zone. Garoppolo should still go over 27.5 touchdowns, even if it’s only by one or two.