We get a 10-round junior welterweight silver title bout Saturday in a co-main event when Jose Zepeda and Hank Lundy meet at the Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas. The fight set for approximately 10 p.m. ET.
Below, we break down the Zepeda vs. Lundy odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on ESPN/ESPN+.
Zepeda vs. Lundy: Fight odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.
Jose Zepeda -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100) | Henry Lundy +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000) | Draw +2500
Zepeda has an implied win probability of 96.15% with the -2500 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/25 or a decimal of 1.04.
Zepeda vs. Lundy: Tale of the tape
Jose Zepeda (-2500)
Zepeda (33-2, 26 KOs) is looking to stay hot in Vegas. He had a victory on Sept. 14, 2019 against Jose Pedraza at T-Mobile Arena, pre-pandemic, and then he won a pair of fights in The Bubble at MGM Grand over Kendo Castaneda and Ivan Baranchyk.
The win over the latter was by way of knockout in the fifth round, while the wins over Castaneda and Pedraza were unanimous decisions. His last setback was Feb. 10, 2019, a majority decision against Jose Carlos Ramirez.
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Henry Lundy (+1000)
Lundy (31-8, 14 KOs) has managed a very average 2-2 mark across his past four outings, but he has a pair of victories over Robert Franckel and Ezequiel Victor Fernandez at PAL Center in Hockessin, Delaware.
Both of those fights were unanimous decisions, which is great. The 37-year-old is in the twilight of his career, however, fighting a guy like Zepeda is a huge step up, and it isn’t likely to end well.
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Zepeda vs. Lundy: Odds, predictions and picks
Zepeda (-2500) is rather expensive on the 3-way line, and there is never a reason to justify risking $100 for just $4 in winnings.
Instead, look to the method of victory, and roll with ZEPEDA BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (-275), even though that’s still a little more expensive than I prefer usually.
I also like to take a three-round block for individual round betting. Roll with ZEPEDA IN ROUND 5 (+700), ZEPEDA IN ROUND 6 (+900) and ZEPEDA IN ROUND 7 (+1000).
If he wins in Rounds 5 through 7, you’ll still lose two ends. However, if he comes through in one of the three rounds you will be well ahead. And really, that’s the only way to make money in this fight with such a heavy favorite.
If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
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