Tag: Yankees Orioles odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (26-9) and Baltimore Orioles (14-22) clash in the second game of a 4-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 5-2.

The Yankees took Monday’s opener 6-2 and have won 4 straight against Baltimore. New York is 7-1 and slashing a robust .259/.349/.470 (.818) over its last 8 games.

The Orioles have lost 4 contests in a row, scoring just 5 total runs. They have, however, gone 9-8 over 17 games at Camden Yards.

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Jameson Taillon vs. RHP Spenser Watkins

Taillon (3-1, 2.93 ERA) has registered a 1.17 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 30 2/3 IP across 6 starts.

  • Has not allowed more than 2 earned runs in any start.
  • Has coughed up a .794 OPS against current Baltimore bats.

Watkins (0-1, 5.19 ERA) has made 6 starts. He’s clocked a 1.58 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 through 26 IP.

  • Coming off a  clunker at the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday that saw him yield 7 ER in 3 2/3 IP.
  • Averages just 71 pitches per game.

Yankees at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:49 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Orioles +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Run line (RL): Yankees -1.5 (-135) | Orioles +1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Orioles 4

Money line

Watkins brings a lot of gray area into the equation, but Taillon had trouble on the road last season (5.60 ERA) and has not exactly dominated this Baltimore batting order — ad it’s an order seeing him for the 3rd time already this season.

Still, the trigger point for a play on the O’s would be a tag north of +185. PASS … but circle back later in the day.

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Run line/Against the spread

Some strength of schedule numbers — granular ones accounting for strength of batters faced and strength of pitchers faced — favor the Baltimore side here, and the Orioles bullpen is not bad. The back end of that bullpen is rested and has some arms that have given the Yankees trouble in the past.

The Yankee bullpen is quite good, but its 2.51 ERA is somewhat tamped down by some generous rates around the margins.

BACK BALTIMORE +1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

Fading Yankee pitching and making a play on Baltimore’s run production being held back too much by some dodgy in-play numbers like a .204 batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations, TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (+105).

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (25-9) square off with the Baltimore Orioles (14-21) Monday in the first ofa 4-game series at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The Yankees lead 4-2 and swept a 3-game series at Yankee Stadium at the end of April by a combined score of 27-15.

The Yanks took 3 of 4 road games against the Chicago White Sox last weekend and scored 32 runs in the series.

The Orioles were swept in Detroit and scored just 3 runs in the 3-game series. There is rain in the forecast Monday, but it’s not expected to put the game in danger.

Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Severino (2-0, 4.08 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.82 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 28 2/3 IP.

  • Has been hittable with a 5.74 ERA in his last 3 starts, which  includes a 12-8 win over Baltimore. He allowed 4 R on 3 H and 2 BB while fanning 8 in 6 innings.
  • He’s 6-1 in 11 games (9 starts) against Baltimore in his career with a 3.59 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

Bradish (1-1, 4.24 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 17 IP.

  • He’s coming off an electric start against the St. Louis Cardinals. He struck out 11 in the win and allowed 2 R on 4 H and no walks in 7 innings. His slider and curveball were working well.
  • Had just 5 Ks in 10 innings in his previous 2 career starts. Could this have been a turning point?

Yankees at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:29 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Yankees -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Orioles +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5  (-117) | Orioles +1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 3

Money line

The Yankees offense has been awesome, scoring at least 5 runs in 5 of the last 6 games. The Orioles were fool’s gold with taking 2 of 3 in St. Louis last week as they went to Detroit and got swept. That said, we’re going to PASS on the Yankees -205. I’d consider a small prop bet of Over 4.5 (+117) strikeouts for Bradish after he fanned 11 Cardinals in his last start. He had 105 Ks in 86 2/3 innings at Triple-A Norfolk last year.

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Run line/Against the spread

Yankees DH Giancarlo Stanton is 10-for-20 (.500) with 4 homers and 12 RBIs in the last 7 days. OF Aaron Judge has a .348/3/8 line during the same stretch. The Yankees run line is a really good way to go here against a pitcher making just his 4th career start. The Yanks are also 10-6 on the run line on the road thus far. Take the YANKEES -1.5 (-117) for a full unit.

Over/Under

The Under has hit in 4 of 6 between these teams this year, but only 1 of those games featured a 7.5 or lower number. The Under hit in the Yankees’ last 2, but they nailed the Over in the 4 before that. The Under cashed in 4 in a row and 7 of 8 for the Orioles. That’s a lot of Under momentum, but we’re going against the grain. Severino has allowed at least 3 runs in his last 3 starts, and the Yankees are routinely scoring 5. LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120). 

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (4-3) and Baltimore Orioles (1-5) open a three-game series Friday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the first game of the season series between the Yankees and Orioles.

The Yankees are off to a good, but not great, start this season. They took two of three from the Boston Red Sox to open the year before splitting a four-game series with the Toronto Blue Jays, shutting out Toronto in each of their wins.

The bats have yet to come alive for New York as its scored 4 runs or fewer in each of its last six games. The pitching from New York has been impressive, however, allowing only 2.77 runs per nine innings and the second-lowest batting average (.197).

The Orioles have struggled out of the gate again this season, dropping five of their first six games. They haven’t scored more than 4 runs in a single game, ranking dead last in runs per nine innings (2.12). They’re also allowing opponents to hit .255 against them this season, which puts Baltimore 24th in baseball.

Yankees at Orioles: Projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Jordan Lyles

Montgomery (0-0, 8.10 ERA) makes his second start. He allowed 3 ER on 4 H and 1 BB with 4 K across 3 1/3 IP in his debut against the Red Sox Sunday.

  • Is 3-1 with a 3.08 ERA in 12 career starts against the Orioles with an average of 10.6 K/9.

Lyles (0-1, 9.00 ERA) makes his second start. He allowed 5 ER on 7 H and 3 BB with 2 K through 5 IP in his debut against the Tampa Bay Rays Saturday.

  • Is 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 8.3 K/9 across one start and one relief appearance against the Yankees in his career.

Yankees at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Yankees -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Orioles +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-130) | Orioles +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Orioles 2

Money line

It’s easy to like the Yankees in this one, going up against one of the worst teams in baseball right now. However, I would PASS on the money line with a -220 tag. The Yankees should be able to win this one comfortably on the road against a pitcher they should have success against.

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Run line/Against the spread

New York went 5-3 in the final eight meetings between the Yankees and Orioles last season. They’ve had the upper hand against Baltimore in recent years, and that should continue Friday.

The Yankees’ bats may not have come alive just yet, but they’re due for a big night — and it could happen in this one against the Orioles. At the very least, Montgomery should bounce back against a bad Baltimore lineup that has scored more than 3 runs just once this season.

Bet the YANKEES -1.5 (-130) to cover the run line, even though the line is juiced a bit. Keep an eye to see if it slips closer to -110.

Over/Under

Neither team is putting many runs across the plate this season. In fact, they both rank in the bottom five of the league in runs scored per nine innings this year.

As unappetizing as this pitching matchup is, I simply don’t see the Orioles scoring many runs against Montgomery with their current lineup. The only fear is that the Yankees finally have a scoring outburst and score seven-plus runs themselves.

I like the UNDER 9.5 (-125) – again, despite the juiced line.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (82-64) wrap up their three-game series with the Baltimore Orioles (46-99) Thursday at Camden Yards with the first pitch scheduled for 5:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York won the first two games of the series. The Yankees rallied back with a 2-run top of the 9th after Yankees RHP Chad Green squandered their lead in the bottom of the 8th to pick up a 4-3 win in Wednesday’s contest.

Season series: Yankees lead 11-7.

LHP Jordan Montgomery is New York’s projected starter. Montgomery is 5-6 with a 3.71 ERA (138 1/3 IP, 57 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 26 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 10-3, with 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB and 6 K Friday at the New York Mets.
  • Montgomery is 1-0 in four starts against Baltimore this season with a 3.86 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 22 H, 5 BB and 17 K.
  • vs. Orioles on the current roster (99 PA): 2.34 FIP with a .275 batting average (BA), .289 wOBA, .294 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 25.3 K% and 86.1 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Chris Ellis gets the nod for the Orioles. Ellis is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 across four starts and one relief appearance for the Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays.

  • Last outing: No-decision in Baltimore’s 6-3 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays Friday with a stat line of 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB and 4 K.
  • vs. Yankees on the current roster (17 PA): 4.42 FIP with a .071 BA, .195 wOBA, .692 xSLG, 11.8 K% and 86.3 mph EV.

Yankees at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:53 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -260 (bet $260 to win $160) | Orioles +205 (bet $100 to win $205)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -2.5 (-112) | Orioles +2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 2

Money line (ML)

PASS even though New York is the right side because the Yankees (-260) is too expensive given they are just 4-6 over the past 10 games and 8-12 in the last 20.

New York typically owns Baltimore in the season head-to-head matchups but that’s not the case this season. In fact, New York has a 58.8% winning rate against Baltimore in 2021 but the implied win probability of the Yankees (-260) is 72.22%.

The math says to PASS on the Yankees in this spot.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the YANKEES -2.5 (-112) for a tiny wager – if at all – because we rarely see a 2.5-run favorite in baseball and all of New York’s perceived edges are accounted for in this pricing.

However, New York has the far superior team (on paper) and Baltimore is 26-40 ATS against AL East teams and 27-37 ATS as a home underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

The lack of run support provided by New York’s lineup in Montgomery starts is criminal. The Yankees are averaging just 4 runs scored per game in Montgomery’s outings and he’s only won five of 11 starts where he’s allowed 1 or 0 ER.

New York’s lineup has been inconsistent at best this season. Over the last two weeks, the Yankees batters rank 24th in WAR, 22nd in wRC+ and 23rd in wOBA. On the other hand, Montgomery has been lights out and Baltimore’s lineup is below-average in most advanced hitting categories.

I like UNDER 10.5 (-125) for a full unit and I’m more confident since it’s the more expensive side of the total. The added vigorish to the Under suggests the House has liability towards the Under and wants to dissuade people from betting on it.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (81-64) and Baltimore Orioles (46-98) meet Wednesday to continue a three-game series at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Nestor Cortes, Jr., is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. Across 18 games (10 starts), he is 2-2 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 through 73 1/3 IP.

  • Faced Baltimore two starts back and allowed 1 run over 5 2/3 IP. Current Orioles bats own an aggregate .551 OPS against him.
  • Has benefited from a .258 batting average on balls in play and an 85.1% left-on-base rate.

LHP John Means is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 5-7 with a 3.42 ERA, 1.00 WHIP 8.1 K/9, and 1.6 BB/9 through 126 1/3 IP over 22 starts.

  • Allowed 3 ER in 9 2/3 frames against the Yankees this year but current New York batters own an aggregate .851 OPS against him.
  • Owns a 2.95 ERA across his last three starts spanning 18 1/3 IP.

Yankees at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:43 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Orioles +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (-117) | Orioles +1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Yankees 7, Baltimore 5

Money line (ML)

The New York offense had posted a mere .660 OPS in 16 games prior to exploding for 13 hits and 5 home runs in a 7-2 victory in Tuesday’s series opener.

Baltimore has lost four straight games and the Orioles yielded 48 runs over those four losses. Baltimore has logged a 7.42 team ERA in going 8-31 since Aug. 3.

That 39 game stretch opened with allowing double-digit run totals to these Yankees in back-to-back games. This is a New York nine that has been awfully comfortable at Camden Yards for a few years now and their five home runs Tuesday weren’t really a wild outlier.

Still, this is an Orioles offense that has pounded out a .787 OPS over its last 23 games. Baltimore is in the better half of its platoon splits when facing lefties.

Throw it all together as a PASS for the pricey money line here.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The price is right for risking another slugfest/Yankee win. TAKE NEW YORK -1.5 (-117).

Over/Under (O/U)

On a warm, humid, wind-out night in Baltimore … and with some expected-ERA fade lean against both starters, BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-125).

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (80-64) and Baltimore Orioles (46-97) meet Tuesday to open a three-game series at Camden Yards. First pitch in the series opener is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Gerrit Cole is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 14-7 with a 2.78 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 12.3 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 through 158 2/3 IP spanning 26 starts.

  • Left his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays Sept. 7 due to left hamstring tightness. Allowed 3 runs (2 earned) over 3 2/3 IP in that start but has otherwise pitched brilliantly since being down with an injury the first two weeks of August. Owns a 1.27 ERA and 0.99 WHIP across five starts since Aug. 16.
  • Current Baltimore batters own an aggregate .436 OPS against him.

LHP Alexander Wells is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He has appeared in seven games this season (four as a starter) and has allowed 32 hits and 18 ER across 22 2/3 IP. He has walked 11 while striking out 17.

  • Back in the rotation for a second straight turn after pitching 4 IP  against the Kansas City Royals Sept. 7, giving up 2 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks.
  • Started a game at Yankee Stadium Aug. 3, and was torched for 6 ER on 7 hits over 2 1/3 IP.
  • Has been hurt by a .354 batting average on balls in play.

Yankees at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -360 (bet $360 to win $100) | Orioles +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (-210) | Orioles +1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Prediction

Orioles 6, Yankees 4

Money line (ML)

The Yankees won a Monday makeup game against the Minnesota Twins but are just 2-8 over their last 10 games. The New York offense has scuffled of late and the Yankees own a .660 OPS in their last 16 games.

Baltimore lost three of four games against Toronto over the weekend and was idle Monday. The three losses saw the Orioles cough up a combined 44 runs but that performance is just the tip of the iceberg. Baltimore has logged a 7.44 team ERA in going 8-30 since Aug. 3.

That 8-30 stretch includes Baltimore going 2-3 against these Yankees. Overall this season, New York has won nine of 16 games against the O’s and the Yanks have outscored the Birds 91-57.

As bad as Baltimore has been, Cole’s health status and a fatigued, patch-work bullpen behind him create just enough fog. BACK BALTIMORE (+270).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Consider a mix of both money and run line action fading Cole and the Yanks. TAKE BALTIMORE +1.5 (+170).

Over/Under (O/U)

Will respect the possibility of a 9-10 total in a blowout win for the Yankees. PASS.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (20-17) and Baltimore Orioles (16-21) open a three-game series at Camden Yards Friday night at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Corey Kluber is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 2-2 with a 3.06 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 through 35 1/3 IP over 7 starts.

Kluber heads into this road start having yielded just 3 ER over his last 20 1/3 IP. In a small sample, current Baltimore batters own a .462 OPS against him.

RHP Dean Kremer is the projected starter for the Orioles. He is 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 26 IP over 6 starts.

Kremer has twice been pounded by the Yankees this season with a combined 9 ER on 15 hits over 7 1/3 IP.

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Yankees at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Orioles +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (-125) |  Orioles +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 5

Money line (ML)

Looking at Statcast batted-ball data, peg Kluber as being somewhat fortunate thus far and Kremer with a lean the other way, toward being a tad unlucky.

Still, the Yankees have an offense with a lot of growth potential. A .227 batting average on balls in play in inning lead-off situations has minimized the traffic in front of a collection of hitters that could average over 5 runs per game (current 3.9 RPG). New York also owns the better bullpen.

An acceptable price on the Orioles looks to be pushed too low by the juice  but peg the ORIOLES (+165) as a slight lean.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

ORIOLES +1.5 (+105) may be more palatable for bettors not finding enough value on the money line.

A likable Over takes a bit of steam out of that play as well.

Over/Under (O/U)

The top play for this series opener is the OVER 9 (-110). This is a play on both offenses, to an extent, and a serious fade of a Baltimore bullpen that owns an unsupportable 3.39 ERA on the season.

O’s relievers have benefited from a .247 BABIP and things have already started to swing against this bunch: Baltimore relievers own a 4.97 ERA this month.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (9-13) and Baltimore Orioles (10-12) continue a four-game series at Camden Yards Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Corey Kluber is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. Kluber is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.93 WHIP, 8.4 K/9, and 6.6 BB/9 in 15 IP over 4 starts.

Walks have been an issue in the early going — the injury reclamation project has walked 11 batters in 15 frames.

LHP Bruce Zimmermann is the projected starter for the Orioles. The O’s southpaw is 1-2 with a 4.57 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 6.2 K/9, and 2.9 BB/9 in 21 2/3 IP over 4 turns.

Zimmermann figures to have more strikeouts coming, as he’s registered a swinging-strike rate of 11.7%. And he has thus far done well to avoid hard contact (29.4%).

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Yankees at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Orioles +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (-120) | Orioles +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Yankees 6, Orioles 4

Money line (ML)

The Yankees’ offensive woes (3.54 runs per game, 27th MLB) are not supportable. But neither is the favorites’ price tag … or either starter here. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Over has a slight lean, and the YANKEES -1.5 (-120) play figures as the best side in this one. It’s a play on New York’s offensive potential and an advantage in the relief pitching department.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Orioles had batted just .226/.287/.390 (batting/on-base/slugging) over 15 games leading into this series. They got to the Yankees for 4 runs in a 4-2 victory in the Monday series opener.

The Yankee offense has been way off-kilter this April, producing a mere .655 OPS through its first 21 games.

But that figure is due to their low batting-average-on-ball-in-play numbers, both overall (.245) and in high-leverage situations (.257).

New York is also working with a .187 BABIP when leading off an inning, a crucial game situation that arises 9 times per game and is often overlooked as a component of clutch and high-leverage play.

On some regression-to-the-mean lean on the Baltimore ‘pen and the New York offense … and with neither starter with much to hang their hat on … and with a warmed-up Camden Yards (near-80 degrees at first pitch) on a night with a batter’s breeze in the forecast, tag the OVER 9.5 (-115) with just a slight lean.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (9-12) and Baltimore Orioles (9-12) open a four-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Deivi Garcia is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. Garcia will be called up from the alternate site to make his season debut. The 21-year-old right-hander logged 6 starts in his 2020 rookie season, posting a 4.98 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and striking out 8.7 batter per 9 innings.

RHP Matt Harvey is the projected starter for the Orioles. Harvey is 1-1 with a 5.12 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 19 1/3 IP over 4 starts this season. The veteran righty has done well to keep hard contact in check and is sporting a 51% ground-ball rate. In a small sample, current Yankee bats own a .522 OPS against Harvey.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Yankees at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (-110) | Orioles +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Yankees 5, Orioles 4

Money line (ML)

Over the weekend, New York was solid on both sides of the ball in taking three of four from the Indians in Cleveland. Baltimore lost two of three at home to the Oakland Athletics and is just 5-10 over its last 15 games. The Orioles have batted just .226/.287/.390 (batting/on-base/slugging) over that stretch.

Garcia is a bit of a wild card in this play, but the young righty is backed by a good bullpen. The O’s’ early-season relief numbers (3.09 ERA) are somewhat batting-average-on-balls-in-play deflated. The Yankees early-season struggles with the bats (3.6 runs per game) suffer the same problem.

TAKE THE YANKEES -175.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Over has a slight lean, and the YANKEES -1.5 (-110) play might be a decent consideration for bettors looking to save on the wager amount. A split play (part ML, part run line) is also an option as a bit of insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

On some regression-to-the-mean lean on the Baltimore ‘pen and the New York offense, tag the OVER 8.5 (-120) with just a slight lean.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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