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In a 3-round women’s strawweight bout on the main card, Yan Xiaonan and Tabatha Ricci battle at UFC Fight Night 248 Saturday at Galaxy Arena in Cotai, Macau. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 248: Yan vs. Ricci odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin at 3 a.m. ET, with the main card beginning at 6 a.m. ET. All events can be viewed or streamed on ESPN+.
Records: Yan (18-4-0) | Ricci (11-2-0)
Yan had a shot at the women’s strawweight title last time out against Zhang Weili, but she suffered a setback via unanimous decision. The 35-year-old Chinese fighter is now just 2-3 across the past 5 fights. Her last victory came via first-round KO/TKO against Jessica Andrade at UFC 288 in May 2023.
For Ricci, she won against Angela Hill via unanimous decision last time out on Aug. 24, 2024. She has won 2 in a row, and 6 of the past 7, while she has ended up going the distance in 4 straight outings. Her last finish was a second-round submission against Jessica Penne at UFC 285.
Yan holds a 2-inch reach advantage over Ricci, with a slight edge in significant strikes landed per minute and significant strike accuracy percentage, too. Ricci is much better with a 2.99 takedown average, although Yan is significantly more accurate on takedowns at 73.33%.
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UFC Fight Night 248: Yan vs. Ricci odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list UFC odds. Lines last updated Friday at 10:30 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Yan -184 (bet $184 to win $100) | Ricci +154 (bet $100 to win $154)
- Total rounds: 2.5 Rounds (Over -410 | Under +290)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -350 | No +250)
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UFC Fight Night 248: Yan vs. Ricci picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Yan (-184) is fighting in Macau, which is much closer to her native China, so the crowd will presumably be behind her.
Ricci can match Yan in the significant strikes department, but the favorite is much more accurate, and that will likely mean the difference when the judges go to the scorecards.
We’re expecting this fight to go the distance because 3 of Yan’s past 5 fights, and 9 of her 11 fights at the UFC level, have ended up going all the way.
For Ricci, she also gets the judges involved frequently, with 4 straight decisions, while going the distance in 6 of the past 7 outings.
Play YAN BY POINTS (-105) at near even-money for the best play on the board.
Over/Under (O/U)
You can’t play Over 2.5 Rounds (-410) or Yes: Will the fight go the distance? (-350), whether it’s straight up or as part of a multi-leg parlay. The risk outweighs the reward way too much.
PASS, and simply focus on the Method of Victory and winner instead.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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