In a women’s strawweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Yan Xiaonan and Carla Esparza meet at UFC Fight Night 188 – also known as UFC on ESPN+ 46 and UFC Vegas 27 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 188 Xiaonan vs. Esparza odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night 188 Xiaonan vs. Esparza: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Xiaonan -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Esparza +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -450 | Under +325)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -300 | No +250)
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UFC Fight Night 188 Xiaonan vs. Esparza: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Xiaonan 13-1-0 | Esparza 18-6-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
XIAONAN (-120) is the slight favorite, as she looks to continue her meteoric rise in the division.
Since her debut win over Kailin Curran on Nov. 25, 2017, the Chinese fighter has rattled off six straight unanimous-decision wins, continually wowing the judges with her technical skill.
Xiaonan has three straight impressive wins over Angela Hill, Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Claudia Gadelha.
Esparza has won four straight decisions since a two-bout losing streak, including a split-decision loss to Gadelha.
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Over/Under (O/U)
Yes (-300): Will the fight go the distance? is rather expensive, as is Over 2.5 Rounds (-450).
It’s a near certainty that this fight goes the distance, as Esparza has not had a stoppage in each of her past four fights, and all six of Xiaonan’s fights have gone the distance.
I like the latter to win, so play XIAONAN ON POINTS (+160), as that’s the way to go in this one.
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