Tag: Yale Bulldogs vs. Purdue Boilermakers odds predictions pick betting line spread

Yale at Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Yale at Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Yale Bulldogs (1-1) step into the arena against the No. 12 Purdue Boilermakers (2-0) Monday evening. Tip-off from Mackey Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET. (Big Ten Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Yale vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Yale followed up a Nov. 4 88-62 thrashing of Quinnipiac with a 91-79 clunker against University of Illinois-Chicago Friday. It was a 6-point favorite in that one. G John Poulakidas led the way with 21 points but shot just 6-for-17 from the floor. Turnovers killed Yale, as it lost that battle 16-7.

The No. 12 Boilermakers are learning to live without 2-time national college player of the year Zach Edey. They’ve beaten Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 90-73 (Nov. 4), failing to cover the 25.5-point spread, and covered the 20.5-point spread in a 72-50 victory over Northern Kentucky Friday. F Fletcher Loyer led the way with 16 points against NKU, and F Trey Kaufman-Renn had 14.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll

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Yale at Purdue odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds  Lines last updated at 2:54 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yale +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Purdue -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Yale +14.5 (-110) | Purdue -14.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yale at Purdue picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 78, Yale 60

Moneyline

Yale doesn’t have much of a chance here. Purdue has a couple of young centers that are 7-foot-2 and 7-foot-4, and the tallest player Yale has is 6-foot-10.

I am tempted to take Braden Smith Over 12.5 Points (-125). He just has yet to really open up offensively, scoring 12 and 11 points against Texas A&M-Corpus Christi and Northern Kentucky, respectively, while dishing 22 assists.

PASS.

Against the spread

I like PURDUE -14.5 (-110) here. As mentioned, the Boilers have big-time mismatches underneath, and that will open up kickouts for 3-pointers. Purdue beat the brakes off Yale in 2022, 78-56, as 16.5-point favorites.

Over/Under

Take the OVER 144.5 (-110) here. Even while being shellacked by UIC, the Bulldogs still scored 79 points and shot 45%. They’ll be able to score enough in garbage time to push this one Over.

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March Madness: Yale vs. Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Yale vs. Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 14 Yale Bulldogs (19-11) meet the No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (27-7) Friday in the first round of the East Region. Tip from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Yale vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Yale earned an automatic bid following a 2-point victory over Princeton in the Ivy League Championship, covering as 3.5-point underdogs.

The Bulldogs are 14-15 against the spread (ATS) this season and are led by 6-foot G Azar Swain, who is averaging 18.9 points per game.

Purdue will look to avoid an upset like No. 5-seeded conference-mate Iowa (upset by No. 12 Richmond). The Boilermakers are coming off a 9-point loss to the Hawkeyes in the Big  Ten Tournament, failing to cover as 2.5-point favorites.

The Boilermakers rank 7th in the nation in points per game (80.7) and rank 3rd in both three-point percentage and field goal percentage. They’re led by star G Jaden Ivey, who is averaging 17.4 points per game.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: March Madness bracket betting bonanza

Yale vs. Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:38 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yale +800  (bet $100 to win $800) | Purdue -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Yale +16.5 (-115) | Purdue -16.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yale vs. Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 73, Yale 64

Money line

PASS.

I don’t think Yale has much of a shot to pull off the upset, but in March we’ve seen stranger things. That said, either play on the money line here isn’t worth the risk.

Against the spread

LEAN to YALE +16.5 (-115).

This is more a fade on Purdue than anything. The Boilermakers have been awful against the spread recently.

They have not covered a game since Feb. 8 with a 0-8-2 mark since then. Purdue is just 13-19-2 ATS this season, and it has struggled to separate in large-spread games because of its average defense, ranking 103rd in the nation per Kenpom.

Yale’s strength is on the defensive end, ranking 100th in adjusted defensive rating. Its strength defensively is in guarding the three, allowing teams to shoot just 30.3% from deep.

If they can limit C Zach Edey from dominating inside and guard Purdue’s dominant three-point attack, Yale should, as I expect them to, cover.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 143.5 (-110).

Along with struggling to defend, the Boilermakers haven’t had the same high-scoring games that they did earlier in the season. They’re just 2-8 O/U in the last 10 games.

Purdue’s bread-and-butter is in its three-point shooting, which Yale has shown to be able to limit throughout the season. Yale’s opponents rank 39th in the nation in terms of three-point shooting percentage

Four of Yale’s 5 top players are upperclassmen, so they should be able to execute the game plan despite being severely undersized.

Lastly, both teams rank outside the top 75 in KenPom’s adjusted tempo, which could limit the amount of possessions in this game and help the Under be the better option.

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