Big East Tournament: Xavier vs. Marquette odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Xavier vs. Marquette odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 15 Xavier Musketeers (25-8) face the No. 6 Marquette Golden Eagles (27-6) Saturday in the Big East Tournament championship game. Tip from Madison Square Garden is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Xavier vs. Marquette odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Xavier was the 3 Musketeers in Friday’s semifinal against Creighton, hitting 7 triples en route to an 82-60 rout of the Bluejays. The Musketeers shot 47% (33 of 70) from the field and posted an impressive plus-13 rebounding margin (39-26).

Marquette has won a pair of 2-point games in this Big East tourney, edging St. John’s 72-70 in OT in the quarterfinals Thursday and topping UConn 70-68 as a 4-point underdog Friday. The Under cashed in both games.

Marquette topped Xavier 69-68 at Fiserv Forum on Feb. 15, but the Musketeers covered as 6.5-point underdogs. The Golden Eagles fell to the Musketeers 80-76 at Cintas Center in Cincinnati on Jan. 15. The Under cashed in both meetings.

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Xavier vs. Marquette odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Xavier +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Marquette -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Xavier +1.5 (-105) | Marquette -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 154.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Xavier vs. Marquette picks and predictions

Prediction

Xavier 79, Marquette 74

Moneyline

XAVIER (+105) has been rolling along on offense, and I like the Musketeers as short ‘dogs to trip up Marquette.

The Golden Eagles have survived and advanced in the Big East tourney, and that’s the name of the game at this time of year, but the fact is that Xavier is just playing better basketball and should probably be favored.

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Against the spread

XAVIER +1.5 (-105) is worth a look if you honestly believe Marquette is going to win this game by just one point. If that’s not your thinking, then you should just play the Musketeers straight up for a better value.

Over/Under

UNDER 154.5 (-110) is the lean, although we should see plenty of fireworks to make you sweat it out in the end.

The Under cashed in each of the 2 regular-season meetings between these sides, and Marquette has allowed just 69.0 points per game in 2 games in the tourney to date, including a game that went to OT.

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Xavier at Marquette odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Xavier at Marquette odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 16 Xavier Musketeers (19-6, 11-3 Big East) will try to beat the conference leading No. 10 Marquette Golden Eagles (20-6, 12-3) at the Pfizer Forum Wednesday at 7 p.m. ET (CBS Sports). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Xavier vs. Marqjuette odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

In a matchup of 2 elite offenses, this is a rematch of an 80-76 Xavier victory on Jan. 15 as the Musketeers covered a 3-point spread and the Under 163.0 hit.

Xavier’s offense ranks 9th in the nation at 83.2 points while Marquette ranks 18th at 81.2 PPG. On the other end of the floor, the Xavier defense 330th allowing 75.7 points and Marquette ranks 211th at 70.7 PPG.

Defense will once again be optional in this showdown between 2 of the top teams in the Big East.

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Xavier at Marquette odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Xavier +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Marquette -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Xavier +5.5 (-105) | Marquette -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Xavier at Marquette picks and predictions

Prediction

Marquette 87, Xavier 84

Moneyline

PASS.

Marquette is valued correctly at -270. This is a fairly even game between 2 top 20 teams and the Golden Eagles play well at home. If I liked Xavier to win, I would certainly take them on the ML. But with Marquette being favored, -270 is too high to wager on straight.

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Against the spread

XAVIER +5.5 (-105)

Xavier comes into this matchup after a 69-67 road loss to Butler on Friday while Marquette comes in off an 89-75 victory over Georgetown as 11-point favorites.

Neither team has a great defense, but both do have great offenses, and this will be a shootout. In such a game, I do not want to risk a 5.5 spread being covered. Even in the Musketeers get down, they have the fire power to come back and make it close. This will be a high-scoring close game and I will take the Underdog to cover. Xavier is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 against teams with a winning record. This hot streak should continue Wednesday.

Over/Under

Take OVER 160.5 (-115)

This game is a rematch of an 80-76 win by Xavier. The 156 would go Under this number and went Under the 163 number offered in that game. I still see this game getting Over the lowered total.

Xavier has gone Over the total in its last 5 games after a loss and has also gone Over the total in 4 of 5 against a team with a win percentage over .600.

Marquette has also gone Over the total in 5 of 6 games against teams with a win percentage above .600. When these teams play other good teams, they both score. This will happen again Wednesday and despite the 160.5 total being high, it is still worth an Over play.

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