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Xavier at Creighton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Xavier at Creighton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 12 Xavier Musketeers (17-4, 9-1 Big East) visit the Creighton Bluejays (12-8, 6-3) Saturday. Tip from CHI Health Center Omaha is scheduled for 12:15 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Xavier vs. Creighton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Musketeers beat UConn 82-79 on Wednesday to cover as 6-point road underdogs. They have now covered in back-to-back games and are 7-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10, improving to a profitable 12-8-1 ATS on the season. Xavier has one of the top offenses in the nation, scoring 84.0 points per game (8th) while shooting 50.27% from the field (5th) and 40.26% from behind the arc (2nd).

Creighton demolished St John’s 104-76 on Wednesday, covering as a 10.5-point home favorite. Creighton has also covered the spread in back-to-back games but it is only 4-6 ATS in its last 10 and is 10-10 ATS this season. The Bluejays’ offense has been above average this season, ranking 53rd in the nation in points per game (77.7) and 48th in field goal percentage (47.17%).

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Xavier at Creighton odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Xavier +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Creighton -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Xavier +5.5 (-115) | Creighton -5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 158.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Xavier at Creighton picks and predictions

Prediction

Xavier 83, Creighton 80

Moneyline

BET XAVIER (+175).

Xavier has been on a tear recently as it makes a push to become a top-10 team. It is 9-1 in its last 10 games including 4-1 on the road in that span. The Musketeers have played great on the road this season, with a 5-1 record in true road games.

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Against the spread

BET XAVIER +5.5 (-115).

Although the moneyline play produces more profits, the spread is worth a play here as well. Creighton is 9-1 at home this season and more than capable of keeping this a close game in front of its home crowd.

The Musketeers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up win and 4-1 in their last 5 following an ATS win.

The Bluejays are 1-5 in their last 6 games after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

Over/Under

BET OVER 158.5 (-105).

The Xavier and its top-ranked offense has made the Over a moneymaker this season. Xavier’s O/U record is 15-5-1 and the Over is also 7-0 in the Musketeer’s last 7 Saturday games

These teams sailed Over the number when they met Jan. 11 as Xavier picked up a 90-87 victory with a 153.5 closing line.

Until proven otherwise, ride the Over in Xavier games.

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Xavier at Creighton odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Xavier Musketeers at Creighton Bluejays odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The No. 22 Xavier Musketeers (8-0, 1-0 Big East) stop by CHI Health Center Omaha for a conference matchup with the No. 13 Creighton Bluejays (6-2, 2-1) at 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Xavier-Creighton college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of USA TODAY Sports’ Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll.

Xavier at Creighton: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Xavier +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Creighton -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Xavier +7 (-120) | Creighton -7 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 153.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Xavier at Creighton: Three things to know

  1. Xavier comes in riding an eight-game win streak, and it has covered the spread in four straight, including a 91-88 win against Marquette as a 2-point home favorite in its last game. The Musketeers’ second-leading scorer, senior G Paul Scruggs had a game-high 29 points on 11-for-19 shooting, adding 6 assists and 4 rebounds.
  2. Creighton eked out a 76-74 overtime win as a 4-point road favorite against UConn Sunday. The Bluejays got production from their key contributors. Their top-5 scorers, which all average double-digit points per game, scored at least 10 points in the win over the Huskies.
  3. The Bluejays smoked the Musketeers in both meetings last year by nearly the same margin. They won 77-65 in the first meeting and 77-66 in the second clash. Creighton covered the spread in both contests, first as a 3-point underdog and then as a 5.5-point favorite.

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Xavier at Creighton: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Xavier 83, Creighton 77

Money line (ML)

I’d BET XAVIER (+240) for a quarter-unit to pull off an upset because I love them with the points.

If you had to pick either of the three betting markets being discussed in this piece, I’d recommend taking the points; but, if you’re trying to clean up on Xavier, sprinkle a little coin on the underdog to maximize your profit.

Against the spread (ATS)

Xavier is the play for a couple of reasons. First, the Musketeers collect nearly seven more rebounds per game than their opponents and the Bluejays have just a plus-1.5 rebounds per game differential.

Second, Xavier has a slightly higher effective field-goal percentage (.591 eFG% vs. .587 eFG%) but the Musketeers are holding opponents to just .440 eFG% (ranked 44th) while the Bluejays’ opponents have a .475 eFG% (ranked 147th).

Adding to that, Xavier is one of the better 3-point shooting teams in the nation (ranked 12th in 3-point percentage) going against a Creighton team ranked 259th in opponent’s 3-point percentage.

GIMME XAVIER +7 (-120) for 2 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

Xavier-Creighton is tied for the highest total on Wednesday’s college basketball slate, which is interesting because the Under is 7-0-1 in their previous eight head-to-head contests.

Also, this total is set higher than the past five Xavier-Creighton meetings despite the obvious Under trend. BetMGM was apparently more focused on their combined 12-8 O/U record and the Over cashing in Creighton’s last six as a favorite than the recent head-to-head history.

BET OVER 153.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

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