Big Ten Tournament: Wisconsin vs. Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Wisconsin vs. Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Wisconsin Badgers (21-12) and No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (29-3) meet in the Big Ten Tournament semifinals Saturday at Target Center in Minneapolis. Tip-off is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Wisconsin vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The 5th-seeded Badgers topped Maryland and Northwestern to get into the semifinals, covering both tournament games and 4 straight contests dating back to March 7. The Under (135) cashed against the Wildcats Friday, halting a 7-game Over run for the Badgers.

The 1st-seeded Boilermakers scratched past Michigan State Friday, 67-62, but Purdue failed to cover as an 8.5-point favorite as the Under (141.5) hit. Purdue has won 6 in a row, but it has failed to cover 4 of the previous 5 outings.

Purdue dumped Wisconsin 78-70 in the regular-season finale last Sunday, coming up short as a 10-point favorite, though. The Over (147.5) connected and was 2-0 in both regular-season meetings with the Badgers. The Boilermakers also won 75-69 in Madison Feb. 4 as 2-point favorites.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Wisconsin vs. Purdue odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Wisconsin +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Purdue -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Wisconsin +6.5 (-115) | Purdue -6.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Wisconsin vs. Purdue picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 75, Wisconsin 70

Moneyline

Purdue (-275) will cost you nearly 3 times your potential, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.

Wisconsin (+220) hasn’t been able to get over the hump against the Boilermakers in 2 meetings this season, but the Badgers have made the No. 1 seed sweat in both games. This will be closer than Purdue wants.

PASS.

Against the spread

WISCONSIN +6.5 (-115) will cost a little extra, but it is worth the price.

The Badgers have cashed in each of the 2 regular-season meetings with Purdue -6.5 (-105), and the Boilermakers are just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games and 4-8 ATS across the previous 12 outings.

On the flip side, Wisconsin has cashed in 4 in a row while going 3-0-1 ATS in 4 neutral-site contests this season.

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Over/Under

OVER 143.5 (-105) is worth a look, but play it very, very lightly.

The Under cashed last time out against Northwestern, but Wisconsin has hit the Over at a 7-1 clip in the past 8 games, and both meetings cashed against Purdue in the regular season.

The total went low in the opening game of the Big Ten tourney against Michigan State, but Purdue has seen the Over cash in 4 of the past 6 games while hitting in 7 of the past 11 contests.

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Wisconsin at Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Wisconsin at Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Wisconsin Badgers (19-11, 11-8 Big Ten) take on the Purdue Boilermakers (27-3, 16-3) Sunday at Mackey Arena. Tip is set for 12:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Wisconsin vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Wisconsin snapped a 2-game losing streak with a 78-66 win over Rutgers  Thursday as 10-point favorites. F Steven Crowl busted out with 17 points and 11 boards. The Badgers are just 3-7 over the last 10 and 1-9 ATS.

The Boilermakers, No. 3 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, have won 4 straight and 9 of the 10. C Zach Edey continues to be a force with 25+ points in 4 straight games as he’s averaging 24.1 PPG and 11.7 RPG. Purdue downed the Badgers 75-69 in Madison Feb. 4.

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Wisconsin at Purdue odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Wisconsin +385 (bet $100 to win $385) | Purdue -520 (bet $520 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Wisconsin +9.5 (-102) | Purdue -9.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Wisconsin at Purdue picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 74, Wisconsin 61

Moneyline

Wisconsin has fallen on hard times, and I don’t see them striking the upset here. So there’s no play on the ML.

PASS.

Against the spread

Purdue is 15-0 on its home court this season. The Badgers beat them 70-67 on their home court in the last meeting, but that was in 2022 and a very different Badgers squad. With Wisconsin being so futile at 1-9 ATS over the last 10, I’ll LEAN PURDUE -9.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

The Badgers are 8-2 O/U over the last 10, and Purdue is 6-4. The Over is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between the schools. It would need to be a close game to pull an Over, and Wisconsin is struggling offensively. The Badgers are tied for 153rd with 74.6 PPG.

Take the UNDER 148.5 (-115).

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Wisconsin at Purdue odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 23 Wisconsin Badgers (10-2, 1-1 Big Ten) and No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (12-1, 1-1) tussle in a Big Ten showdown Monday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Ind. Below, we look at the Wisconsin vs. Purdue odds and lines and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

After having a Dec. 23 non-conference home game against George Mason nixed due to COVID-19 protocols, Wisconsin returned to action Wednesday – after a 13-day layoff – with a shaky 89-85 win over Illinois State. UW allowed a season-high 57.5 effective field-goal percentage in the win. ISU went 9-for-22 behind the 3-point line – defending the perimeter has been a consistent problem for the Badgers.

The Boilermakers have won four in a row after dropping a league game at Rutgers Dec. 9. Purdue is coming off a sluggish game – at least a sluggish start to a game – in a Wednesday non-conference affair against the Nicholls Colonels. Purdue trailed 17-11 through six minutes and change before righting the ship and cruising to a 104-90 win. The Boilermakers led by 18-20 points for most of the second half, but they never came close to covering a 29-point spread.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Wisconsin at Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:32 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Wisconsin +570 (bet $100 to win $570) | Purdue -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Wisconsin +12.5 (-107) | Purdue -12.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Wisconsin at Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 78, Wisconsin 64

Money line

PASS. Look to the O/U for the top play in this one.

Against the spread

The Badgers are 0-3 against the number in their last three games. The Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS across their last six. The home team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight series meetings.

Purdue figures to have a sizable edge on the boards and in shooting the ball from just about anywhere. Look for the home five to be dialed in for this Big Ten test after the non-conference doldrums over the holidays. But the spread is a hefty one, and the lean is small.

Consider a partial-unit play on PURDUE -12.5 (-115).

 Over/Under

The Over is 4-0 in the Boilermakers’ last four games vs. a team with a winning record. When Purdue scores 100 in a game, the Over is 7-1 the next time out.

Neither side plays an up-tempo style, but the Boilermakers have a dynamic and efficient offense. This total has the look of the public expecting a Badgers defense circa 2019 of 2020. Both sides excel at getting to the foul line. Look for this game to get into the 140s.

BACK THE OVER 139.5 (-115).

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Wisconsin at Purdue odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Wisconsin Badgers (3-3, 1-2 Big Ten) take on the Purdue Boilermakers (4-2, 2-1) Saturday at 3 p.m. ET at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Ind. Below, we look at the Wisconsin vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Wisconsin defeated Army 24-17 Oct. 16 and heads to Purdue with a two-game win streak in tow. It has been all-defense, no-offense through the Badgers’ first six games. UW ranks second in the nation in total defense (225.8 yards per game). It ranks 90th in offense (367.0 YPG).

The Boilermakers are coming off a 24-7 win over then-No. 2 Iowa. Purdue had four interceptions in the upset. The Boilers had just two picks on the season prior to that. Junior WR David Bell had 11 catches for 240 yards and 2 touchdowns in the victory. Purdue passed for 378 yards vs. Iowa, and the Boilermakers have outgained 6 of 6 opponents in the air this season.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Wisconsin at Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:44 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Wisconsin -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Purdue +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Wisconsin -3.5 (+102) | Purdue +3.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Wisconsin at Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Wisconsin 28, Purdue 24

Money line

Wisconsin is a slight lean here, but concentrating on the ATS play is recommended. PASS.

Against the spread

The road team has won six straight ATS in this series, and Wisconsin is 7-0 ATS in its last seven trips to Ross-Ade Stadium.

The Badgers have an inept passing attack. They’ve been awful in converting third downs and red-zone opportunities. Wisconsin’s 161.7 passing yards per game rank 116th in FBS. While that has fed into its conversion problems, it doesn’t do so fully.

So, UW is going to want to run a lot but looks to be pretty solid against the ground game. What gives? The Boilermakers have somewhat padded this category against teams not proficient in the run game. Wisconsin found its way to a lot of rushing yards the last two weeks despite being one-dimensional.

The Badgers’ -11 turnover margin is the worst in the nation. A clean-ish game swings UW’s way by 6-10 points Saturday. TAG WISCONSIN -3.5 (+102) AS A SLIGHT LEAN.

Over/Under

Look for both offenses to find a bit more success in finishing drives. Purdue’s points-against number (14.0 PPG) has been heavily influenced by the Boilermakers allowing touchdowns on just 33.3% of red-zone trips.

PEG THE OVER 40.5 (-112) WITH SOME VALUE.

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Wisconsin at Purdue odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Wisconsin Badgers (16-9 overall, 10-8 Big Ten) visit the Purdue Boilermakers (16-8, 11-6) in a Tuesday night Big Ten battle at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Ind. Tip-off will be at 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Wisconsin-Purdue odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Purdue is No. 23 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Wisconsin at Purdue: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.

  • Money line: Wisconsin +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Purdue -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Wisconsin +2.5 (-110) | Purdue -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 128.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Wisconsin at Purdue: Three things to know

  1. The Boilermakers have won three in a row and four of their last five. In their three straight victories, Purdue has held its opponents to 58.3 points per game by allowing a mere 37.9% mark from the floor. The Boilermakers are 9-1 this season at home.
  2. The Badgers haven’t won at Purdue since Jan. 2014, a stretch of four games. Wisconsin heads into this attempt experiencing all kinds of shooting struggles. UW has shot just 35.0% from the floor in going 2-3 over its last five games. The Badgers have been out-rebounded by a margin of 5.4 boards per game over that same stretch.
  3. Wisconsin senior G D’Mitrik Trice registered a 29-point effort against Illinois in the Badgers’ last game (Saturday at home). Trice went 6-for-9 from 3-point range. He’s averaging 14.1 points and 3.9 rebounds per game for the season.

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Wisconsin at Purdue: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Purdue 66, Wisconsin 62

Money line (ML)

PASS. Purdue is the lean in a vacuum, but you won’t find any value north of a -125 price.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Badgers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams playing better than .600 basketball. The last seven games of the UW-PU series have seen the home five go 5-1-1 ATS.

Purdue gets the nod in the shooting department and especially the momentum department. These are two Big Ten teams headed in opposite directions, and much of Wisconsin’s defensive reputation has been built against lesser offenses. TAG PURDUE -2.5 (-110) WITH A SLIGHT LEAN.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS. Two slow-paced teams have produced what looks to be a solid assessment by the public. A creep toward a number around 132 would make for an Under lean.

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