The Over/Under win totals for every NFL team are posted at BetMGM, and while a lot of teams seem poised to go Over their projected number, it’s difficult to predict which ones will come in Under the projection in a disappointing 2020 campaign.
We’ve picked out five Under bets to make this year, expecting all five of these teams to come up short in 2020. The New York Giants and Cleveland Browns have been disappointments for years with little hope of turning around, while the Las Vegas Raiders, Indianapolis Colts and Chicago Bears have quarterback questions to answer.
New York Giants: 6.5 (-125)
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, April 11 at 9:15 a.m. ET.
The Giants have averaged only four wins per season over the last three years and it’s not as if they’ve improved during that span, either. Last season, they went 4-12 with an abysmal minus-110 point differential. QB Daniel Jones and RB Saquon Barkley carry promise on offense, but there are durability concerns with Barkley, TE Evan Engram, WR Sterling Shepard and the offensive line has yet to be fixed. It’s hard to feel confident in the Giants winning at least seven games, which they’ve done just once since 2014.
Las Vegas Raiders: 7.5 (-115)
The Raiders are still rebuilding and don’t know exactly who their quarterback will be. They’ve won more than seven games only once since 2012 and have numerous holes on their roster needing to be filled – primarily at wide receiver and in the secondary. Whether it’s Derek Carr or Marcus Mariota running the show under center, the Raiders won’t be a .500 team. Take the Under and lock them in with a losing record in 2020.
Chicago Bears: 8.5 (-125)
Like the Raiders, the Bears have a quarterback controversy on their hands. Mitchell Trubisky will have to fend off Nick Foles this offseason, though neither QB is a very good option in Chicago. The Bears have plenty of talent on defense with Khalil Mack, Akiem Hicks, Roquan Smith and Eddie Jackson, but the offense doesn’t look like a unit that will strike fear in many opponents. They won’t win more than eight games next season.
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Cleveland Browns: 8.5 (-130)
Until the Browns actually prove they’re not the same sub-.500 team they’ve been each year since 2007, I refuse to believe they’ve turned the corner. Cleveland was one of the most-hyped teams in the NFL before last season and all the Browns did was go 6-10 to finish third in the AFC North. QB Baker Mayfield, RB Nick Chubb, WR Odell Beckham Jr. and WR Jarvis Landry are all big-name players, but they must play up to expectations. Last season, they absolutely did not, and the defense wasn’t nearly good enough either. With another new head coach, there could be an adjustment period, too.
Indianapolis Colts: 8.5 (+130)
Say what you will about Philip Rivers, but it’s hard to watch his tape from recent years and think he can lead the Colts to the playoffs. The Over/Under of 8.5 wins is fairly high and I’m not ready to call Indianapolis a winning team, even with Rivers under center. They went 7-9 last season and 4-12 in the other season Andrew Luck missed (2017), so they’ve had very little success without the former franchise QB. Darius Leonard, Malik Hooker and T.Y. Hilton are reasons for optimism, as is the offensive line led by Quenton Nelson, but Rivers’ shaky play will be their undoing.
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