Do you think Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Tom Brady has what it takes to win the 2020 NFL MVP?
Brady, who joins the Bucs after spending his entire career with the New England Patriots, has won the award three times (2017, 2010, 2007). While he made his NFL debut in 2000 in a relief appearance, making just three passing attempts, he became the starter in 2001.
Below, we take a look at MVP futures odds for the 2020 NFL season. Let’s examine his chances, the BetMGM NFL futures odds around it happening, and whether or not Brady is worth a bet.
Recent NFL MVP winners
2019 – QB Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens)
2018 – QB Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs)
2017 – Brady
2016 – QB Matt Ryan (Atlanta Falcons)
2015 – QB Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers)
2014 – QB Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers)
2013 – QB Peyton Manning (Denver Broncos)
Tom Brady’s 2020 NFL MVP odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated April 3 at 11 a.m. E.T.
Brady’s odds are +2000. He has the sixth-best odds to win the award and is tied with a few other notable quarterbacks such as the Houston Texans’ Deshaun Watson, the Dallas Cowboys’ Dak Prescott and the Philadelphia Eagles’ Carson Wentz. Here are the top-five favorites and their current odds to take home the award:
- Mahomes (+325)
- Jackson (+500)
- Seattle Seahawks QB Russell Wilson (+500)
- New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees (+1400)
- Rodgers (+1600)
It is worth noting that quarterbacks have won the award in seven consecutive seasons and in 12 of the last 13.
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Tom Brady’s 2019 stats
The 2019 season was one of Brady’s worst of his career. While he maintained a solid touchdown to interception ratio of 24:8, his completion percentage dropped to 60.8 percent, 3.0 percent below his career average.
Brady also averaged just 6.6 yards per attempt, which is the second worst of his career. The last time Brady averaged less than 6.6 yards per attempt for an entire season was in 2002, which was his second full season as a starter.
He finished last season with 4,057 passing yards, the fewest yards he has thrown since 2010. It’s fair to wonder if Brady is finally hitting the wall as he’ll turn 43 years old Aug. 3.
Is Tom Brady worth a 2020 NFL MVP bet?
The winner of the NFL’s MVP award isn’t always about which quarterback puts up the best stats in a given season. Often times, it’s about the narrative and story surrounding a player.
For Brady to win the award in 2020, his goal is fairly simple. He’ll need to make the Buccaneers an NFC contender and in turn, a playoff team. But that will be incredibly difficult in a division (NFC South) that has been dominated by the Saints for the last decade.
Given the number of weapons Brady will have at his disposal and the fact that head coach Bruce Arians is one of the more pass-happy coaches in the NFL, Brady’s passing stats should look excellent. However, it will be tough for him to win the award unless Tampa Bay wins double-digit games in 2020.
While it’s a fun bet to wager on Brady, there are better bets available on younger players who are on better teams. AVOID betting on this prop as there just isn’t enough value on Brady at this time.
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