2020 NFL MVP odds: Is Derrick Henry worth a bet?

Analyzing the betting odds to be named the NFL’s 2020 MVP, with a look at whether Derrick Henry is worthy of a bet this season.

Do you think Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry has what it takes to win the 2020 NFL MVP?

Derrick Henry had a magical 2019 season as he was the force behind the Titans’ dominant rushing attack. His play over the final eight regular-season games allowed the Titans to clinch a playoff berth. They eventually reached the AFC Championship Game behind their star running back.

Below, we take a look at MVP futures odds for the 2020 NFL season. Let’s examine his chances, the BetMGM NFL futures odds around it happening, and whether or not Henry is worth a bet.

Recent NFL MVP winners

2019 – QB Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens)

2018 – QB Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs)

2017 – QB Tom Brady (New England Patriots)

2016 – QB Matt Ryan (Atlanta Falcons)

2015 – QB Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers)

2014 – QB Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers)

2013 – QB Peyton Manning (Denver Broncos)

Derrick Henry’s 2020 NFL MVP odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, April 4 at 4:15 p.m. E.T.

Henry’s odds to take home the 2020 MVP award is +3300. Henry and the New York Giants’ Saquon Barkley (also at +3300), have the highest odds among running backs to win the award despite no tailback being named MVP since 2012 (Adrian Peterson, then with the Minnesota Vikings). Twelve players have better odds to take home the award than Henry and Barkley, all of which are quarterbacks.


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Derrick Henry’s 2019 stats

Henry had a career year in 2019, leading the NFL in rushing yards (1,540) and tying with the Green Bay Packers’ Aaron Jones for the most rushing touchdowns (16). Henry averaged over 5.0 yards per carry (at 5.1) for the first time in his career and even set a career high in receiving yards (206), as well.

Henry was dominant in the postseason, too, tallying 467 total yards (446 rushing and 21 receiving) with two TDs in the Titans’ run to the AFC title game. His play was a big reason why the Titans were able to make such a deep playoff run. It’s also worth noting that Henry has improved on his rushing total every season since he’s been in the NFL and is improving as a receiver, as well.

Is Derrick Henry worth a 2020 NFL MVP bet?

Betting on Henry to win the NFL MVP award is tough for a variety of factors. In the new-age NFL, running backs just don’t stand much of a chance to take home the award due to the run-pass splits. It takes a historic, record-breaking type of season for a running back to even be in the conversation for the MVP award in today’s NFL.

But if Henry can match the production that he had in the final eight games of the 2019 regular season, he would be close to eclipsing 2,000 rushing yards and 20 total touchdowns. Those type of numbers, plus the Titans making the playoffs, is what Henry would need to accomplish in order to have a shot at winning the award.

But considering just how hard those numbers are to obtain, it doesn’t favor Henry winning the award. Running backs also are more likely to miss time with injuries in comparison to quarterbacks, and negative game-scripts can be crippling to the production of a player like Henry.

AVOID betting on Henry to win the NFL MVP, but consider betting on him instead to lead the league in rushing for the second consecutive season.

Want action on the 2020 NFL MVP award? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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