Do you think Los Angeles Rams QB Jared Goff has what it takes to win the 2020 NFL MVP?
Goff was a candidate for the award during the first half of the 2018 season, performing as one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL. But since then, his play has fallen off, he’s struggled with accuracy and has issues when he isn’t afforded sound protection up front.
More will be on his shoulders in 2020 with RB Todd Gurley gone, which makes Goff an interesting MVP candidate after a down year.
Let’s examine his chances, the BetMGM NFL futures odds around it happening and whether or not Goff is worth a bet.
Recent NFL MVP winners
The NFL might as well rename the MVP award to “MVQB”: Most Valuable Quarterback. A QB has won the award in each of the last seven years, which is hardly surprising considering the importance of the position and the role quarterbacks play on offense. Much of their teams’ success comes down to whether they succeed in a given season.
Last season’s winner, Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, isn’t a good comparison for Goff because Jackson is a true dual-threat quarterback, but in 2018, Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes won the award after throwing for 5,097 yards and 50 touchdowns. Tom Brady’s numbers for the New England Patriots in 2017 weren’t as gaudy (4,577 yards and 32 TDs), which shows a team’s success plays a big role, too.
Goff has thrown for at least 4,600 yards in each of the last two seasons, so yardage totals aren’t an issue for him, but he’s never had more than 32 touchdown passes in a season and had just 22 in 2019.
Jared Goff’s 2020 NFL MVP odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, April 8 at 12:40 a.m. ET.
GOFF is +4000 to win MVP, tied with Cleveland Browns QB Baker Mayfield and Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins. That’s surprisingly behind two NFC West rival QBs and three running backs. Arizona Cardinals QB Kyler Murray and San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo are both +2500, while New York Giants RB Saquon Barkley, Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry and Carolina Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey are each +3300.
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Jared Goff’s stats
In the last three seasons, Goff has averaged 4,377 passing yards, 27 passing touchdowns and 12 interceptions per year. Those are decent numbers, but such a stat line isn’t nearly enough to win MVP.
His best season came in 2018 when he threw for 4,688 yards and 32 TDs with 12 picks. His passer rating was an impressive 101.1, far higher than his 2019 mark of 86.5.
Is Jared Goff worth a 2020 NFL MVP bet?
The Rams aren’t in full rebuild mode, but they certainly don’t look like the powerhouse they were in 2018. Goff’s play really fell off last season behind a shaky offensive line, and there are minimal signs that the line will be any better next season.
However, with how much the Rams are going to rely on Goff now that Gurley is gone, their success will have a lot to do with how he plays – which helps his MVP case if they finish well above .500.
GOFF IS WORTH A SMALL WAGER AT +4000, but don’t bet the house by any means.
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