In a middleweight bout in Saturday’s main event, Robert Whittaker and Kelvin Gastelum meet at UFC on ESPN 22 – also known as UFC Vegas 24 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, and the main card begins at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 22 Whittaker vs. Gastelum odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
UFC on ESPN 22 Whittaker vs. Gastelum Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:58 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Whittaker -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Gastelum +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
- Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -140 | Under +115)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -130 | No +110)
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UFC on ESPN 22 Whittaker vs. Gastelum: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Whittaker 23-5 | Gastelum 17-6
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Whittaker (-275) will cost you nearly three times your potential return, so we’ll have to get more specific. He towers over Gastelum by three inches, and he holds a two-inch reach advantage over the southpaw, too.
In addition, Whittaker is ahead 4.52-to-3.64 in significant strikes landed per minute. If Gastelum holds an advantage it is in the ground game, where he has a 1.22-to-0.43 takedown average lead and 39.13-to-27.27 takedown accuracy percentage.
Whittaker has bounced back from a title loss to Israel Adesanya at UFC 243 on Oct. 5, 2019, posting unanimous-decision wins over Darren Till and Jared Cannonier. He’ll keep the streak going with another distance-win over Gastelum, so bet WHITTAKER ON POINTS (+120) for a good value.
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Over/Under (O/U)
I like Whittaker to win on points, so play YES (-130): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?. OVER 3.5 ROUNDS (-165) and/or OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-140) are worth playing, too, if you’re looking for a little bit of wiggle room.
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MMA Junkie:
- UFC on ESPN 22 weigh-in highlights, faceoffs and photo gallery
- UFC on ESPN 22 breakdown: Deciphering the potential chaos of Robert Whittaker vs. Kelvin Gastelum
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