Tag: White Sox Twins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (44-45) continue their 4-game series with the Minnesota Twins (49-42) at Target Field Friday with the 1st pitch set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins nickname odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago hammered Minnesota 12-2 in Thursday’s series opener, but the Twins lead the season series 5-2 with a plus-8 run differential.

The White Sox are 6-4 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games and sit 4 games behind the Twins for 1st-place in the AL Central. Minnesota is just 4-6 SU in the last 10.

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White Sox at Twins projected starters

RHP Michael Kopech vs. LHP Devin Smeltzer

Kopech is 2-6 with a 3.35 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 78 IP over 16 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Chicago’s 4-2 home win vs. the Detroit Tigers Sunday with 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 4 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Twins: 0-1 with a 5.59 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 11 H, 4 HR, 5 BB and 12 K in 2 starts.

Smeltzer is 4-3 with a 3.92 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 59 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Minnesota’s 9-7 loss at the Texas Rangers Saturday with 3 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 3 HR, 3 BB and 2 K.
  • 2022 home splits: 2-1 with a 2.10 ERA (30 IP, 7 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 6 HR and 5.1 K/9 in 5 starts.

White Sox at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:11 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): White Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Twins -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-180) | Twins -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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White Sox at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, White Sox 2

Money line

LEAN TWINS (-140) because they are the “sharp” play and have been steamed up from a -130 ML opener, according to Pregame.com.

For instance, more than 60% of the bets placed are on the White Sox (+110) but roughly two-thirds of the money is on the Twins, per Tipico Sportsbook. Typically, it’s wise to follow the cash when it’s counter to the public since professional bettors put up a lot more dough than your average Joe.

However, it’s just a LEAN to the TWINS (-140) because the market analysis is my only handicapping here and the Under is my favorite look in this game.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m not confident enough in the Twins -1.5 (+145) to “sprinkle” on their RL and they are just 14-20 RL as home favorites whereas the White Sox +1.5 (-180) are 17-9 RL as road underdogs.

Over/Under

BET a half-unit on the UNDER 8.5 (+110).

The White Sox are 5-9-2 O/U in Kopech’s road outings with a plus-20.5% return on investment (ROI)  towards the Under and an average total of 7.80. The Twins are 1-4 O/U in Smeltzer’s home starts with a plus-53.6% ROI and an average total of 5.60.

Wait closer to the first pitch in hopes of getting a 9- or 9.5-run total but I’d WAGER a half-unit on the UNDER 8.5 (+110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (43-45) head to Target Field Thursday to start a 4-game series with the Minnesota Twins (49-41) at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins nickname odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Both teams are 5-5 overall in the last 10 games, but Minnesota sits 5 games ahead of Chicago atop the AL Central.

The Twins beat the White Sox 2-1 in a 3-game set last week and Minnesota leads the season series 5-1 with a plus-18 run differential.

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White Sox at Twins projected starters

RHP Johnny Cueto vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Cueto is 3-4 with a 2.91 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 68 IP over 10 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Last start: Won 8-0 Saturday at home vs. the Detroit Tigers with 8 scoreless IP, 5 H, 0 BB and 5 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Twins: One start, a no-decision in Chicago’s 6-3 home loss July 4 with 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 5 BB and 3 K.

Gray is 4-2 with a 3.03 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 59 1/3 IP across 12 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 6-5 Friday at the Texas Rangers with 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 0 K.
  • 2021 vs. the White Sox: 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 7 H, 1 HR, 4 BB and 14 K in 2 starts.

White Sox at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:46 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): White Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Twins -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-150) | Twins -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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White Sox at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 7, White Sox 3

Money line

RISK 1 unit on the TWINS (-170) because they’ve been hit by heavy sharp action, Minnesota’s bats are more productive against right-handed pitching than Chicago’s and Gray’s advanced stats vs. the White Sox (+135) are much better than Cueto’s vs. the Twins.

Minnesota’s ML has been steamed from -149 up to the current number per Pregame.com and that type of line movement in a division game is jarring.

Also, the Twins’ lineup outperforms the White Sox vs. right-handed pitching in several advanced hitting stats such as wRC+ (118-88), wOBA (.331-.290), ISO (.178-.112), BB/K rate (0.39-0.29) and hard-hit rate (34.8-27.0%), per FanGraphs.

Finally, Gray has a 34.7% K-rate in 75 plate appearances (PA) vs. Chicago’s lineup with a .197 batting average, per Statcast. Whereas Cueto has an 18.4% K-rate with a .407 expected wOBA and .552 expected slugging percentage.

If your standard unit is $100 then “FLAT-BET” that on the TWINS (-170) to earn a $58.82 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS with a “lean” toward the Twins -1.5 (+122) because 4 of their 5 wins vs. the White Sox +1.5 (-150) have been by at least 2 runs.

However, Minnesota’s RL isn’t a big enough payout considering it is 14-19 RL as home favorites while Chicago is 16-9 RL as road underdogs.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-112) because 4 of the 5 White Sox-Twins matchups have gone Over Thursday’s total.

But Minnesota is just 13-19-1 O/U as home favorites, the total hasn’t budged off the opener even though most of the action is on the Over (according to Pregame.com) and Chicago’s lineup is terrible vs. right-handed pitching.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (6-6) meet the Minnesota Twins (5-8) Friday for the opener of a 3-game series at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago has lost 4 consecutive games, recently being swept 3-0 at the Cleveland Guardians Wednesday (doubleheader) and Thursday.

Minnesota prevented a 3-game sweep Wednesday by beating the Royals 1-0 in Kansas City following a 2-2 split of a 4-game series at the Boston Red Sox.

The White Sox won last year’s regular-season series with the Twins 13-6, outscoring Minnesota 123-71.

White Sox at Twins: Projected starters

RHP Michael Kopech vs. RHP Bailey Ober 

Kopech (0-0, 1.00 ERA) has 2 no-decisions to start 2022, first throwing 4 IP with 1 ER in a 10-1 win at the Detroit Tigers April 10, then going 5 IP with 0 ER in a 3-2 win over the Tampa Bay Rays Saturday.

  • Career vs. Twins: 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA (7 IP, 1 ER), 6 H, 3 BB and 8 K over 4 relief appearances and 1 start

Ober (1-1, 3.27 ERA) lost at the Red Sox 8-1 Sunday, working 6 IP with 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 3 K.

  • 2021 vs. White Sox: 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.32 WHIP and 9.5 K/9 across 5 starts in his rookie season
  • vs. White Sox on the current roster: 4.33 FIP with a .224 batting average, .312 wOBA, .460 expected-slugging percentage (xSLG), 27.4 K% and 93.3 mph exit velocity (EV) in 62 plate appearances.

White Sox at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:36 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): White Sox -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Twins -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox -1.5 (+155) | Twins +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

White Sox at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 4, Twins 2

Money line

LEAN WHITE SOX (-108).

They’ve been steamed from slight underdogs on the opener up to the current price and they have a significant edge in the pitching matchup.

Ober grades in the 22nd percentile or worse in xSLG, EV, hard-hit rate, barrel rate and expected wOBA, according to Statcast.

Also, the White Sox’s bullpen is 6th in FIP and 7th in home runs allowed per 9 innings, per FanGraphs. Minnesota’s bullpen ranks 28th in both of those respective categories.

However, it’s only a LEAN WHITE SOX (-108) because the Under is my favorite wager in this contest.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m not confident enough in Chicago to sprinkle on White Sox -1.5 (+155). Chicago is 38-44 on the RL versus AL Central foes since the beginning of last season; Minnesota owns a 32-47 RL record vs. the division over that span.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-108) for 1 unit.

Chicago’s lineup has the second-worst wOBA and wRC+ versus right-handed pitching. Minnesota’s lineup is 21st in wRC+ and 23rd in wOBA.

Minnesota is 0-5 O/U in the last 5 games versus a righty starter, the Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 White Sox-Twins meetings and the total has been lowered from 8.5 on the opener by sharp-line movement, according to Pregame.com.

On top of that, the weather forecast is predicting higher than 15 mph winds blowing in from right-center field.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (67-47) meet for a Wednesday matinee with the Minnesota Twins (49-65) at 1:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Reynaldo Lopez will start for the Sox Wednesday after Lance Lynn had previously been in line to start. Lopez is 1-0 with 5 runs (3 earned) allowed on 9 hits and 3 walks against 18 strikeouts over 17 innings. Will be making just his second start of the season.

RHP Bailey Ober is the projected starter for the Twins. The rookie right-hander has made 12 starts this season and is 1-1 with a 4.99 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 across 52 1/3 IP.

  • Has struggled at Target Field with a 5.33 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over 27 IP.

White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Twins +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (-110) | Twins +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Twins 5

Money line (ML)

Wednesday’s afternoon game at Target Field is the rubber match of a three-game series. The White Sox are looking to run their season record against the Twins to 14-5 and Chicago has a good foot forward with Lynn on mound.

The Twins have been battling in close games against tough foes of late. Peg the prices here as being far too rich on the Sox but not offering enough return on Minnesota: PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The TWINS +1.5 (-110) play has the most value among the sides. Minnesota has batted well at home after a slow start with a .756 OPS since July 24.

Ober has been hurt by a 20.3% home run/fly ball rate. That’s an indication he has been a bit unlucky. His expected ERA figures are as much as a run lower than his surface number. After two iffy outings against the ChiSox earlier this season, he held them scoreless over 5 frames at home July 5.

Over/Under (O/U)

Wednesday’s Minneapolis weather report calls for temperatures in the low-to-mid-80s and a double-digit wind out to right field. Peg the price as being attractive enough in shading the OVER 9.5 (+105).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (66-46) tussle with the Minnesota Twins (48-64) in the Monday night opener of a three-game series at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Lucas Giolito is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He has made 22 starts this season and is 8-8 with a 3.98 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 129 IP.

  • Has a long and effective history against current Twins hitters with a .640 OPS and .172 isolated power allowed. Has logged a 2.57 ERA in 14 IP against Minnesota in 2021 and has held batters to a .597 OPS in seven career games at Target Field.
  • Coming off a disastrous start against the Kansas City Royals with 3 home runs, and 6 earned runs allowed over 4 innings. Has a decent history in bouncing back after yielding 4-plus runs in a game.

RHP Beau Burrows is the projected starter for the Twins. He is a second-year Major Leaguer who was claimed off waivers from the Detroit Tigers in June. As a reliever only (Monday will mark his first career start), he has allowed 11 ER across 9 IP in 2021.

  • Has allowed 15 ER on 19 hits and 8 BB over 15 2/3 IP; has struck out 9.
  • Has thus far been an extreme fly-ball pitcher and has yielded 5 home runs in his career.
  • Making this start as an opener. The Twins own a 4.89 bullpen ERA to rank 26th MLB on the year.

White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Twins +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (-130) | Twins +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

White Sox 4, Twins 3

Money line (ML)

The White Sox are coming off a three-game road sweep of the crosstown-rival Chicago Cubs. The Sox scored 21 runs in that series and own a .785 OPS over their last nine games.

The Twins head into this series off an impressive 3-1 series win at the Houston Astros. They may not be thrilled by what the schedule offers up next, as Chicago has taken 12 of 16 games from the Twins this season. The Pale Hose have outscored Minnesota, 109-65, along the way.

Peg the money line prices as bracketing the true odds on both sides: PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The TWINS +1.5 (+105) play is perhaps worth some partial-unit action. Minnesota is back at home after a nine-game road trip and the Twins are 6-3 in series openers at home after returning from road trips. Minnesota has batted well at home after a slow start with a .782 OPS since June 24.

Five of the Twins’ last 6 games were decided by 2 or fewer runs. Before Chicago’s recent surge, the Sox were also playing a slew of close games.

Over/Under (O/U)

There isn’t much of a lean here, but what there is tilts toward the UNDER 9.5 (+100). An inward breeze, Giolito and a better-than-advertised Minnesota bullpen make for the slight shade toward a 7-to-9-run affair.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (49-35) and Minnesota Twins (35-48) continue a three-game AL Central set Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Carlos Rodon is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. Rodon is 6-3 with a 2.37 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 13.1 K/9, and 2.8 BB/9 in 83 2/3 IP through 14 starts.

Rodon is coming off back-to-back 5-inning starts that have seen his ERA rise from 1.83 to 2.37. He allowed 4 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 9 K across 5 IP in his last outing Thursday against this same Minnesota team.

RHP Jose Berrios is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 7-2 with a 3.52 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 9.1 K/9, and 2.3 BB/9 in 94 2/3 IP over 16 starts.

Berrios struggled in his last start Thursday at the ChiSox, but current Chicago bats own a mere .674 OPS against him. The Minnesota right-hander had logged a 3.07 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over his 7 previous starts prior to the misstep last week.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:18 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) |  Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+140) | Twins +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Twins 5, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

Minnesota won Monday’s series opener, and the White Sox are now 2-8 in their last 10 away from home.

Statcast quality-of-contact numbers peg Chicago as being fortunate in averaging 4.99 runs per game. The Minnesota offense – which has averaged a solid 4.69 RPG – could be even better. The Twins have been held back by low batting averages on balls in play in high-leverage situations.

The TWINS (-105) were a play on Monday and they are here again Tuesday but with a small lean in going against Rodon.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the extended house edge on the run line prices.

Over/Under (O/U)

There isn’t much of a lean here, but the Twins own a robust .785 OPS since June 1. Figure some slight fade to both starting pitchers. While an even 8 would make for better value BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (49-34) and Minnesota Twins (34-48) open a three-game AL Central set Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Dylan Cease is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. Cease is 7-3 with a 3.75 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 11.4 K/9, and 3.9 BB/9 in 81 2/3 IP over 16 starts.

Cease is facing the Twins for a second consecutive start. He allowed 2 runs on 3 hits and 3 walks while fanning 7 over 6 innings Wednesday to earn a win over Minnesota.

RHP Bailey Ober is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. In 6 starts, Ober is 0-1 with a 5.84 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 9.5 K/9, and 2.2 BB/9 in 24 2/3 IP.

Ober faced Cease in that Wednesday game and was dealt his first career loss after giving up 5 runs on 4 H and 2 BB while striking out 3 across 3 1/3 IP. The 25-year-old rookie has allowed 5 home runs and 9 ER across 7 1/3 IP against Chicago this year.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) |  Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+135) | Twins +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Twins 5, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The White Sox dropped 2-of-3 at Detroit over a weekend series that kicked off their current nine-game road trip. Despite the club’s success overall (the Sox head into this week with a 6-game lead in the AL Central) Chicago has sometimes struggled away from home. The White Sox are 18-20 over 38 road games and are 2-7 in their last 9 away from home.

The Twins were swept in a three-gamer at Chicago last week and are 1-8 against the ChiSox this season. Minnesota is also coming off a 1-2 weekend (at Kansas City) and is 1-5 in its last 6 games.

The TWINS (-105) are a small favorite in Monday’s opener. The Minnesota bullpen is in better shape coming off the weekend, and the Twins own a robust .776 OPS since June 1.

Statcast quality-of-contact metrics peg the White Sox as being fortunate in averaging their 4.99 runs per game. The Minnesota offense, good as it is, has been undone by low batting averages on balls in play in key high-leverage situations. The Twins have scored 4.65 RPG and are capable of more.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the extended house edge on the run line prices.

Over/Under (O/U)

A hot night and an outward breeze, and some respect for these offenses, has the total in double digits. Low humidity is also in the forecast and so is enough talent on the mound: BACK THE UNDER 10 (-105).

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (24-15) begin a three-game set with the Minnesota Twins (13-25) Monday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago split its four-game series with the Kansas City Royals after winning Sunday 4-3. The White Sox have won eight of their previous 10 games, which includes a three-game sweep of the Twins last week.

Minnesota lost the rubber match of its three-game set with the Oakland Athletics Sunday and have lost nine of the last 11 games.

Season series: White Sox 3-0.

LHP Dallas Keuchel gets the start for the White Sox. Keuchel is 2-1 with a 4.53 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 3.7 K/9 over 8 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 13-8, in 5 2/3 IP with 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 1 K vs. the Twins Wednesday.
  • Career vs. the Twins: 5-3 with a 3.91 ERA (46 IP, 20 ER), 1.46 WHIP and 7.6 K/9 in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • Vs. Twins on the current roster: 162 at-bats with a .259/.324/.407 slash line, 27/16 K/BB, 7 HR and 17 RBIs.

LHP J.A. Happ is on the mound for the Twins. Happ is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 13-8, in 3 1/3 IP with 9 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, and 3 K Wednesday against the White Sox.
  • Last 5 vs. the White Sox: 2-2 with an 8.76 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 10 BB and 29 K.
    • Vs. White Sox on the current roster: 95 at-bats with a .326/.366/.558 slash line, 23/5 K/BB, 3 HR and 17 RBIs.

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White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Twins -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+145) | Twins +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

White Sox 8, Twins 4

Money line (ML)

Both teams hit lefties well and each starter’s advanced pitching numbers are alarming, but Chicago’s lineup is the best in the league vs. left-handed pitching.

The White Sox are first in wRC+, wOBA, OPS and seventh in BB/K vs. lefties, however, both Keuchel and Happ grade in the 31st percentile or lower in expected wOBA, expected slugging percentage, whiff% and K%.

Lastly, the White Sox have beaten the Twins in four straight and Minnesota has lost four consecutive meetings with AL Central opponents.

GIMME the WHITE SOX (-110) for 1 unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

I’ll “SPRINKLE” a tiny wager on the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+145) because they should be able to pad whatever lead they get on Happ vs. Minnesota’s terrible bullpen.

The Twins relievers are a bottom-10 unit in WAR, xFIP and home runs per nine innings and allow the hardest hit rate by 5.4%, whereas White Sox relievers are fifth in WAR and third in xFIP.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because I prefer the side more than the total in this game, but since both lineups drill lefties and both starters serve up plenty of meatballs to get crushed, I definitely lean Over 9.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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