The Chicago White Sox (21-13) and Minnesota Twins (20-15) begin a key AL Central series Monday at 8:10 p.m. ET at Target Field. Below, we analyze the White Sox-Twins MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
White Sox at Twins: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Lucas Giolito vs. LHP Rich Hill
Giolito is coming off back-to-back stellar efforts, including a no-hitter at the Pittsburgh Pirates last Tuesday. He is 3-2 with a tidy 3.09 ERA.
- Giolito struck out 13 Pirates in the no-hitter. He also fanned 13 the start prior and has held foes to a mere .463 OPS over his last 6 starts.
- The Twins got to Giolito for nine base runners and 7 ER on July 24. Current Minnesota batters own a homer-laden .815 OPS off the Chicago righty.
Hill owns a 3.55 ERA through three starts. The veteran port-sider was on the shelf with a shoulder injury in the first half of August and hasn’t pitched past the fifth in any outing.
- Hill doesn’t figure to get deep into this contest. He’s backed by a good Twins bullpen, but one which is likely overrated by a cursory glance at its 3.78 ERA. It’s a group prone to more fly balls than most, and Chicago has done a number on fly-ball pitchers (.833 OPS).
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White Sox at Twins: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
White Sox
- RP Aaron Bummer (biceps) out
- OF Leury Garcia (hand) out
- 2B Yoan Moncada (leg) probable
Twins
- OF Byron Buxton (shoulder) out
- 3B Josh Donaldson (calf) out
- C Mitch Garver (ribs) out
- OF Eddie Rosario (ankle) questionable
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
White Sox at Twins: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:35 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
The White Sox hit well on the road, and they clobber left-handers. Their early-season batting prowess (5.2 RPG, .818 OPS) comes despite low BABIP figures in scoring and high-leverage situations. The Pale Hose have won four of their last five overall and four of their last six on the road. Minnesota (+115) enters on a five-game skid, but I’m not a fan of Chicago’s price (-129). I’ll focus on the run line below. PASS on a moneyline play.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the White Sox returns a profit of $7.75. A $10 bet on the Twins ML profits $11.50 if they prevail.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The more likable play here – especially with any drift up in the payout – is Chicago on the run line. WHITE SOX -1.5 (+120) is a moderate lean vs. Minnesota +1.5 (-143).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over is 5-1 in the White Sox’ last six contests as a road favorite and 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two clubs. The analytics underlying run production and run prevention are bullish on the Chicago offense and bearish on the Minnesota pitching and defense. The weatherman is calling for a light hitters breeze out to center. Tag this one with a LEAN ON THE OVER 9 (-110).
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