The Chicago White Sox (53-51) stop by Globe Life Field Thursday to start a 4-game series with the Texas Rangers (46-58) at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Chicago is 7-3 over the last 10 games, includes back-to-back 2-1 home series wins vs. the Oakland Athletics and Kansas City Royals.
Texas is 3-7 in the last 10 and coming off being swept in 3 at home by the Baltimore Orioles Monday-Wednesday.
Season series: Rangers lead 2-1 – both victories were in extra innings
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White Sox at Rangers projected starters
RHP Johnny Cueto vs. LHP Cole Ragans
Cueto is 4-4 with a 2.86 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 88 IP over 13 starts and 1 relief appearance.
- Last start: No-decision in 3-2 home win Saturday vs. Oakland behind 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 HR, 1 BB, 2 K
- 2022 road splits: 3-1, 1.70 ERA (37 IP, 7 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 4 HR, 7.8 K/9 in 6 starts
Ragans is making his MLB debut Thursday.
- 2022 minor league: 8-5, 3.04 ERA (94 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 10 HR, 2.9 BB/9, 10.7 K/9 over 18 starts for Texas’ Double-A and Triple-A affiliates
- First-round selection (30th overall) in 2016 MLB Draft
- Rangers’ 21st-ranked prospect (FanGraphs)
White Sox at Rangers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:18 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): White Sox -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Rangers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox -1.5 (+120) | Rangers -1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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White Sox at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
White Sox 7, Rangers 3
Money line
RISK 1 UNIT ON WHITE SOX (-140) only because we’re late to the party on Chicago’s ML. The White Sox have been steamed from a -115 opening favorite up to the current number according to Pregame.com and VegasInsider.com.
Chicago’s bullpen is the better unit, Texas’s bullpen is overworked and Chicago’s lineup hits lefties well. The White Sox rank 3rd in wRC+ and 4th in wOBA (FanGraphs).
Also, Chicago is 15-7 straight up (SU) as a road favorite and Texas is 11-15 SU as a home underdog.
If your standard unit is $100, BET $100 ON WHITE SOX (-140) to profit $71.43 since we are getting the worst of the number.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Chicago -1.5 (+120) isn’t a big enough payout considering the Sox are 11-11 RL as home favorites and the Rangers are 17-9 RL as home underdogs despite their crappy SU record in those spots.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-130).
The first 3 head-to-head meetings this season went Over. Plus, Globe Life Field is 8th in park factor, meaning it’s hitter-friendly.
Also, there are hitter-friendly weather conditions forecasted for Thursday’s game with temperatures projected in the low-100s and a 20-plus MPH wind blowing out to right-center field.
However, it’s only a LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (-130) because Cueto has pitched well on the road this year and Ragans has nasty stuff and is an intriguing prospect.
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