The Chicago White Sox (26-16) and Pittsburgh Pirates (14-26) close out a two-gamer at PNC Park with a 7:05 p.m. ET contest Wednesday night. Below, we analyze the White Sox-Pirates MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
White Sox at Pirates: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Dane Dunning vs. RHP JT Brubaker
Dunning is on for his fourth start of the season (and the fourth of his career). The ChiSox rookie owns a 3.86 ERA and 1.14 WHIP through his first 14 innings in the majors.
- Has logged an impressive 50% groundball rate and 20% soft-contact rate over his first three starts.
Brubaker, likewise, is a Pirates rookie this season. The 26-year-old right-hander has logged a 3.96 ERA and 1.44 WHIP through five starts and a pair of relief appearances.
- Expect the Bucs to be careful with Brubaker, who is coming off back-to-back 85-pitch efforts. Due to arm injury, he was limited to just 29 innings in the minors in 2019.
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White Sox at Pirates: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
White Sox
- OF Leury Garcia (thumb) out
Pirates
- CF Anthony Alford (elbow) out
- RP Keone Kela (forearm) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
White Sox at Pirates: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
Chicago’s (-162) south-siders are a legitimate .600 baseball club, and one could make the case the underlying analytics actually undersell the White Sox’s 5.3 runs per game and 4.1 RPG allowed.
Pittsburgh (+145), on the other hand, is a legitimate National League cellar dweller. The Pirates have reached a point that exists at the extreme top and bottom of the bet-ability continuum whereby almost no acceptable value can be found in any game.
Can we find a margin on the Chicago side? Probably not on this WHITE SOX (-162) price. Something in the -155 range would be acceptable, but that drop seems unlikely.
New to sports betting? A winning $100 bet on the White Sox (-162) returns a profit of $61.73.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
A better price weighted for the play exists here on the run-and-a-half run line. The powerful Pale Hose are 11-5 in games decided by five-or-more runs. Chicago lost Tuesday’s mini-series opener after having won four consecutive games. All four were by multi-run margins. On Aug. 25-26, Chicago outscored the Pirates 14-3 over a pair of games in the Windy City.
Back the WHITE SOX -1.5 (-106).
Over/Under (O/U)
The call here is clouded by the short past-performance histories of the starters. A lower-humidity forecast with an inward breeze makes for a lean on the UNDER 9 (-110).
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