The 5 best NFL prop bets: Week 16

Cash in with these NFL Week 16 prop bets.

This week’s prop bets include five players: a pair of wide receivers and a quarterback hitting Over their projections, a running back staying Under his number, and a player who hasn’t scored a touchdown all season ending that streak.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 16

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 16 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 16.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 16

OFF = No odds currently listed.


The 5 best bets for NFL Week 16

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for the Week 16.

This week’s picks are all over the board. We have a game hitting Over the projection, a game going Under, a struggling franchise winning on the road, and a road favorite and home underdog covering the spread. Most don’t make sense … until they do.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Betting the NFL Line: Week 16

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 16 action.

Week 16 is going to go a long way to determining playoff positioning for the top teams and draft slotting for the lesser teams because of the way the schedule lays out. Of the 16 Week 16 games, 14 of them will pit conference opponents, and seven of those will be division matchups.


Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


Denver Broncos (+120) at Los Angeles Chargers (-145)

The Over/Under is pretty low (42 points at -110 for both Over and Under). In their last four games (all wins), the Broncos have scored 38, 29, 41, and 31 points. The Chargers have topped this number in each of their last four home games. Take Over 42 points (-110).


Houston Texans (+135) at Kansas City Chiefs (-160)

The Chiefs are slight home favorites (3 points at -110 for both teams). Patrick Mahomes will try to play through his injury and, while the Texans are in the playoffs, heading north to play outdoors is far from an ideal scenario. Take the Chiefs and lay 3 points (-110).


Pittsburgh Steelers (+225) at Baltimore Ravens (-275)

The Ravens are big favorites (6 points at -110 for both teams). The Steelers have won the last four meetings by scores of 16-13, 17-10, 17-10, and 18-16. The Ravens are capable of blowing them out but haven’t showed, losing eight of nine meetings since 2020. Take the Steelers plus 6 points (-110).


New York Giants (+350) at Atlanta Falcons (-450)

The Falcons are huge favorites (8.5 points at -110 for both). The move to Michael Penix Jr. should be a solid one, because the Giants have no film to look at, and New York’s offense isn’t going to threaten Atlanta’s defense. Take the Falcons and lay 8.5 points (-110).


Detroit Lions (-300) at Chicago Bears (+240)

The Lions are solid road favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). In their eight-game losing streak, the Bears have scored 15 or fewer points five times. Even with key defensive injuries, the Lions have the horses to win by a touchdown or more. Take the Lions and lay 6.5 points (-110).


Cleveland Browns (+310) at Cincinnati Bengals (-400)

The Bengals are big favorites (7.5 points at -115 Browns, -105 Bengals). With Cleveland making another quarterback change, and the Bengals putting up 27 or more points in each of their last five games, the Browns just can’t hang with them. Take the Bengals and lay 7.5 points (-105).

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Tennessee Titans (+155) at Indianapolis Colts (-190)

The Over/Under is low (42 points at -110 for both). The Titans defense is awful, allowing 27 or more points in six of its last nine games. The Colts aren’t much better, allowing 24 or more points in their last five games. Take Over 42 points (-110).


Los Angeles Rams (-190) at New York Jets (+155)

The Rams are road favorites (3.5 points at -110 for both). Three of New York’s four wins have come against the Tennessee Titans, New England Patriots and Jacksonville Jaguars. The Rams are hot and have momentum on their side, even in a bad road situation. Take the Rams and lay 3.5 points (-110).


Philadelphia Eagles (-185) at Washington Commanders (+150)

The Eagles are iffy favorites (3.5 points at -105 Eagles, -115 Commanders). The Eagles are fighting for No. 1 seed in the NFC and are playing like it. In the last month, they have put down the Los Angeles Rams, Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers – much less already beating the Commanders before that. Take the Eagles and lay 3.5 points (-105).


Arizona Cardinals (-225) at Carolina Panthers (+180)

The Over/Under is steep (47 points at -110 for both). The Panthers are taking baby steps toward respectability, and the Cardinals have wild up and down swings. This looks like a game decided by field goals, not touchdowns. Take Under 47 points (-110).


Minnesota Vikings (-160) at Seattle Seahawks (+135)

The Vikings are road favorites (-3 points at -110 for both). By Week 16 standards, the Seahawks have faced two teams with Super Bowl potential. They lost to the Detroit Lions by 13 and the Buffalo Bills by 21. Take the Vikings plus 3 points (-110).


New England Patriots (+650) at Buffalo Bills (-1000)

Buffalo is a gigantic favorite that should be avoided. The O/U suggests the Patriots are going to do their part (46.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under). Buffalo has a penchant for scoring 30-plus, but the Patriots won’t help. Take Under 46.5 points.


Jacksonville Jaguars (-105) at Las Vegas Raiders (-115)

The Raiders are 1-point favorites. This is the most unwatchable game in the league, and if there is tanking for a QB in 2024, it should be on display Sunday. Take the Jaguars on the moneyline (-105).


San Francisco 49ers (+100) at Miami Dolphins (-120)

The Dolphins are favored, but the dead-in-the-water 49ers aren’t dead yet. Both teams had Super Bowl aspirations that have long since expired. The Niners have been there before. Take the 49ers on the moneyline (+100).


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-210) at Dallas Cowboys (+170)

The Bucs are strong road favorites (4 points at -110 for both teams). The Cowboys won’t be in the playoffs, but being a 4-point dog at home against a pedestrian Bucs team doesn’t seem right. Take the Cowboys plus 4 points (-110).


New Orleans Saints (+650) at Green Bay Packers (-1000)

The Packers are huge favorites (14.5 points at -120 Saints, -110 Packers). Green Bay will likely finish third in its own division, but that doesn’t mean they can’t beat down a lesser team that wants nothing to do with Lambeau in December. Take the Packers and lay 14.5 points (-110).


2024 NFL office pool pick’em: Week 16

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

2024 Week 16 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2024 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2024 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 163-106 162-107 173-96 169-100 162-107 171-98 169-100
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,812-1,050-11 1,733-1,129-11 1,787-1,075-11 1,706-901-10 1,291-802-9 870-462-5 347-204-2
Accuracy 63.3% 60.5% 62.4% 65.4% 61.3% 65.3% 62.9%

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 135-129-5 128-129-11 133-129-7 132-130-7 136-125-8 142-120-7 136-125-7
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,384-1,472-17 1,413-1,438-21 1,441-1,414-18 1,331-1,276-10 1,092-1,001-12 704-617-16 263-277-11
Accuracy 48.8% 49.6% 50.8% 51.1% 52.2% 53.3% 48.7%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 15

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 15 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 15.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 15

OFF = No odds currently listed.


The 5 best NFL prop bets: Week 15

Cash in with these NFL Week 15 prop bets.

We have all teams to choose from – a rarity over the last two months. For this week’s picks, we take a pair of running backs to top their projections, a Pro Bowl quarterback with an overinflated number he has no reason to hit, arguably the best wide receiver in the league shining in primetime, and a famous boyfriend continuing a career trend.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

The 5 best bets for NFL Week 15

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for the Week 15.

With the bye weeks finally over, we have all 32 teams playing the rest of way – some maybe with more purpose than others. For this week’s picks, we’re taking a dumpster fire on the road as an underdog, two other calamitous franchises hitting Over, a road dog covering the spread, a road favorite doing the same, and an absurd Over/Under hitting the Over.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Betting the NFL Line: Week 15

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 15 action.

Week 15 is going to stand out for multiple reasons. Sunday won’t have a single divisional game and will feature the biggest point spread favorite of the year (Baltimore Ravens -16 points) as well as the highest Over/Under of the season (Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions at 54.5 points). With the level of unfamiliarity opponents will have, anything is possible this weekend.


Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


Los Angeles Rams (+130) at San Francisco 49ers (-155)

The Over/Under is high (49.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The Rams are clicking, but the 49ers defense will make them earn every yard, which could make scoring enough to top this number difficult. Take OVER 49.5 points (-110).


Kansas City Chiefs (-225) at Cleveland Browns (+185)

The Chiefs are minor road favorites (4 points at -115 Chiefs, -105 Browns). The last four Chiefs wins have been by three points or less, but there has to be a week where all three phases click. When the Browns lose, they lose big … and they will again. Take the Chiefs and lay 4 points (-115).


Cincinnati Bengals (-250) at Tennessee Titans (+195)

The Bengals are solid road favorites (5 points at -110 for both). The Bengals lose to teams with winning records and beat bad teams. At 3-10, the Titans qualify by for the latter. Take the Bengals and lay 5 points (-110).


Baltimore Ravens (-1400) at New York Giants (+775)

The Ravens are huge favorites (16 points at -110 for both). The simple fact is that the Ravens are just as likely to win by 30 as to win by 16. The Giants have lost eight straight for a reason. Take the Ravens and lay 16 points (-110).


Dallas Cowboys (+120) at Carolina Panthers (-145)

The Cowboys have been a dumpster fire, but the only teams the Panthers have beaten this year are the Las Vegas Raiders, New Orleans Saints, and Giants (a combined 9-30). The Cowboys have been disappointing but shouldn’t be getting points. Take the Cowboys on the moneyline (+120).


New York Jets (-185) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+150)

The O/U is the lowest of the week (40.5 points at -110 for both). The Jags have hit over this is nine of their last 11 games. The Jets have hit over this number in seven of their last eight. They’re both playoff-built teams that have collapsed but share the same the misery. Take Over 40.5 points (-110).


Miami Dolphins (+125) at Houston Texans (-150)

The Texans are standard home favorites (3 points at -115 Dolphins, -105 Texans). The Dolphins could win this outright. Being given three points on a dry track with that offensive speed sounds like a plan. Take the Dolphins plus 3 points (-115).


Indianapolis Colts (+165) at Denver Broncos (-200)

The Over/Under is middle of the road (44.5 points at -110 for both). Denver’s defense is legit. A dome team in the elements is a hard pass in December. The Broncos have won four of their last five at home. Take Under 44.5 points (-110).


Buffalo Bills (+120 at Detroit Lions (-145)

The O/U is obscene (54.5 points at -110 for both). This could be a Super Bowl preview. Both teams are going to look at it that way. If one can’t stop the other, it’s game on. The Bills have scored 30 or more points in seven straight games – and they’re underdogs. Take Over 54.5 points (-110).


Pittsburgh Steelers (+185) at Philadelphia Eagles (-225)

The Eagles are big favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both). The Steelers are never 5.5-point underdogs for a reason. Only one team has accomplished what’s being asked of the Eagles. You don’t make the Steelers this big of a dog. Take the Steelers plus 5.5 points (-110).

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New England Patriots (+200) at Arizona Cardinals (-250)

The Cards are solid home favorites (6 points at -110 for both). Simple truth is the Patriots lose on the road, and they lose big. It’s time for the Cardinals to say they’re in the run for one playoff spot from the NFC West. Take the Cardinals and lay 6 points (-110).


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+125) at Los Angeles Chargers (-150)

The O/U is a little stiff (45.5 points at -110 for both). The expectation is that Tampa Bay is going to press the issue, but the Chargers are a playoff team because they hold offenses down. This game screams the potential of a 19-16 game. Take Under 45.5 points (-110).


Green Bay Packers (-150) at Seattle Seahawks (+125)

The Packers are road favorites (3 points at -105 Packers, -115 Seahawks). Green Bay is a legit contender. Seattle is a legit pretender. There is no way the Seahawks win by 20. There is a realistic chance the Packers do. Take the Packers and lay 3 points (-110).


Chicago Bears (+260) at Minnesota Vikings (-350)

The Vikings are solid favorites (7 points at -115 Bears, -105 Vikings). Minnesota is having an outstanding season, but the Vikes don’t blow out teams. Essentially, giving away more than a touchdown is too much. Take the Bears plus 7 points (-110).


Atlanta Falcons (-225) at Las Vegas Raiders (+180)

The Falcons are road favorites (4 points at -110 for both). Atlanta still controls its own destiny. This is their playoff game against a toothless Raiders team that has lost eight straight. It’s unfortunate a national audience has to watch this. Take the Falcons and lay 4 points (-110).


2024 NFL office pool pick’em: Week 15

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

2024 Week 15 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2024 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2024 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 163-106 162-107 173-96 169-100 162-107 171-98 169-100
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,812-1,050-11 1,733-1,129-11 1,787-1,075-11 1,706-901-10 1,291-802-9 870-462-5 347-204-2
Accuracy 63.3% 60.5% 62.4% 65.4% 61.3% 65.3% 62.9%

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 135-129-5 128-129-11 133-129-7 132-130-7 136-125-8 142-120-7 136-125-7
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,384-1,472-17 1,413-1,438-21 1,441-1,414-18 1,331-1,276-10 1,092-1,001-12 704-617-16 263-277-11
Accuracy 48.8% 49.6% 50.8% 51.1% 52.2% 53.3% 48.7%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey