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2024 Wells Fargo Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The 2024 Wells Fargo Championship gives players 1 last chance to refine their game before the 2nd major of the year, the PGA Championship. The 1st round from Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, N.C., begins on Thursday morning, with the tournament wrapping up on Sunday.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Xander Schauffele isn’t the betting favorite, but he is the 2nd-highest-ranked player in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, behind only Scottie Scheffler, who is not in the field as he awaits the birth of his first child. Ludvig Aberg is also not playing after withdrawing Monday due to a knee injury. Rory McIlroy is No. 3 in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, followed by Aberg, Patrick Cantlay and Viktor Hovland.

Quail Hollow is a major-like test for players, having hosted the PGA Championship as recently as 2017 when Justin Thomas won. It’s a par 71 and 7,558 yards, and recently underwent renovations following last year’s tournament. Wyndham Clark won this event in 2023 with a tournament-record score of 19-under 265.

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Wells Fargo Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:36 p.m. ET.

Wyndham Clark (+275)

This number is shorter now that Aberg is no longer in the field, but it’s still worth playing at +275. Clark could very well go back-to-back and win this week, but a safer play is for him to finish in the top 5 for the 5th time this season.

Cameron Young (+500)

Young is still seeking that elusive 1st win on the PGA Tour and though this course is a good fit for him to get it done in a limited field, beating all of the top players (except Scheffler and Aberg) is a tall task. Instead, consider playing him for a top-5 at +500.

Wells Fargo Championship – Top-10 picks

Max Homa (+200)

Homa won this event in 2019 and finished 8th last year, proving to be a great fit for Quail Hollow. He also has 2 top-10s in his last 5 starts this season, so his recent form is very good, too.

Tommy Fleetwood (+225)

While this could be the week Fleetwood breaks through with a win on American soil, I love his chances for a top 10. He finished 5th here last year and 14th in 2021, and is coming off 3rd- and 7th-place finishes in his last 3 starts on the PGA Tour.

Will Zalatoris (+300)

Zalatoris excels in major-like settings, which Quail Hollow and the Wells Fargo Championship present. He and Sahith Theegala surprisingly missed the cut at the Zurich Classic as a 2-man team, but now that Zalatoris will be back to playing his own game, I like his outlook this week. He’s a great ball striker and plenty long enough to take on the challenge of Quail Hollow.

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Wells Fargo Championship – Top-20 picks

Harris English (+160)

English came in 3rd here last year and already has 6 top-21 finishes this season. In a limited field of just 69 players, he has an even better chance to crack the top 20 again despite the star power teeing it up in Charlotte.

Brian Harman (+130)

Harman is once again flying somewhat under the radar with +4500 pre-tournament outright odds. At +130 for a top-20 finish, he’s a great value. In his last 5 starts at Quail Hollow, his best finishes were 18th, 24th and 13th, the last of which was at the 2017 PGA Championship.

Nick Taylor (+350)

There are only 10 players with worse odds to finish in the top 20 than Taylor this week. Needless to say, that feels wrong considering he already won a signature event this year and has 2 wins since last June.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

Cam Davis (+280)
Akshay Bhatia (+130)

Wells Fargo Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Tommy Fleetwood (-110) vs. Sahith Theegala (-110)

I already discussed what makes Fleetwood a good bet this week, and while Theegala is also playing well right now, Fleetwood’s course history gives him an edge.

Wells Fargo Championship – Top Scandinavian

Alex Noren (+100)

Aberg is out of the mix now so Aberg’s odds shorten to +100 to beat Viktor Hovland, the only other Scandinavian in the field. Noren is fresh off a near-win at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson where he finished 3rd, while Hovland hasn’t played since blowing up in the 2nd round of the Masters nearly a month ago.

Wells Fargo Championship – Top Asian

Hideki Matsuyama (+275)

Matsuyama hasn’t played since the Masters but before that T-38 finish, he went 1st, T-12, T-6 and T-7 in his previous 4 starts. Yet he’s still being a bit underrated this week after a long-ish layoff.

Wells Fargo Championship – First-round leader

Alex Noren (+4000, +320 for top-10)

Noren was just 1 shot off the 1st-round lead last week in Texas and now ranks 3rd on tour in 1st-round scoring average. Keep riding the train and take him to either lead or finish in the top 10 after Round 1 this week.

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2023 Wells Fargo Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

It’s another loaded field this week at the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship, which has returned to Quail Hollow Club after a year at TPC Potomac. This is the latest designated event on the PGA Tour schedule and features some of the biggest names, including Rory McIlroy, Patrick Cantlay and Jordan Spieth. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning from Charlotte, N.C.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Two names missing from this field are Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm, but there’s still plenty of firepower. In addition to McIlroy, Cantlay and Spieth, Tony Finau, Xander Schauffele and Cameron Young are also in the field and among the favorites to win at Quail Hollow this week.

Quail Hollow Club is 7,538 yards and plays as a par-71, often ranking among the toughest courses on tour. It took a year off from hosting the Wells Fargo in 2022 as the course prepared to host the Presidents Cup, but major championships have been held here in the past, including the 2017 PGA Championship (won by Justin Thomas).

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Wells Fargo Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 3:11 p.m. ET.

Max Homa (+450)

The defending champ has already won this event here, breaking through back in 2019. He also played really well at Quail Hollow in the Presidents Cup last year, helping lead the Americans to a win. He comes in with 2 top-10s in his last 4 starts and has already won twice this season.

Patrick Cantlay (+260)

Cantlay hasn’t won yet this season, but he has finished in the top 10 in more than half of his starts (6 of 11). Course history isn’t on his side after missing the cut in 2021, but his game translates everywhere and he’s great at avoiding bogeys, a critical stat at this venue.

Sungjae Im (+450)

Im has been on a tear lately, making the cut in 15 of his 16 starts this season with top-20 finishes in each of his last 4 stroke-play events – including two 6th-place finishes and a T-7. He came in 31st here in 2019 but is a legitimate contender this week.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

Rickie Fowler (+600)
Jason Day (+500)
Viktor Hovland (+400)

Wells Fargo Championship – Top-10 picks

Jason Day (+240)

Day is due for a win. He has 11 top-10s in 14 events played this season, along with 6 top-10s. And now he comes to a course where he won in 2018 and finished 9th the year prior in 2017. He should be in contention this week as he seeks his 1st win on tour in 5 years.

Cam Davis (+650)

Davis should have shorter odds than he does this week. He has 2 top-10 finishes in his last 4 starts and finished 26th in the Wells Fargo Championship in 2021. He’s trending up coming into this week’s designated event.

Rickie Fowler (+275)

Fowler’s outright odds of +3300 feel a bit short, but there’s still value to be had with the 2012 champion. In his last 5 starts at Quail Hollow, he’s finished in the top 5 three times, just to show how well he’s played here. He’s a good bet for a top-10.

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

Keith Mitchell (+450)

Wells Fargo Championship – Top-20 picks

Webb Simpson (+400)

In his last Wells Fargo Championship appearances, Simpson has 2 top-25s and 3 top-35 finishes. It hasn’t been the best season for him with 6 missed cuts in 11 events, but he’s close to home in North Carolina and has played well here in the past.

Brian Harman (+240)

Harman has played Quail Hollow 5 times since 2016 and has finished in the top 35 four times. He’s coming off a T-7 at the RBC Heritage a few weeks ago and already has 7 top-25s in 15 starts this season.

Gary Woodland (+220)

Woodland isn’t having a spectacular season by any means, but he’s been a consistent cut-maker and comes to a course where he finished 5th in 2021. He also finished 24th in 2016 and 22nd at the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

Joel Dahmen (+375)
Cam Davis (+300)
Jason Day (+110)

Wells Fargo Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Viktor Hovland (-110) vs. Jordan Spieth (-110)

This is a matchup between two guys who rarely play Quail Hollow. Spieth finished 28th at the 2017 PGA Championship and Hovland came in 3rd two years ago at the Wells Fargo Championship, so they’ve both played well here. But I’ll take Hovland and his ball striking, which will be critical on a difficult course where par is often good enough.

Jason Day (-130) vs. Sam Burns (+105)

In the last 5 tournaments held at Quail Hollow, Burns has only played 2 of them and finished 55th with a WD the other year. Day, on the other hand, won here in 2018 and came in 9th in 2017, so he’s thrived here in the past.

Wells Fargo Championship – Top Continental Europe

Viktor Hovland (+110)

Stephan Jaeger (+500) is the 2nd-favorite to be the top continental European this week, which makes Hovland the heavy favorite. He should be. Following a 3rd-place finish in 2021, he clearly has the game to succeed at Quail Hollow.

Wells Fargo Championship – First-round leader

Tommy Fleetwood (+5000)

Fleetwood fired a 1st-round 67 en route to a 14th-place finish at this tournament in 2021. He’s a good iron player and hits greens at a high rate, which will give him birdie looks on a tough course.

Justin Thomas (+3300)

Thomas can’t be happy with the way he’s played this season. However, this could be the event that jumpstarts him heading into the 2nd major. He won here in 2017 at the PGA Championship.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group B winner: Max Homa (+400)

Homa has the longest odds in this group, behind Cameron Young (+300), Collin Morikawa (+350), Hovland (+350) and Im (+375). As much as I like Im and Hovland this week, Homa’s odds are too long to pass up.

Winning margin: 1 shot (+240)

In a loaded field on a difficult course, the scores should be close down the stretch, leading to a dramatic finish. A 1-shot margin is the best way to play this.