The Washington Commanders (0-0) open their preseason against the Cleveland Browns (1-0) Friday at Cleveland Browns Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Commanders vs. Browns odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Commanders have dropped 4 consecutive preseason games dating back to Aug. 20, 2021, a 17-13 win at FedEx Field over the Cincinnati Bengals. Washington is 0-3 straight up (SU) and 1-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 3 preseason road games dating back to Aug. 22, 2019.
The Under has cashed in 4 straight road preseason games for the Commanders dating back to the last Over result on Aug. 8, 2019, which, ironically, was a road preseason game in Cleveland.
The Browns opened with a 21-16 preseason victory in the Hall of Fame Game on Aug. 3, cashing as 2-point underdogs as the Over (34) connected. QB Kellen Mond completed 13-of-19 passes for 92 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT, while rookie QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson completed 8-of-11 passes for 82 yards, 1 TD and 0 INT.
QB Deshaun Watson, who didn’t play in the HOF Game, is scheduled to start vs. Washington. QB Sam Howell is scheduled to start for the Commanders.
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Commanders at Browns odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:47 a.m. ET
- Moneyline (ML): Commanders +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Browns -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Commanders +3 (-115) | Browns -3 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Commanders at Browns picks and predictions
Prediction
Browns 20, Commanders 16
Moneyline
The BROWNS (-160) aren’t priced out of line if you don’t want to fiddle around with the points and just want to pick a winner straight up.
The Commanders have lost 4 straight preseason games dating back to 2021, and the Browns have a game under their belt already. They also welcome Watson back to the field and while he is likely to only have a cameo, the quarterback scales are tipped in Cleveland’s favor.
Against the spread
BROWNS -3 (-105) is worth playing lightly.
The Browns’ reserves looked pretty sharp against the Jets in the Hall of Fame Game, moving the ball well behind both Mond and DTR.
The Commanders are just 2-3 ATS across the past 5 preseason road games and were hammered 30-10 in their most recent preseason visit to Cleveland on Aug. 8, 2019.
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Over/Under
UNDER 38.5 (-110) is worth a look.
The books inched the total up a bit after Cleveland’s 21-16 win and Over result in the HOF Game. Presumably, the total is up slightly because we’ll see a handful of starters play for Friday.
Still, Washington has seen the total go low in 7 of its last 9 preseason games. While Cleveland has hit the Over in 4 straight exhibition games, we aren’t going to see a total get into the 40s.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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