Warriors Suns odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Golden State Warriors (12-6) are on the road Saturday facing the Phoenix Suns (10-8). Tip-off from Footprint Center is at 9 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Suns odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting, Suns won 3-1 last season.

The Warriors have lost their last 3 games. They are coming off a 105-101 home loss to Oklahoma City Wednesday, which ended in a push with a 4-point spread. The Under (224.5) cashed in.

The Suns have lost 6 of their last 7 games. They are 1-1 since the return of F Kevin Durant from a calf strain. They are coming off a 127-117 home loss to Brooklyn Wednesday when they were 9-point favorites. The Over (220) cashed in.

Warriors at Suns odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Suns -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +2.5 (-110) | Suns -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Warriors at Suns key injuries

Warriors

G Stephen Curry (knee) questionable
F Jonathan Kuminga (illness) probable
G Gary Payton Jr. (abductor) probable
F Andrew Wiggins (ankle) questionable

Suns

G Bradley Beal (calf) questionable
C Jusuf Nurkic (quad) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Warriors at Suns picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 115, Warriors 109

Moneyline

The Warriors are 7-3 on the road but have lost 2 of their last 3 away from home, while the Suns are 6-4 at home, although they are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.

The return of Durant has led to 117 and 127 points.

While Golden State has scored 110 or more in 3 of their last 6 and 2 with 120, they also were held to 101 or fewer in 3 games.

Expect the Suns to bounce back from their last loss and to send the Warriors to a fourth consecutive defeat.

But the spread gives you a better value, so go with that.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Warriors have only 1 cover in their last 7 games.

The Warriors are 5-1 ATS as underdogs and the Suns are 3-7 ATS as favorites, but that is impacted by Durant and Beal being out so many games.

The Suns covered the spread in all 3 victories over the Warriors last season.

BET SUNS -2.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Only 1 of the Warriors’ last 6 games has surpassed the projected total for this matchup.

The Suns’ last 6 games have alternated going Over or Under tonight’s projected total. Their last game had 244 points.

BET UNDER 233.5 (-115).

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Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The top two teams in the West meet Christmas day when the Phoenix Suns (26-5) host the Golden State Warriors (26-6) at the Footprint Center. The tip-off is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Golden State has won back-to-back games entering Saturday over the Sacramento Kings 113-98 Monday and the Memphis Grizzlies 113-104 Thursday.

The Warriors are 5-2 straight-up (SU), 3-3-1 ATS and 3-4 O/U with the 14th-ranked non-garbage time net rating (minus-0.1 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Phoenix is on a five-game winning streak with the latest being a 113-101 win over the Oklahoma City Thunder Thursday but failed to cover as 15-point home favorites.

The Suns are 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS and 3-3-1 O/U in the last 14 days with the second-best non-garbage time net rating (plus-15.2 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

These teams split the first two meetings of the season with the home team winning and covering both games and the Under is 2-0 in those contests. However, Golden State was at full strength for both meetings.

Warriors at Suns odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Suns -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +5.5 (-105) | Suns -5.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Warriors at Suns key injuries

Warriors

SF Andre Iguodala (knee) questionable
SG Jordan Poole (health and safety protocols) out
SF Andrew Wiggins (health and safety protocols) out
SF Damion Lee (health and safety protocols) questionable
SG Klay Thompson (Achilles’) out

Suns

None.

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Warriors at Suns odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 112, Warriors 104

Money line

PASS despite Phoenix being the right side because the Suns (-240) is too expensive in this spot. I’m laying the points with Phoenix but wouldn’t be shocked if Stephen Curry erupted on Christmas even though Chris Paul is one of the better defenders of Curry in the Association (more on that below).

Against the spread

The elephant in the room here is the absence of Golden State’s second-and third-leading scorers in Poole and Wiggins.

Also, Phoenix All-Star guard Devin Booker exited the first Warriors-Suns meeting in the second quarter with a hamstring injury that kept him sidelined for seven games. This was a major reason why Golden State beat the brakes off Phoenix in the second meeting just three days later.

Furthermore, as previously mentioned, CP3 has always made life difficult for Curry. In fact, Curry has scored less than 30 points in 11 straight games vs. CP3 and Paul holds a slight career-scoring edge over Curry in their 34 career head-to-head games at 21.1-20.9 points per game.

Finally, Golden State tends to be careless with the rock: Ranking 29th in offensive turnover rate and 21st in points off of turnovers allowed per game. Whereas Phoenix is ball hounds: Ranking eighth in defensive turnover rate and seventh in points off of turnovers scored per game.

The bottom line is the SUNS -5.5 (-120) will be able to dictate the pace and get into their offense easier than the Warriors +5.5 (-105) because of their edge in the ball security department.

BET the SUNS -5.5 (-120) for 1 unit.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 217.5 (-108) since these teams are ranked first (Golden State) and second (Phoenix) in defensive rating and the Under has cashed four of their last five meetings.

However, both teams play at a top-10 pace, and both certainly have the offensive efficiency to push this game Over the total.

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Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The top two teams in the Western Conference meet Tuesday when the Golden State Warriors (18-2) face the Phoenix Suns (17-3) at Footprint Center. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Golden State has won 14 of its last 15 games and seven straight, which includes three consecutive double-digit blowouts over playoff teams from last year. The Warriors are 15-4-1 ATS and 6-14 O/U with the best net rating (plus-13.6).

Phoenix has won 16 games in a row with the last two being road victories over both New York basketball teams. The Suns are 11-9 ATS and 9-11 O/U with the third-best net rating.

These teams split last year’s season series 1-1 with the home team winning and covering both games and either side of the total cashing. However, G Steph Curry only suited up for the game Golden State beat Phoenix.

Warriors at Suns odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:12 a.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Suns -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +2.5 (-112) | Suns -2.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Warriors at Suns key injuries

Warriors

SF Andre Iguodala (hip) out
SG Klay Thompson (knee) out
C James Wiseman (knee) out

Suns

Nothing affecting gambling odds.

Warriors at Suns odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 116, Warriors 111

Money line

BET the SUNS (-135) since they are playing on their home floor and Phoenix has much better ball security.

For instance, G Chris Paul is a consummate floor general and the Suns are eighth in turnover rate. Poor ball security plays right into CP3’s strengths. Paul will be able to dictate the pace of this game and get his players into advantageous positions.

CP3 has also been one of the better defenders of Curry historically. Curry hasn’t scored 30 points in his last nine games against CP3 and has been held below 44.4% shooting in six of those games.

Golden State can get a little clumsy with all of its off-the-ball movement and the Warriors have the fourth-worst turnover rate in the Association. Also, Golden State is 24th in points off of turnovers allowed per game.

Both teams also get out in transition at a top-eight frequency but Phoenix has better offensive and defensive efficiency in transition.

BET 1.25 units on the SUNS (-135).

Against the spread

PASS since Phoenix’s money line is only 27 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Suns -2.5 (-108). I’m confident enough that Phoenix will win outright and don’t want to fuss with the points.

For what it’s worth, according to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports App, the Warriors are getting nearly 90% of the action. So, there’s a “fade the market” angle in betting the Suns.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 221.5 (-112) for a small wager — if at all — because I much prefer the Phoenix side more than the total in this contest. That said, both teams rank in the top-three of effective field goal shooting and like to push the pace.

My concern with the betting the Over in this game is a vast majority of the market is taking the Over and I could see CP3 slowing this game down to keep the Warriors out of rhythm.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Phoenix Suns (8-8) host the Golden State Warriors (10-8) Thursday at PHX Arena for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Warriors-Suns NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Golden State beat the brakes off of the Minnesota Timberwolves in back-to-back games coming into Thursday and has a 4-3 overall record (4-3 against the spread) over the last two weeks.

The Suns have struggled recently and following a week of COVID-19-related postponements, they’re just 1-4 overall and ATS since Jan. 18. Phoenix SG Devin Booker exited a 130-126 overtime loss to the Denver Nuggets with a hamstring injury last Friday and has missed the past two losses.

These teams split last season’s series 2-2 but Golden State covered the spread in three of those meetings.

Warriors at Suns: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Suns -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Warriors +2.5 (-110) | Suns -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Warriors at Suns: Key injuries

Warriors

None affecting the betting odds.

Suns

SG Devin Booker (hamstring) questionable
PG Cameron Payne (foot) probable

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Warriors at Suns: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Warriors 113, Suns 106

Money line (ML)

Phoenix cannot exploit where Golden State is weak; the Warriors’ opponents have the highest free-throw attempt rate in the Association but the Suns have the second-lowest free-throw attempt rate.

Also, Golden State is seventh in opponent’s effective field-goal percentage (eFG%) but Phoenix is 24th in eFG% in the last five games. In their previous seven games, the Warriors are moving the ball well—second in assist ratio—which leads to open looks, and they have the sixth-best eFG% in that time span.

Compound these stats with Booker listed as questionable on the injury report and what is there to like about the Suns here? Finally, this is a fade the market spot as this game opened at a pick ‘em but Phoenix has been steamed up to a favorite.

As always, monitor the injury report but if Booker doesn’t play, GIMME WARRIORS (+115) for a half-unit.

Against the spread (ATS)

Personally, I’m going to buy insurance for my Golden State money line wager with a half-unit BET on WARRIORS +2.5 (-110).

I like the move by Warriors head coach Steve Kerr to sit No. 2 overall pick C James Wiseman for C Kevon Looney in the short term and Golden State’s defense is ninth in defensive rating over the last 10 games.

Over/Under (O/U)

Since the focus of my handicap was how Golden State’s defense matches up with Phoenix’s offense, I lean Under 220.5 (-110) but officially I’ll PASS. The Warriors’ most obvious path to victory is hot shooting from PG Steph Curry, which then provides wide-open looks for his teammates.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Also see:

3 things to know: James Wiseman and Kelly Oubre Jr. lead Warriors past T-Wolves, 123-111 (Warriors Wire)
Hoops Hype rumors: Warriors | Suns

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