The Denver Nuggets (41-19) host the Golden State Warriors (13-48) Tuesday night at Pepsi Center with tip-off set for 9 p.m. ET. We analyze the Warriors-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Warriors at Nuggets: Key injuries
Warriors
- PG Ky Bowman (ankle) out
- PG Stephen Curry (hand) out
- PF Draymond Green (knee) questionable
- PF Kevon Looney (hip) questionable
- SG Klay Thompson (knee) out
Nuggets
- PF Paul Millsap (ankle) questionable
- PF Noah Vonleh (ankle) questionable
- C Bol Bol (foot) out
Warriors at Nuggets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Nuggets 123, Warriors 105
Moneyline (ML)
This is the most lopsided matchup of the night in the NBA, making it a tough sell on the moneyline. The Nuggets line is -1429, which offers very little upside; a $10 wager would net just $0.70 in winnings. There’s a great chance the Nuggets will win this one, with Golden State (+775) losing 24 of its last 27 games, but it’s not worth the risk.
PASS on the moneyline and instead consider betting on the spread. That’ll at least get you closer to even money, even with the wide margin.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The Nuggets are 15.5-point favorites over the Warriors, the largest spread Golden State has faced since November. Denver has been only slightly better than the Warriors when it comes to covering the spread, going 29-28-3 compared to 28-32-1 for Golden State.
The last time these teams met in mid-January, Denver won 134-131 in overtime and failed to cover the 3.5-point spread. Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games, but this is too favorable of a matchup for Denver. Take the NUGGETS (-15.5, -115) to cover.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over/Under is only 218.5 points as neither team ranks in the top 15 in scoring. The Warriors average only 105.9 points per game (27th) and their defense hasn’t been much better, but Denver has been playing well of late, having scored at least 115 points in seven of its last 10 games.
The total has gone Over in nine of the Nuggets’ last 12 games overall and 13 of the last 18 head-to-head meetings between these teams. Take the OVER 218.5 (-110).
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