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The Golden State Warriors (37-34) take on the Orlando Magic (42-29) Wednesday with tip-off from Kia Center set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Magic odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Warriors lead 1-0
The Warriors defeated the Miami Heat 113-92 Tuesday night as 3.5-point faves. G Klay Thompson shouldered the load with 28 points on 6-for-14 from distance. After struggling with the 3-ball for much of the season, he’s shooting 41% from deep this month, which is more in line with his career average. The Dubs need to pick it up, as they’re 4-6 over the last 10, and the Houston Rockets are just 1 game from kicking them out of the play-in tournament.
The Magic are firmly in 5th place in the East and sit just 1½ games from jumping up to 3rd. Their efforts took a hit with a 109-107 loss to the Sacramento Kings Saturday as 3-point favorites. The setback snapped a 5-game winning streak. F Paolo Banchero had 22 points, 7 boards and 5 assists.
Warriors at Magic odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Magic -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +4.5 (-110) | Magic -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Warriors at Magic key injuries
Warriors
(Not yet submitted — below was for Tuesday’s game)
- F Trayce Jackson-Davis (knee) out
Magic
- G Gary Harris (foot) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Warriors at Magic and predictions
Prediction
Magic 118, Warriors 112
Moneyline
I’m a little worried about G Stephen Curry. He’s averaging 21.8 PPG this month, which is fine, but he averages 26.7 on the season. He’s also shooting an abysmal (for him) 35.7% from long range and 41.3% from the floor overall in March. ESPN’s Stephen A. Smith has a motto that in the playoffs: “superstars will get you one.” And Curry could absolutely take over and lead the Dubs to a win. However, on the back end of a back-to-back, and with his recent showings, I’m siding with the books.
That said, I’m not touching the -175 on the young Orlando squad.
Instead, I’m keying in on F Draymond Green. He’ll have a bit of a size advantage underneath and could stuff the stat sheet. He is averaging 9.3 PPG, 9.3 RPG and 6 APG in the last 4 games. Take DRAYMOND GREEN OVER 20.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS (-125).
Against the spread
We’re projecting Orlando to cover here, but I have a more profitable idea.
Banchero has drained a 3-pointer in 12 straight games and is shooting at a career-high clip of 36.5% on the season. The problem is his line is 1.5, and he has hit two 3’s in 4 of those 12 games. He went 3-for-8 against Golden State in January, and the Warriors will entice you to chuck up some 3’s. He just has to hit 2 of them, and I’m taking the value with PAOLO BANCHERO OVER 1.5 3-POINTERS (+100).
Over/Under
The Warriors are 6-4 O/U over their last 10, and the Magic are 3-7. The Over 230.5 cleared by a mile in the 121-115 meeting in Cali in January. This number has been trimmed quite a bit, and I’m feeling the OVER 218.5 (-105).
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