England (1 win, 0 losses, 1 draw) battles Wales at Ahmed bin Ali Stadium Tuesday with kickoff for the Group B group match set for 2 p.m. ET (FS1) Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Wales vs. England odds, and make our best World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
England isn’t quite through to the next round, but they basically are. With a 4-goal differential, worst-case scenario assuming they don’t get destroyed by Wales is a 2nd-place finish in the group. By destroy, they would need to lose to Wales by at least 3.
England has looked like the group’s best team, but did struggle against USA in their 2nd match with 2 fewer shots in the 0-0 draw. England beat Iran 6-2 in their World Cup opener with F Bukayo Saka scoring twice. They are flush with top EPL talent.
As for Wales, F Gareth Bale is the renown leader, but he is aging and has struggled. Nice F Aaron Ramsey is the vice captain and plays an important role as well. They allowed 21 shots to Iran and lost 2-0 after drawing USA 1-1 with a Bale penalty-kick goal evening that battle.
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Wales vs. England odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:31 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Wales +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | England -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Draw +330
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Prediction
England 3, Wales 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
There’s just no value here. Wales hasn’t shown enough to even consider a draw. It scored a penalty kick in 1 game and allowed 2 and 21 shots to an inferior side in another.
England cannot quite take their foot off the gas, especially considering they should want the No. 1 spot in the group. They will more than likely come out on top, but at (-220), there’s not much value.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (+100).
England scored 6 against Iran and had 8 shots and 3 shots on target against a solid USA backline that has quick wing backs. Wales isn’t as deep and should be exhausted.
England will have better finishing than Iran and should net at least 3 if they can get an equal 21 shots. Players like Saka and F Raheem Sterling will be too much for Wales to handle, as they were Iran.
Wales has a few quality forwards in F Daniel James as well, and when England went up big on Iran, they didn’t keep the pressure on. That could repeat itself against Wales.
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