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VfB Stuttgart (7 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) welcomes TSG Hoffenheim (5-0-3) to MHPArena Saturday. Kickoff is set for 9:30 a.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the VfB Stuttgart vs. TSG Hoffenheim odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Stuttgart is a perfect 4-0-0 at home this season. It is averaging 3.13 goals per game and allowing just 1. Stuttgart has won every game except its one loss by multiple goals. It has outscored opponents 16-2 at home. F Serhou Guirassy is the main weapon for the home side. He has tallied 14 goals in 8 matches.
Hoffenheim is actually a perfect 4-0-0 on the road this season and is just 1-0-3 at home. It has outscored opponents 11-5 on the road. It has scored 17 goals and allowed 14 which is respectively 2.13 and 1.75 per game. F Maximilian Beier is the top scorer, having tallied 6 goals in 8 matches. Hoffenheim lost to Eint Frankfurt 3-1 at home Saturday.
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VfB Stuttgart vs. TSG Hoffenheim odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:57 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: VfB Stuttgart -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | TSG Hoffenheim +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Draw +300
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)
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VfB Stuttgart vs. TSG Hoffenheim picks and predictions
Prediction
Stuttgart 3, Hoffenheim 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET STUTTGART (-120).
Simply put, Stuttgart has been unstoppable at home, and it has been dominant in general this season. It does have a 3-1 win over Wolfsburg, which sits 9th. Neither team has a ton of quality wins as Stuttgart lost 3-1 to Leipzig and Hoffenheim lost 3-1 to Eint Frankfurt this season, both of which are top-7 teams in the league.
The edge should go to the home side as Hoffenheim’s success on the road should cool off, and at this value, the home side with more quality wins is worth taking. Back STUTTGART (-120).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN OVER 3.5 (+120).
Stuttgart has a dominant attack, having tallied 3 or more goals in 6 of 8 league games, scoring 5 twice at home this season. It has had at least 2.3 expected goals in 4 of 8 games as well. It has just been terrific at home.
Hoffenheim also has a strong offense and has scored in every game, even against tough defenses like Dortmund. It has had at least an expected goal in each game as well.
Expect these dominant offenses to continue to stay hot Saturday. Take OVER 3.5 (+120).
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