The final game of the XFL regular season is Sunday night with the Vegas Vipers (2-7) on the road against the Seattle Sea Dragons (6-3). Kickoff is 7 p.m. ET at Lumen Field (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Vipers vs. Sea Dragons odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Sea Dragons beat the Vipers 30-26 in Vegas in Week 3.
The Vipers have lost 2 in a row and 3 of their last 4. They are locked into last place in the division. In Week 9, they failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, losing 28-21 to the Houston Roughnecks on the road.
The Sea Dragons are in a virtual scenario where a win gives them a playoff berth. If they lose, St. Louis will play in the league semifinals. If Seattle wins, based on league tiebreakers, it is virtually impossible to not get the postseason berth. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming off a 30-12 road win over the BattleHawks in Week 9 as 1-point underdogs.
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Vipers at Sea Dragons odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:58 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Vipers +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Sea Dragons -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Vipers +10 (-110) | Sea Dragons -10 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Viper at Sea Dragons key injuries
Vipers
- WR Martavis Bryant (neck) out
- LB Jawuan Johnson (calf) questionable
- CB Antonio Phillips (back) out
- RB Rod Smith (ankle) out
Sea Dragons
- S Qwynnterrio Cole (illness) questionable
- WR Juwan Green (shoulder) questionable
- CB Linden Stephens (ankle) doubtful
- WR Damion Willis (hip) questionable
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Vipers at Sea Dragons picks and predictions
Prediction
Sea Dragons 26, Vipers 19
Moneyline
PASS.
The Sea Dragons have won 6 of 7, are coming off their biggest win of the year, are playing at home and need a win to move to the semifinals. The Vipers are in last place and have not won on the road this season.
Betting the Sea Dragons isn’t worth it because you have to wager 5 times what you can win.
Against the spread
The Sea Dragons’ only double-digit win this season was last week against the BattleHawks while 3 of Vegas’ losses have been by double digits.
Seattle beat Vegas by 4 in their 1st matchup.
Laying 10 points is just too many, even for Seattle and how it is playing.
BET VIPERS +10 (-110).
Over/Under
The Sea Dragons only have 2 games this season with more than 47 total points. One was against the Vipers.
Four of the Vipers’ 9 games have had more points than Sunday’s projection. They have averaged 16.3 points per game over their last 4.
BET UNDER 47.5 (-110).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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