Tag: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Edmonton Oilers odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Vegas Golden Knights (8-3-1) take on the Edmonton Oilers (6-6-1) Wednesday. Puck drop from Rogers Place is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Golden Knights vs. Oilers odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Oilers won 2-1 last year

After a rough start, VGK won its 5th in 6 games with a 4-3 OT winner against the Utah Hockey Club Saturday. D Noah Hanifan had 3 points in the game, including his first goal of the season. Captain Mark Stone leads the team with 20 points and has a point in 6 straight games.

The Oilers lost their first full game without C Connor McDavid, falling to the New Jersey Devils 3-0 Monday. They defeated Nashville 5-1 and Calgary 4-2 without McDavid. C Leon Draisaitl had 3 points in each of those victories. McJesus was supposed to be out 3 weeks, but he returns Wednesday against Vegas!

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Golden Knights at Oilers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Oilers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights +1.5 (-190) | Oilers -1.5 (+155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Golden Knights at Oilers projected goalies

Adin Hill (5-2-0, 3.16 GAA, .874 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Stuart Skinner (3-4-1, 3.31 GAA, .881 SV%, 1 SO)

Hill stopped 16 of 19 in the 4-3 OT win Saturday. It was his second straight start seeing fewer than 20 shots. That’s very unlikely to happen against Edmonton. He faced the Oilers twice last season, winning one 3-1 and stopping 30 of 31 shots, and losing one 5-1, stopping 20 of 25.

Skinner stopped 29 of 31 in the 4-2 win over Calgary Sunday. It was the second game in the last 3 that he allowed fewer than 3 goals. Those are also the only 2 games he has allowed 2 or fewer goals. He was 2-1-0 with a 2.29 GAA and .900 SV% in 3 starts against Vegas last year.

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Golden Knights at Oilers picks and predictions

Prediction

Golden Knights 5, Oilers 3

Moneyline

This is a big-time splits game. Edmonton is 2-4-1 at home, and Vegas is 0-3-1 on the road. The lone game Vegas won last season was the home tilt.

But I’m going to debunk that. Yes, McDavid’s return should provide a boost to the Oilers. The Knights are a heavy team with huge defensemen. Edmonton can’t match them in size, and it’s not very good at home with some iffy goaltending. The latter is what makes the difference.

Take the GOLDEN KNIGHTS +125.

Puck line/Against the spread

I’m going with CONNOR MCDAVID OVER 3.5 SHOTS (+125) here. He just simply doesn’t miss many games, and he’s a hockey savant. He’s already returning ahead of schedule and is clearly amped up to play. Not only that, but his last 3 games before the injury, he took 4, 5 and 5 SOG. His last game against VGK, he had 8 shots. Book it.

Over/Under

The Knights are 10-2 O/U, while the Oilers are 3-9-1. The Oilers have been a lot better at goal suppression. They haven’t allowed more than 3 goals in 3 games and have only allowed more than 3 goals once in 7 games.

Well they’re going to allow more than 3 Wednesday. Vegas hasn’t scored fewer than 2 goals in any game this season. Hill is also so much sturdier than Skinner, and Hill hasn’t seen 20 shots in a couple of games now. He’ll be on it.

Take the OVER 6.5 (-115).

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The Vegas Golden Knights (42-27-8) visit the Edmonton Oilers (47-24-5) Wednesday at Rogers Place. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Golden Knights vs. Oilers odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Golden Knights suffered a 4-3 loss in Vancouver on Monday, dropping each of the 1st 2 games on the 3-stop road trip. The Over has cashed in 3 in a row for the defending champs, averaging 4.3 goals per game (GPG) while allowing 4.7 GPG in the 3-game span.

The Oilers doubled up the provincial rival Calgary Flames 4-2 last time out on Saturday as moderate favorites (-170). Edmonton is a solid 5-1-1 in the past 7 games, while going 5-1 in the past 6 outings when favored. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games.

VGK has won 3 of the past 4 meetings, while the home side has picked up wins in 4 of the past 5 in the series. The Over has cashed at a 3-1 clip in the past 4 meetings.

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Golden Knights at Oilers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Oilers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights +1.5 (-250) | Oilers -1.5 (+200)
• Over/Under: 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Golden Knights at Oilers projected goalies

Adin Hill (18-10-2, 2.62 GAA, .914 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Stuart Skinner (34-14-5, 2.62 GAA, .906 SV%, 2 SO)

Hill allowed just a single goal on 13 shots in a win against the Columbus Blue Jackets on March 23, but he was forced to exit due to a lower-body injury. He was able to return to practice to start the week, and he is projected to be between the pipes.

Hill allowed just 1 goal on 31 shots in a 3-1 win against the Oilers Feb. 6, snapping Edmonton’s 16-game winning streak a game short of the NHL record.

Skinner was sharp last time out, allowing just 2 goals on 23 shots in a 6-2 victory against the visiting Colorado Avalanche on Friday. He has allowed 3 or fewer goals in 12 of his past 13 starts dating back to Feb. 26.

Skinner allowed just 2 goals on 25 shots in a 3-1 loss at Vegas on Feb. 6, and he allowed 4 goals on 27 shots in a 5-4 SOW on Nov. 28 in Edmonton.

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Golden Knights at Oilers picks and predictions

Prediction

Oilers 4, Golden Knights 3

Moneyline

The OILERS (-125) is a solid play at home as a slight favorite.

The home team has won 4 of the previous 5 meetings in this series. Edmonton is 9-0-1 in the past 10 games on home ice since Feb. 24, a stunning loss to the rival Flames.

The Golden Knights (+105) limp in with a pair of losses to start the road trip, getting outscored 11-7.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Golden Knights +1.5 (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward if you require insurance, and just cannot play Vegas straight up. If you like the defending champs, just play them on the moneyline.

PASS.

Over/Under

OVER 6 (-120) is worth a look based on the very giving ways of the Golden Knights lately. The total has gone high in each of the past 3 games for VGK.

Be careful, though, as the Oilers have cashed the Under in 3 of the past 4 games. However, the total has gone high in 3 of the past 4 home games for the Oil.

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The Vegas Golden Knights battle the Edmonton Oilers in Game 6 of their Western Conference semifinals playoff series Wednesday. Puck drop at Rogers Place is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Golden Knights vs. Oilers odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Series: Golden Knights lead 3-2

The Golden Knights survived 4-3 in Game 5 to put the Oilers on the brink of elimination. Vegas scored 3 times in the 2nd period to go up 4-2 and held on in the 3rd.

The Oilers went 3-for-4 on the power play, but some shaky play in net did them in. C Connor McDavid scored 2 goals to lead the charge, but C Leon Draisaitl has not found the back of the net in 3 straight games now. He has just 1 assist and 8 shots on goal during the stretch.

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Golden Knights at Oilers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Oilers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights +1.5 (-160) | Oilers -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Golden Knights at Oilers projected goalies

Adin Hill (16-7-1, 2.50 GAA, .915 SV%, 0 SO – regular season) vs. Stuart Skinner (29-14-5, 2.75 GAA, .914 SV%, 1 SO – regular season)

Hill was great in Game 5, stopping 32 of 35 shots, and the only goals he allowed were on the power play. It’s likely his net regardless of whether Laurent Brossoit is healthy enough to return. Hill has a 2.25 GAA and .927 SV% in the playoffs.

Skinner was pulled near the end of the 2nd period in Game 5, allowing 4 goals on 22 shots. Jack Campbell came on and stopped all 9 shots he faced. It’s the 3rd time Skinner has been pulled this postseason, and there’s a chance Campbell starts. They’ve stuck with Skinner thus far, though, and he has a 3.52 GAA and .890 SV% in the playoffs.

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Golden Knights at Oilers picks and predictions

Prediction

Oilers 4, Golden Knights 3

Moneyline

We’re 11-4 on wagers in this series, despite some unexpected outcomes. It’s a tough task to predict which Oilers team you’re going to get, but it would be a stunner if this series doesn’t go 7 games. We have had 18 goals scored in the 1st period in the series, and each game has seen at least 3. So we’re going to forego the -185 ML and continue to ride the trend OVER 2 FIRST PERIOD GOALS (-110).

Puck line/Against the spread

There is good reason to back VGK on the puck line here. The road team is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The underdog is also 10-4 in the last 14. Edmonton is 12-3 in the last 15 home games, though, and they are fighting to stay alive. I’ll back Vegas to keep it tight.

Take the GOLDEN KNIGHTS +1.5 (-160).

Over/Under

The total has been priced out of range for a couple of games now, and we’ve had to get creative. We’ve had 6+ goals in all but 1 game in the series, and that was a weird one when the Oilers scored 4 in the 1st and the lights cut off the rest of the game. The total has come back down to 6.5 at a doable price, but let’s get creative again.

Head to the Win/Total section and under Moneyline and Totals (including overtime and shootouts), take OILERS to WIN AND OVER 5.5 GOALS (+120).

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The Vegas Golden Knights battle the Edmonton Oilers in Game 4 of their Western Conference semifinals playoff series Wednesday. Puck drop at Rogers Place is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Golden Knights vs. Oilers odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Series: Vegas leads 2-1; Edmonton won season series 3-1

This series has shifted back and forth as Vegas countered Edmonton’s early goal with 5 of its own in a 5-1 shelling on Monday night. RW Jonathan Marchessault scored his 1st 2 goals of the postseason. G Adin Hill stopped all 24 shots he faced after G Laurent Brossoit exited with an injury late in the 1st period.

LW Warren Foegele scored the 1st goal of the game 2:45 into it, and the lights just cut off. C Leon Draisaitl was held without a point for the 1st time these playoffs, and C Connor McDavid didn’t notch a point for the 1st time since Game 1 against LA.

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Golden Knights at Oilers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:36 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Oilers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights +1.5 (-155) | Oilers -1.5 (+130)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Golden Knights at Oilers projected goalies

Adin Hill (16-7-1, 2.50 GAA, .915 SV%, 0 SO – regular season) vs. Stuart Skinner (29-14-5, 2.75 GAA, .914 SV%, 1 SO – regular season)

Hill has stopped all 28 shots he has faced in the series. What’s more impressive is they all came in relief when he was cold. He faced Edmonton once in the regular season and allowed 4 goals on 23 shots.

Skinner followed up his best game of the series with a stinker in Game 3. He was pulled midway through the 2nd period after allowing 4 goals on 23 shots. Jack Campbell stopped 9 of 10 he saw. Campbell came on in relief and helped Edmonton to an overtime win in LA, but they went right back to Skinner. It could go either way this time.

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Golden Knights at Oilers picks and predictions

Prediction

Oilers 4, Golden Knights 3

Moneyline

We’ve cashed 7 of 9 wagers in this series, despite some unexpected outcomes. It’s a tough task to predict which Oilers team you’re going to get on a nightly basis, but the books think a bounce back is likely. Draisaitl is priced out of range at -175 for an anytime goal after he was shut down in Game 3. It’s not as rewarding, but I’m still sticking to OVER 2 FIRST PERIOD GOALS (-105) in this game.

Puck line/Against the spread

We’ve had multiple-goal finishes in the last 4 meetings now. The road team is 5-1 in the last 5 meetings between the teams, and the underdog is now 9-3 over the last 12. I think Edmonton rebounds here, but I still like Vegas to cover. For whatever reason, the Oilers couldn’t transition to the new tendy quickly.

Take the GOLDEN KNIGHTS +1.5 (-155) at the same price we cashed in Game 2.

Over/Under

It is really hard to cash an Over 7, and the books know that and make you pay a hefty vig on the Under. We’ve had 2 straight Unders as the Over is 1-2 in the series. The Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 in Edmonton between the teams. There’s still a good chance we see 7 goals and not enough incentive to go against it.

So head to the Win/Total section, and in the 1×2 and Both Teams to Score 1 or More Goals in Regular Time: take OILERS TO WIN AND YES +100. This essentially gives you the Oilers ML at even money because Vegas isn’t getting shut out.

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The Vegas Golden Knights try to retake home-ice advantage from the Edmonton Oilers in Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinals playoff series Monday. Puck drop at Rogers Place is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Golden Knights vs. Oilers odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Vegas didn’t have the same fervor as the Oilers once the puck dropped in Game 2 as Edmonton bludgeoned them for 4 goals in the 1st period en route to a 5-1 victory. VGK responded in Game 1 to an early Oilers goal with 3 of its own, but the Knights were no match Saturday. C Ivan Barbashev made sure there was no shutout with his 3rd goal of the playoffs.

C Leon Draisaitl continued his onslaught with 2 more goals to give him 13 this postseason. C Connor McDavid joined in the fun with 2 of his own. The Oilers are a crazy 14-for-25 (56%) on the power play in the postseason. One thing is for sure, the Oilers start fast, and you must match their pace without getting penalties.

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Golden Knights at Oilers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:16 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Oilers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights +1.5 (-155) | Oilers -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Golden Knights at Oilers projected goalies

Laurent Brossoit (7-0-3, 2.17 GAA, .927 SV%, 0 SO – regular season) vs. Stuart Skinner (29-14-5, 2.75 GAA, .914 SV%, 1 SO – regular season)

Brossoit was pulled in Game 2 after 2 periods and 5 goals scored. Adin Hill came on and stopped the 4 shots he saw. The Knights should stick with Brossoit for now, but he hasn’t looked sharp in the series. He has stopped 50 of 59 shots for an .847 SV%.

When the 24-year-old Skinner is on, he puts on a show like he did in Game 2, stopping 30 of 31 shots. He has just been vastly inconsistent as that’s just the 2nd game this postseason he has allowed fewer than 2 goals. He has a 3.32 GAA and .895 SV% this postseason.

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Golden Knights at Oilers picks and predictions

Prediction

Oilers 5, Golden Knights 4

Moneyline

We nailed all 3 wagers here in Game 1 and hit on 2 of the 3 in Game 2 as the Under somehow cashed after 4 1st-period goals. Speaking of such, we have had 9 goals scored in the 1st frame in the series. I’m not paying the -185 ML price on either team, but I will buy into the quick starts. Take OVER 2 FIRST PERIOD GOALS (+105), and we should at least get a push with some plus-money upside.

Puck line/Against the spread

Each of the last 3 meetings have resulted in multiple-goal finishes. However, the road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between the teams, and the underdog is 8-3 over the last 11. That doesn’t mean I think Vegas will win this game, though I do think they get one in Edmonton, and they’ll keep it tight enough to have a chance to steal it.

Take the GOLDEN KNIGHTS +1.5 (-155) as the books are undervaluing them in this one.

Over/Under

The Over missed in Game 2, despite Edmonton scoring 4 times in the 1st. The total has moved up to 7 for this one, and I feel the Over will hit again, but I’m not interested in the risk.

Head to the Win/Total section and take OILERS AND OVER 5.5 GOALS +120.

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