In a women’s flyweight championship bout on the main card, Valentina Shevchenko and Taila Santos meet Saturday at UFC 275 at Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang, Singapore. Below, we analyze the UFC 275 Shevchenko vs. Santos odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The fights can be viewed on ESPN+ with the early prelims starting at 7 p.m. ET, the prelims on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET and the main card on pay-per-view at 10 p.m. ET.
Shevchenko won the title at UFC 231 in Dec. 2018 with a unanimous-decision victory over Joanna Jedrzejczyk, and she has been the champ ever since. The Kyrgyzstani fighter, a.k.a. “Bullet”, has defended her title successfully in each of the past 6 outings.
Shevchenko’s last victory was a 4th-round KO/TKO against Lauren Murphy at UFC 266 in September. Four of her last 6 defenses have been via knockout, with 2 unanimous-decision wins.
Santos lost her UFC debut via split-decision against Mara Romero Borella back in Feb. 2019. She has rattled off 4 straight wins since, including a first-round submission over Joanne Wood last time out in Nov. 2021.
Shevchenko holds a 67.44-to-59.46 significant strikes accuracy percentage advantage. While Santos has a slight 1.5-inch reach advantage and an advantage in the ground game, Shevchenko will look to keep Santos upright and brawl her way to a win.
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UFC 275 Shevchenko vs. Santos odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Shevchenko -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Santos +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
- Total Rounds Over 3.5 (-180) | Under 3.5 (+130)
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes (-125) | No (-110)
[tipico]
UFC 275 Shevchenko vs. Santos picks and predictions
Records: Shevchenko (22-3-0) | Santos (19-1-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Shevchenko (-600) will cost you six times your potential return, and that’s super risky against a fighter that has lost just 1 time. I don’t feel as if Santos is going to win, but she is dangerous in the ground game, and an upset is certainly not something you can entirely rule out.
SHEVCHENKO BY TKO/KO (+220) is a good bet, as when she wins, she wins via knockout more often than not. Four of her last 6 fights have ended with her arm raised as champ via KO/TKO.
If you like the challenger, Santos by submission (+1400) would be the play.
Over/Under (O/U)
NO (-110): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is the lean here. I just don’t see this one going the entire 5 rounds. Shevchenko has big-time knockout ability, and if Santos is to win, she’ll do so via the ground with a submission win. Neither will want to leave it in the hands of the judges.
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