Utah at UCLA odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Utah at UCLA odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Utes (12-5, 5-1 Pac-12) and No. 6 UCLA Bruins (14-2, 5-0) clash in a Pac-12 showdown Thursday night in Los Angeles. Opening tip at Pauley Pavilion will be at 11 p.m. ET (Pac-12 Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Utah vs. UCLA odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Utes are in 2nd place after their 1st Pac-12 loss on Saturday against  Oregon (70-60 loss as a -4 favorite). Utah struggled from distance, shooting just 14.3%, and that long-range accuracy has been a problem area. The Utes have made just 26.3% of their 3s since Dec. 13.

The Bruins lost back-to-back games in November and have won 11 straight since (6-5 against the spread). Last year’s Pac-12 runner-up has had a couple of close shaves in its last 3 games, including a 60-58 triumph over USC in the team’s last game on Jan. 5.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Utah at UCLA odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:44 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Utah +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | UCLA -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Utah +11.5 (-105) | UCLA -11.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Utah at UCLA picks and predictions

Prediction

UCLA 71, Utah 59

Moneyline

PASS. Move along, nothing to see here with UCLA costing you 8 times your investment.

Against the spread

Against the number, this series is tied over the last 6 games, with neither side winning 2 in a row.

Utah is coming off a really shaky effort against Oregon, but that setback stands in contrast to recent games. UCLA is a lean to get by with a margin of 11-to-14 points: just not enough room to eke out any value. PASS.

Over/Under

The Under is: 5-1 in the Utes’ last 6 games following an ATS loss …  4-1 in UU’s last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home … 4-0 in UCLA’s last 4 games against foes playing .600 ball or better … 5-0 in UCLA’s last 5 games.

The strongest play is the UNDER 135.5 (-105). Both defenses rank in the KenPom top-20 in defensive efficiency. Neither side shoots a lot of 3s; UCLA makes a large percentage of its perimeter looks, but 3-point defense is a strength for the Utes. The Bruins should have some leverage in the turnover/transition and 2nd-chance departments, but in other games against comparable (or semi-comparable) opponents, the Under has hit regularly.

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Utah at UCLA odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Utah Utes at UCLA Bruins sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Utah Utes (4-1 overall, 1-0 Pac-12) visit the UCLA Bruins (5-2, 1-0) Thursday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off at Pauley Pavilion. Below, we analyze the Utah-UCLA college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Utah at UCLA: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Utah +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | UCLA -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Utah +6.5 (-110) | UCLA -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 136.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Utah at UCLA: Three things to know

  1. Utah hasn’t played since Dec. 18 when it routed Idaho 79-41 at home. The next game, at Arizona State Dec. 22, was postponed due to a positive COVID-19 test in the Utes program. Utah, which enters on a 2-game win streak, is led by junior F Timmy Allen (15.4 points per game) and senior G Alfonso Plummer (14.8 PPG).
  2. UCLA hasn’t played since Dec. 19 when it lost to then-No. 19 Ohio State 77-70 on a neutral floor in Cleveland, snapping a 5-game win streak. Like the Utes, the Bruins also had their last game (Dec. 23 at Oregon) postponed due to a positive COVID-19 test, but this time it involved a referee just hours before tip-off. Sophomore G Jamie Jaquez Jr. leads four Bruins in double-figure scoring with 13.7 PPG.
  3. The Bruins swept last season’s series to end a 3-game slide vs. the Utes. UCLA won 69-58 on the road as a 4-point underdog Feb. 20, and claimed a 73-57 victory at home as a 4-point favorite Feb. 2.

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Utah at UCLA: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

UCLA 75, Utah 65

Money line (ML)

PASS. The Utes might seem tempting at +240, but they’ve lost their last 10 conference road games, including an 0-9 record last season. The Bruins (-300) aren’t worth betting since you have to risk 3 times your potential return.

Against the spread (ATS)

UCLA -6.5 (-110) is the is STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Bruins are 4-0 at home, winning by an average of 20.5 PPG with the closest result being a 69-60 victory over Marquette Dec. 11.

ATS records: Utah 2-3 | UCLA 5-2

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 135.5 (-110) is the way to go. UCLA averages 77.3 PPG and Utah averages 73.8 PPG. The fear is if the two Pac-12 rivals come out a little rusty from their nearly two-week layoffs.

O/U records: Utah 3-2 | UCLA 4-3

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Johnny’s 2020 CBK record / Strongest plays 14-18 / 5-10
2019-20 CBK record / Strongest plays 5-3 / 5-0
2020 overall record (all sports) 177-146-4
Strongest plays (all sports) 87-60-1

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