Sunday’s best NCAA Tournament second-round upset and underdog picks and predictions

Beat the Sportsbook: Here are Sunday’s 2 best underdog bets for the second round of the 2024 NCAA Tournament.

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The 1st-round games gave us more information on the teams that survived; some of that new data has likely been under- or overemphasized. Below, we break down BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA Tournament odds and lines and list Sunday’s best 2nd-round upset bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s expert college basketball picks and predictions.

It has been an eventful tournament to say the least with 8 double-digit seeds advancing to the 2nd round. Despite all the upsets, 14 of the top 16 seeds made it out of the 1st round. Nine of the top 10 teams in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll remain in the tournament. So, we’ve got a great mix of bluebloods and surprises remaining, let’s see if there are anymore upset scenarios coming on Sunday.

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Sunday’s NCAA Tournament underdog picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:12 a.m. ET. All game times ET; ML = moneyline.

Utah State +11.5 (-110) vs. Purdue – 2:40 p.m. (CBS)

  • ML: Utah State (+450)

Some might feel like the Mountain West Conference was disrespected by the selection committee with placements and seeding. Entering Sunday, the MWC is 3-4 in the tourney. The Big 12 was arguably the toughest conference in the nation and the 8th-seeded Aggies (26-6) made short work of the No. 9 seed TCU Horn Frogs 88-72 Friday. G Ian Martinez filled the stat sheet with 21 points, 4 rebounds, 4 assists, a steal and a block in the win.

The top-seeded Boilermakers (30-4) will be a tall (literally) test Sunday, but Utah State is up to the challenge. The Aggies can spread the floor and drive the lane to possibly get Purdue 7-foot C Zach Edey into foul trouble. The Aggies’ balanced offense and tough defense are good enough to knock off Purdue and shock the world.

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JAMES MADISON +7.5 (+110) vs. Duke – 5:15 p.m. (CBS)

  • ML: James Madison (+250)

The Dukes (32-3) are one of only 6 teams in the country with 30 wins. Their 32nd victory came in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament against the Wisconsin Badgers (72-61). The 12th-seeded Dukes were led by Sun Belt Player of the Year Terrence Edwards Jr., who finished with 14 points, 5 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 steals and 1 block. James Madison won 17 of its last 18 games, which includes a current 14-game win streak.

Duke (25-8) lost its last game of the regular season to North Carolina and fell in its first game of the ACC Tournament — in the quarterfinals — to eventual tourney champ NC State. Despite the disappointing end to the season, the Blue Devils earned a No. 4 seed in the NCAA Tourney. There, they beat 13th-seeded Vermont 64-67, improving to 7-4 away from Cameron Indoor.

The last time a 12-seed reached the Sweet 16 was 2021 when Oregon State upset 5th-seeded Tennessee and 4th-seed Oklahoma before falling to No. 2 seed Houston in the Elite 8.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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March Madness second-round, can’t-miss parlay: Bank on this Sunday 3-teamer

Beat the Sportsbook: Bank on this 3-team parlay for Sunday’s second round of the NCAA Tournament.

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The 1st round of the NCAA Tournament ended with a flare Friday with some favorites advancing and more underdog stories being created. March Madness is in full swing as we move toward the Round of 32.

After looking at the BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA Tournament odds and lines, here is a Sunday’s can’t-miss, 2nd-round parlay among our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Many predicted some of the 2nd-round matchups that will be played on Sunday, but some teams, like James Madison and Grand Canyon, surprised a good number of fans by advancing. Below are teams you should keep an eye out for when putting together your parlay.

Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

NCAA Tournament second-round parlay

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:37 p.m. ET. All game times ET.

Leg  1: PURDUE -11.5 (-110) vs. Utah State – 2:40 p.m. (CBS)

No. 1 seed Purdue (30-4) dominated 16th-seeded Grambling Friday with a 28-point win (78-50), sending a message to the rest of the teams in the tournament. C Zach Edey proved to be too much to handle with 30 points and 21 rebounds. He will be the key reason the Boilermakers have another commanding victory.

Eighth-seeded Utah State (28-6) had an impressive 88-72 win over No. 9 seed TCU in the 1st round. A large reason for the victory was the Aggies’ ability to put the ball in the basket at a high rate. They shot 55.0% from the field, including 42.1% from 3, sinking 8 of 19. However, against a larger, more athletic Boilermakers team, the Aggies won’t find it as easy, making PURDUE -11.5 (-110) a solid 1st leg of this parlay.

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Leg 2: BAYLOR -4.5 (-110) vs. Clemson – 6:10 p.m. (TNT)

Third-seeded Baylor (24-10) looked like one of the best teams in the tournament in its 92-67 1st-round victory over No. 14 seed Colgate. With 4 of the 5 starters scoring in double figures and the team shooting a whopping 53.3% from beyond the arc, the Bears are a difficult team to stop when they get hot.

The Bears have hit their stride at the most ideal time in the season and present a much more difficult matchup for No. 6 seed Clemson (22-11) than New Mexico did in the Tigers’ 77-56 opening-round win.

At 4.5 points, the Baylor spread is perfect for the 2nd leg of the parlay.

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Leg 3: ALABAMA -5.5 (-115) vs. Grand Canyon – 7:10 p.m.

No. 4 seed Alabama (22-11) laying 5.5 points against 12th-seeded Grand Canyon is a steal and the icing on the cake for our parlay. While Grand Canyon (30-4) has had an impressive season, including its 1st-round upset of 5th-seeded Saint Mary’s, Alabama’s offense will simply be too much for the Gaels.

The Crimson Tide scored 109 points in their 1st-round victory over Charleston, and have scored 87 or more points in 9 of their last 10. Expect Alabama to push the pace of the game Sunday and exhausting Grand Canyon allowing the Tide to win, cover and finish the parlay out strong.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $68.14 (payout = $58.14).

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @seth_orlemann on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin /
College Sports Wire: Men’s hoops / Women’s hoops / High School

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