Utah Jazz at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Utah Jazz at Boston Celtics odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (36-40) battle the Boston Celtics (53-24) Friday. Tip from TD Garden is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Jazz vs. Celtics odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Jazz and Celtics have played once this season in Utah. The Jazz won 118-117, covering as a 4.5-point underdog. The Over 233 hit.

Utah is coming off a 128-117 win over the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday, covering as a 2-point road favorite. It has covered 8 of its last 11 games and is 42-32-2 against the spread (ATS) this season.

The Celtics are coming off a 140-99 win over the Milwaukee Bucks Thursday. Boston has covered 5 of its last 7 games, winning 5 straight up as well. It is 41-35-1 ATS on the season.

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Jazz at Celtics odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Jazz +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Celtics -950 (bet $950 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +13.5 (-108) | Celtics -13.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Jazz at Celtics key injuries

Jazz

  • G Jordan Clarkson (hand) out
  • F Rudy Gay (back) out
  • F Lauri Markkanen (hand) out
  • G Collin Sexton (hamstring) out

Celtics

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Jazz at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 128, Jazz 110

Moneyline

AVOID.

Boston should come out on top in this battle, and it is 28-9 at home. Regardless, at -950, the Celtics to win is far too expensive. The Jazz will be without their 3 leading scorers, making the +650 too risky as well.

Against the spread

LEAN CELTICS -13.5 (-112).

The Celtics are 5-2 ATS over their last 7 games and 2-1 ATS when a double-digit favorite over that span. They are also 21-16 ATS at home this season.

The Jazz have been good at covering on the road, but they are 2-3 ATS over their last 5 and will be without many key pieces. Their top-3 leading scorers are out, and their 4th-leading scorer, F Kelly Olynyk, is questionable.

Ultimately, considering their potential struggle to score and Boston’s ability to cover a large spread, take the CELTICS -13.5 (-112).

Over/Under

BET OVER 232.5 (-115).

The Jazz have figured out ways to score even without their top weapons. They put up 128 on the Spurs Wednesday and have topped 112 in 11 of their last 12 games. The Jazz are 9-2-1 O/U in their last 12 games.

The Celtics are 5-2 O/U in their last 7 games and have scored at least 120 in 4 of their last 5 and at least 130 in 3 of their last 5. They rank 2nd in points per game (118.3).

Expect a high-scoring game and take the OVER 232.5 (-115).

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Utah Jazz at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Utah Jazz at Boston Celtics and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (45-27) head to Beantown Wednesday to play the Boston Celtics (45-28) at the TD Garden with the tip-off scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Celtics odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Utah had its 3-game winning streak — 3-0 against the spread (ATS) — snapped Monday in a 114-106 road loss at the Brooklyn Nets as 2-point favorites.

Boston has won 9 of its last 10 (7-3 ATS) including four straight victories as part of a 4-game Western Conference road swing.

The Jazz beat the Celtics a fourth straight time Dec. 3 (3-1 ATS), 137-130 in Utah as 8-point home favorites.

Jazz at Celtics odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:04 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Jazz +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Celtics -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Jazz +4.5 (-105) | Celtics -4.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under: 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Jazz at Celtics key injuries

Jazz

  • SF Bojan Bogdanovic (calf) out

Celtics

  • PG Marcus Smart (illness) probable

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Jazz at Celtics odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 114, Jazz 104

Money line

PASS  even though the Celtics (-205) should win by margin since the Jazz (+165) are an NBA-worst 1-5 SU as an underdog with a minus-7.7 margin of victory.

Also, Boston is the most efficient squad versus teams with a top-10 net efficiency (plus-4.9 adjusted net rating), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

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Against the spread

BET the CELTICS -4.5 (-122)  for 1 unit because they play much better against strong competition than the Jazz.

For instance, Boston is are 21-12-1 ATS versus teams with a winning record while Utah is 9-19-1 ATS versus winning teams and 4-8-1 ATS on the road in those spots.

Furthermore, the Celtics have the best adjusted net rating versus teams in the top-10 of net efficiency with a plus-6.3 ATS margin, per CTG.

On top of that, Utah has a couple of weaknesses that Boston can attack. The Jazz can be careless with the rock — 20th in adjusted offensive turnover rate (TOV%) — and 19th in defensive field goal percentage versus mid-range attempts, per CTG.

Celtics All-Star wings Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown love to operate out of iso-sets and in the mid-range so I think either, or both of them, could be in for a big game. Plus Boston has a top-10 defensive TOV%.

Finally, the market is hammering the Under and the oddsmakers have lowered the total 7 points from the look-ahead. The market projecting a lower-scoring affair gives me more confidence in Boston since its defense is world-beaters.

BET the CELTICS -4.5 (-122).

Over/Under

PASS  since I “lean” to the Under 215.5 (-110) but we’d be getting by far the worst of the number since this total was set at 223.5 on the look-ahead.

For what it’s worth, the Jazz are 32-38-2 O/U and the Celtics are 33-38-2 O/U, but these teams have a combined 35-27 O/U versus teams with a winning record.

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