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The USWNT and Brazil face off in the gold medal match Saturday at Parc des Princes in Paris. Kickoff is set for 11 a.m. ET (NBC / Telemundo / Peacock). Below, we preview FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the USWNT vs. Brazil odds, and make our expert Summer Olympic picks and predictions.
The USWNT crushed the group stage, beating Zambia 3-0, Germany 4-1 and Australia 2-1. In the knockout rounds, the U.S. needed extra time in both wins, defeating Japan 1-0 in a quarterfinal and Germany 1-0 in a semifinal match. F Trinity Rodman scored the winner vs. Japan in the 105th minute, while F Sophia Smith netted the winning goal vs. Germany in the 95th minute. The USWNT has had over 55% of possession in both of its knockout stage matches.
The Brazilians struggled immensely in the group stage. They defeated Nigeria 1-0 to kick off their Olympics action but then lost 2-1 to Japan and 2-0 to Spain. Brazil turned it around in the knockout stage, though, taking down France 1-0 in a quarterfinal and beating Spain in a rematch 4-2 in a semifinal. Despite having 9 fewer shots and 3 fewer shots on frame, Brazil still advanced by Spain, the top-ranked team in the world per FIFA World Rankings.
The USWNT is No. 5; Brazil is No. 9.
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Brazil vs. USWNT odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:07 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: USWNT -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Brazil +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Draw +230
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +131 | U: -176)
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Brazil vs. USWNT picks and predictions
Prediction
USWNT 2, Brazil 1
Moneyline (ML)
TAKE USWNT (-110).
The USWNT have looked dominant and have faced stiff competition over the last few games. While Brazil made it through both Spain and France, its group stage proved it isn’t consistent, and against a technically sound team like the USWNT, Brazil should struggle to keep that hot play alive.
In its last 2 matches, the USWNT had 3 more shots on frame than Germany and 2 more than Japan. Given Spain was dominant statistically against Brazil in the semifinals, the Brazilians may struggle against the USWNT, which has consistently had the bulk of the possession against opponents.
Considering these trends, TAKE USWNT (-110).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (+131).
Brazil plays at a fast, up-and-down pace. There were 6 total goals in its semifinal win vs. Spain. Plus, the 2 teams combined for 45 total shots. The USWNT has played to the style of its opponent, totaling 3 shots on frame against Japan and then 10 against Germany.
The Americans have the ability to stretch the field and have the talent to put shots on frame. Including a few friendlies, Brazil has gone Over this total in 4 of its last 7 games. With its style of play in mind, BET OVER 2.5 (+131).
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More USA TODAY Summer Olympics coverage:
News | Medal count | Meet Team USA
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