The USMNT battles Canada in the quarterfinal of the CONCACAF Gold Cup. Kickoff from TQL Stadium in Cincinnati is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the USMNT vs. Canada odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
The USMNT won the Nations League final on June 18 over Canada 2-0. It had 3 more shots and 3 more shots on goal while holding possession for just 36% of the match. This is a far different roster, but it is one that took down Trinidad and Tobago 6-0 and Saint Kitts and Nevis 6-0. It drew Jamaica in the Group Stage for Group A, yet still won the group.
Canada drew Guadeloupe 2-2 on June 27 and Guatemala 0-0 on July 1. It then took down Cuba 4-2. Canada finished 2nd in Group D as Guatemala won the group with 7 points. Canada ended the 3-game stage with 6 goals scored and 4 allowed. Canada won’t have several of its best players on display for this battle either.
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USMNT vs. Canada odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 4:29 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: USMNT -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Canada +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Draw +280
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -115 | U: -125)
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USMNT vs. Canada picks and predictions
Prediction
USMNT 2, Canada 0
Moneyline (ML)
BET USMNT (-160).
The USMNT has been growing in strength since that opening draw with Jamaica. It won its Group Stage matches a combined 13-1 while Canada hasn’t truly shown that strength against low-tier competition. Drawing Guadeloupe and beating Cuba 4-2, despite only having 5 more shots, isn’t too impressive.
Most of Canada’s key forwards during the 2022 World Cup like F Alphonso Davies and F Cyle Larin aren’t on the Gold Cup roster. The USMNT has a deeper roster after that top tier of players.
Considering how both teams faired in the group stage, take USMNT (-160) despite the juice. The USMNT has won both of its previous games at TQL Stadium as well.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-125).
Canada’s men’s national soccer team will be down several key forwards, but players like GK Dayne St. Clair, D Kamal Miller and D Richie Laryea were all at the World Cup and are also on the roster. The defensive aptitude should be there. Both of Cuba’s goals were on penalties while Guadeloupe scored 2 goals on 4 shots on target. Those were the only 4 Group Stage goals allowed.
The USMNT doesn’t have many of its key attackers from the World Cup either and didn’t have a great showing against the only competent side in its Group Stage games, scoring just 1 goal on Jamaica. It also allowed just 1 goal through 3 games, which shows its competent defense as well. Both sides should be able to limit opportunities.
With that in mind, take the UNDER 2.5 (-125).
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