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The No. 19 UNLV Rebels (10-2, 6-1 Mountain West) and No. 10 Boise State Broncos (11-1, 7-0) meet Friday in the Mountain West title game. Kickoff from Albertsons Stadium is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the UNLV vs. Boise State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
UNLV has won 4 straight games. The Rebels’ last loss was 29-24 at home to Boise State Oct. 25. They did not cover as 4-point underdogs. They are coming off a 38-14 home win over Nevada Saturday, covering as 17.5-point favorites.
The Broncos have won 10 games in a row since losing 37-34 Sept. 7 at Oregon, which is now No. 1 in the US LBM Coaches Poll. They are coming off a 34-18 home win over Oregon State Nov. 29, but did not cover as 17.5-point favorites.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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UNLV at Boise State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): UNLV +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Boise State -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): UNLV +4.5 (-110) | Boise State -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 57.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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UNLV at Boise State picks and predictions
Prediction
UNLV 27, Boise State 24
Moneyline
Since the Broncos won the Oct. 25 meeting, UNLV has allowed 19.3 points per game and averaged 33.8.
But Boise State has averaged 35.4 points per game in 5 games since the last matchup and allowed 19.4.
Boise State is 6-0 at home this season. UNLV is undefeated on the road.
As a fairly firm believer that 2 evenly-matched teams will find it difficult to beat one other twice in the same season, I like the underdog.
BET UNLV (+160).
Against the spread
Neither team has been dominant against the spread. UNLV is 7-5 ATS and 2-5 ATS in its last 5 games, although it did win and cover its final 2 contests.
Boise State is 6-5-1 ATS overall and 1-3 ATS over its last 4 games, failing to cover the spread in its final 2 games of the regular season.
But since we’re expecting an outright win by the Rebels, the spread is not the best bet here.
PASS.
Over/Under
The Oct. 25 meeting finished with 53 total points. Both teams had the Under cash in their final 2 games of the regular season.
BET UNDER 57.5 (-105).
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