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The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (5-4) and the No. 24 Dayton Flyers (9-2) meet Tuesday at UD Arena. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the UNLV vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
UNLV picked up a 72-65 win over the visiting Pacific Tigers Saturday, but it failed to cover as a 12.5-point favorite while the Under (139) hit. The Rebels have been struggling against the number, going 0-5 against the spread (ATS) in the past 5 games, while going 1-7-1 ATS in the past 9 outings. The Under is 5-1 in the past 6 contest, too.
Dayton surprised the Marquette Golden Eagles last time out on Saturday, winning 71-63 as a 1-point home favorite while the Under (149) cashed. The Flyers have been on fire against the number, going 6-1 ATS in the past 7 games, while going 8-2 ATS this season. The Over is 5-1 in the past 6 outings, while cashing at a 7-2-1 clip this season.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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UNLV at Dayton odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 8:18 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): UNLV +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Dayton -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
- Against the spread: UNLV +11.5 (-110) | Dayton -11.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 141.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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UNLV at Dayton picks and predictions
Prediction
Dayton 79, UNLV 65
Moneyline
Dayton (-750) will cost you 7½ times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. Even as part of a multi-leg parlay, including UD sucks all of the value out of your ticket.
AVOID.
Against the spread
Play DAYTON -11.5 (-110) is a strong play laying the double digits at home.
For UNLV +11.5 (-110), it has failed to cover in a 5 in a row, while going 1-7-1 ATS in 9 games this season. As a double-digit underdog, UNLV lost 83-65 at Creighton Dec. 7, and you can expect a similar result in this battle.
On the flip side, Dayton is 6-1 ATS in the past 7 games, and it is 2-1 ATS in the past 3 games as a double-digit favorite.
The Flyers have only lost to North Carolina and Iowa State in Hawaii, while they topped UConn by 18 points Nov. 28.
Over/Under
OVER 141.5 (-105) is worth a look in this battle in Ohio.
Dayton has been on fire with the Over cashing in 5 of the past 6 games, going for 74 or more points in 8 of the past 9 games. The Flyers hit field goals at a 49.8% clip, among the best marks in the nation.
Be careful not to get carried away, though, as UNLV has cashed low in 5 of the past 6 outings. UNLV has coughed up 80 or more points in 2 of the past 4 games.
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