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The Vermont Catamounts (27-6) and UMass Lowell River Hawks (22-9) meet in the final of the America East Tournament Saturday. Tip-off from Patrick Gymanasium is set for 11 a.m. ET (ESPN2/ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UMass Lowell at Vermont odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
No. 1 seed Vermont ended the regular season with a 15-1 conference record and a 15-1 home record. It beat the 8th-seeded Albany Great Danes 75-72 in the quarterfinals last Saturday, failing to cover as a 16.5-point favorite, then followed up that performance with a non-cover as a 17-point favorite in a 66-59 victory over the 4th-seeded New Hampshire Wildcats Tuesday.
Vermont is 14-17 against the spread (ATS) on the season. It has failed to cover 3 in a row yet is 5-3 ATS in its last 8.
UMass Lowell, the 2nd seed in the tournament, ended the regular season 11-5 in conference play and 10-6 on the road. It beat the 7th-seeded UMBC Retrievers 94-89 in overtime last Saturday, then took down the No. 3 seed Bryant Bulldogs 77-70 Tuesday, closing as a 7.5-point favorite in both.
The River Hawks have failed to cover in 4 straight games and 6 of their last 7. They are 12-16 ATS on the season.
– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
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UMass Lowell at Vermont odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): UMass Lowell +245 (bet $100 to win $245) | Vermont -310 (bet $310 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): UMass Lowell +7.5 (-115) | Vermont -7.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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UMass Lowell at Vermont picks and predictions
Prediction
Vermont 71, UMass Lowell 61
Moneyline
PASS.
Vermont (-310) won both games against UMass Lowell, both on the road and at home. It beat UMass Lowell by 12 at home and should again come out on top. At -310, there’s no valuing in betting it to win outright.
Against the spread
BET VERMONT -7.5 (-105).
The Catamounts have been far more profitable for bettors over the last few weeks, and they covered in both games against the River Hawks earlier in the season. Vermont has covered in 5 of its last 8 games and closed the regular season on a 5-1 ATS run.
UMass Lowell has failed to cover in 4 in a row and 6 of its last 7. The River Hawks’ top scorer is shooting under 40% from the field as well, which doesn’t bode well for it to keep pace with the Catamounts. Back VERMONT -7.5 (-105).
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 133.5 (-110).
If there’s 1 thing both teams have done as of late, it is hit the Under. The Catamounts went 8-21 O/U on the season. With the tournament included, they have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games.
The River Hawks scored 65 or fewer in their last 2 games to close the regular season and went Under in both games against Vermont. They are 1-4 O/U in their last 5 games.
Take UNDER 133.5 (-110).
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