Tag: uga kentucky prediction

College football model predicts the winner of Georgia vs. Kentucky

Model projects that the Georgia-Kentucky game will be much closer than projected

For people that trust technology more than people when it comes to making predictions, this is for you: SP+, a statistical model made by ESPN (subscription required) has predicted how the matchup between the Georgia Bulldogs and the Kentucky Wildcats will go.

SP+ is a model created by ESPN analyst Bill Connelly to predict the outcome of college football games. “SP+ is intended to be predictive and forward-facing,” according to Connelly. “It is not a résumé ranking that gives credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling — no good predictive system is.”

“It is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you’re lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating will probably fall. If you’re strong and unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise.”

The model has predicted that the Bulldogs will come out of Kroger Field with a 38-26 victory over the Wildcats. Considering Georgia is a 22-point favorite over Kentucky (on BetMGM), it would go just over the spread.

UGA fans that don’t travel to Lexington will be able to watch the game at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.