Tag: UFC Saudi Arabia betting odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC Fight Night 250: Magomedov vs. Page odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 250 odds between Shara Magomedov vs. Michael Page, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round middleweight bout on the main card, Shara Magomedov and Michael Page meet at UFC Fight Night 250 — also known as UFC Saudi Arabia and UFC on ESPN+ 108 — Saturday at ANB Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. . Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 250: Magomedov vs. Page odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 9 a.m. ET (ESPN+) with the main card approximately starting around noon ET.

Records: Magomedov (15-0-0) | Page (22-3-0)

Magomedov, also known as Sharabutdin Magomedov, has won all 4 of his fights at the UFC level starting with a unanimous-decision win over Bruno Silva at UFC 294 in October 2023. He has 2 UD victories and a pair of KO/TKO wins, including a 2nd-round stoppage against Armen Petrosyan at UFC 308 Oct. 26, 2004.

Page is looking to bounce back after a unanimous-decision loss to Ian Machado Garry at UFC 303 June 29, 2024. In 2 fights since switching over from Bellator to UFC, Page has split a pair of unanimous-decision fights — he defeated Kevin Holland at UFC 299 in his company debut in last March.

Page enters the octagon with a huge 6-inch reach advantage. He can do work on the canvas if needed, although he hasn’t had a professional win via submission since an Achilles lock victory over Jeremie Holloway at Bellator 153. He is 3-0 via the method in his career, though, so it can’t be ruled out entirely.

Magomedov has 15 career victories in 15 tries, with 12 coming via knockout. The other 3 have been unanimous-decision victories, coming in his previous 6 fights, including against Michal Oleksiejczuk at UFC on ABC 7 Aug. 3, 2024 .

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UFC Fight Night 250: Magomedov vs. Page odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:02 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Magomedov -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Page +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -250 | Under +185)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -200 | No +150)

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UFC Fight Night 250: Magomedov vs. Page picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

PAGE (+150) is an intriguing underdog in this matchup. He heads to the octagon with a 6-inch reach advantage, and that shouldn’t be discredited. That’s a big difference.

While Magomedov (-185) has been a punching machine since landing in the UFC, both fighters are equally accurate strikers. The switch-stance Page has plenty of experience at Bellator, too. He nearly won a championship with that company, coming up just short against Logan Storley at Bellator 281 in May 2022.

In 25 career bouts, Page is 13-1 via KO/TKO, although he has 2 decisions in 2 fights as the UFC level. The safer play is to back PAGE BY DECISION (+275) on the 5-way line, or just take him straight up on the 2-way in the event of a knockout. Either way, it’s plus-money.

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 2.5 Rounds (-250) is too expensive, costing 2½ times the potential return. Even going ‘Yes: Will the fight go the distance?’ (-200) will set you back twice as much as your return. That’s not really a recommended option. Get specific and choose a fighter to win by decision for a much better payday.

PASS.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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UFC Fight Night 250: Pavlovich vs. Rozenstruik odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 250 odds between Sergei Pavlovich and Jairzinho Rozenstruik, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round heavyweight bout on the main card, Sergei Pavlovich and Jairzinho Rozenstruik meet at UFC Fight Night 250 — also known as UFC Saudi Arabia and UFC on ESPN+ 108 — Saturday at ANB Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 250: Pavlovich vs. Rozenstruik odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 9 a.m. ET (ESPN+) with the main card approximately kicking off around noon ET.

Records: Pavlovich (18-3-0) | Rozenstruik (15-5-0)

The southpaw Pavlovich looks to slap the brakes on a 2-bout losing streak. He was knocked out by Tom Aspinall at UFC 295 in the first round in a title bout in November 2023. He then lost a unanimous decision to Alexander Volkov last June.

Prior to the losing skid, Pavlovich had recorded 6 consecutive first-round knockouts victors. As a matter of fact, his first 8 UFC fights finished in the opening round via KO/TKO as he went 6-2.

Rozenstruik burst onto the scene with 4 straight KO/TKO wins to begin his UFC career between February and December of 2019 in a busy first year. A loss in just 20 seconds to Francis Ngannou at UFC 249 in May 2020 seemed to derail Rozenstruik as he went 5-4 since.

The Surinamese fighter — nicknamed “Bigi Boy” — did win his last 2 fights, beating Shamil Gaziev last March and Tai Tuivasa in his last bout, which was in August. So, perhaps he is pulling out of his nosedive. His win over Gaziev was a Round 4 KO/TKO win in the main event of a fight night, while he had a split-decision win over Tuivasa at UFC 305.

Pavlovich has an overwhelming 6-inch reach advantage over Rozenstruik, and a 5.86-to-3.75 significant strikes landed per minute edge. However, Rozenstruik is quite a bit more accurate with those strikes at 53.06%, to just 44.92% for the lefty. Neither is particularly noteworthy on the canvas, and any thought of a submission should be forgotten here.

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UFC Fight Night 250: Pavlovich vs. Rozenstruik odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:20 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Pavlovich -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Rozenstruik +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +160 | Under -210)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +400 | No -650)

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UFC Fight Night 250: Pavlovich vs. Rozenstruik picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Pavlovich (-300) is too expensive to bet straight up, costing 3 times the potential return.

While Rozenstruik (+240) has been a little better lately, it’s hard to trust a fighter who is .500 across his past 10 bouts, especially against a guy like Pavlovich, who is a knockout machine.

The key here is Pavlovich’s immense reach potential as he has a 6-inch advantage in the category. He’ll be able to push and pull Rozenstruik out at his choosing, picking his time to go in for the big shot.

The best play is PAVLOVICH BY KO/TKO OR DQ (-275) on the 7-way line … but even that is quite expensive. You’ll want to parlay this with another fight or two so you get a better return.

Backing PAVLOVICH IN ROUND 1 (-120) might also be a safe play. In 8 of his 9 fights at the UFC level, win or lose, he hasn’t been to Round 2.

Over/Under (O/U)

Under 1.5 Rounds (-210) will cost more than 2 times the potential return. That’s just a bit expensive, unless you were to tie it in with some other wagers in a parlay. As a standalone bet, AVOID.

Definitely PASS on ‘No: Will the fight go the distance?’ (-650) since it’s a risk of 6½ times the potential return.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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UFC Fight Night 250: Adesanya vs. Imavov odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 250 odds between Israel Adesanya vs. Nassourdine Imavov, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round middleweight bout in the main event, Israel Adesanya and Nassourdine Imavov meet at UFC Fight Night 250 — also known as UFC Saudi Arabia and UFC on ESPN+ 108 — Saturday at ANB Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 250: Adesanya vs. Imavov odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 9 a.m. ET (ESPN+) with the main card approximately kicking off around noon ET.

Records: Adesanya (24-4-0) | Imavov (15-4-0)

Adesanya — nicknamed “The Last Stylebender” — had been mostly unbeatable in his UFC career. He picked up the interim middleweight strap at UFC 236 against Kelvin Gastelum in April 2019. He defended his crown 3 times before moving up to light heavyweight when Jan Blachowicz stunned him at UFC 259 in March 2021. Stylebender returned with a win 3 months later over Marvin Vettori to defend his middleweight title at UFC 263. He defended the strap 2 more times before a loss to Alex Pereira in November 2022.

At UFC 287, Adesanya avenged his loss to Pereira to regain the crown in April 2023, but back-to-back losses to Sean Strickland (September 2023) and Dricus Du Plessis (August 2024) in championship bouts has knocked him down the middleweight ranks in a stacked division.

Imavov is on the rise, looking to make a name for himself in the division. He lost to Strickland via unanimous decision in a fight night offering in January 2023. After a no-contest against Chris Curtis at UFC 289 5 months later, Imavov has rattled off 3 wins in a row. He claimed with a majority-decision victory over Roman Dolidze in February 2024, a 4th-round KO/TKO of Jared Cannonier in a main event in June 2024, and a unanimous-decision victory over Brendan Allen in his last fight (September 2024).

Adesanya holds a 5-inch reach advantage, while Imavov, who is 29 years old, is 6 years younger than the former champ. Imavov also has a 4.51-to-4.00 advantage in significant strikes landed per minute, while posting a 59.69% accuracy mark on those strikes, to just 51.53% for Adesanya.

The French fighter also has a 0.88 takedown average, and he has a 36.0% accuracy on takedowns, while posting a 1.18 submission average. Adesanya has a 0.05 takedown average, 12.50% takedown accuracy percentage and 0.14 submission average.

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UFC Fight Night 250: Adesanya vs. Imavov odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:34 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Adesanya -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Imavov +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -210 | Under +160)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -185 | No +140)

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UFC Fight Night 250: Adesanya vs. Imavov picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

IMAVOV (+140) is worth a roll of the dice as the underdog.

The reach advantage is huge, and the French fighter has advantages in all of the major categories over Adesanya (-170) except for championship experience. The Nigerian-born fighter is a future Hall of Famer, and one of the best to ever do it, but Adesanya is getting long in the tooth, and he isn’t as unbeatable as he once was.

The youthful Imavov will do what Adesanya has done for many, many years. He will wow the judges with his solid striking ability, while occasionally scoring points with takedowns. He’ll out-style the Stylebender for the victory.

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 4.5 Rounds (-210) is a little too costly, and even going ‘Yes: Will the fight go the distance?’ (-185) will cost you nearly 2 times the potential return. That’s a little too much, so PASS on that.

However, we’re unlikely to see a KO/TKO in this fight, and a submission is even less likely. If Imavov does, indeed, get it done, the fight will likely go the distance.

IMAVOV ON POINTS (+300) for the chance to triple up is certainly worth a look.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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UFC on ABC 6: Robert Whittaker vs. Ikram Aliskerov odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ABC 6 odds between Robert Whittaker vs. Ikram Aliskerov, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round middleweight bout in the main event, Robert Whittaker and Ikram Aliskerov meet Saturday at UFC on ABC 6 — also known as UFC Saudi Arabia — at Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ABC 6: Pavlovich vs. Volkov odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at noon ET and can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN+.

Records: Whittaker (26-7-0) | Aliskerov (15-1-0)

Khamzat Chimaev was expected to face Whittaker in this main event, but Chimaev was forced to pull out due to an undisclosed health issue. In steps Aliskerov on short notice to face the former middleweight champion.

Whittaker suffered a unanimous-decision loss to Israel Adesanya at UFC 271 in Feb. 2022. It was a rematch of their fight in Oct. 2019, which resulted in a 2nd-round KO/TKO setback in another title bout.

Whittaker is just 2-2 in his past 4 bouts, with a KO/TKO loss to Dricus Du Plessis at UFC 290. He has ended up going the distance in 6 of his past 7 fights since July 25, 2020, and 8 of his past 10 bouts have needed the assistance of the judges to choose a winner.

The southpaw Aliskerov has made 2 appearances at the UFC level, winning via 1st-round KO/TKO against Phil Hawes and Warlley Alves to get on the fast track in the middleweight division. However, facing Whittaker is a huge step up in competition.

Aliskerov has a 2.5-inch reach advantage, but the former champ has tons more experience. Whittaker lands 4.57 significant strikes per minute and posts a 45.83% accuracy percentage on these strikes. He has a 38.10% takedown accuracy percentage, too, while posting a 0.81 takedown average.

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UFC on ABC 6: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:20 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Whittaker -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Aliskerov +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -150 | Under +115)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +165 | No -225)

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UFC on ABC 6: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

WHITTAKER (-150) will be able tap into his experience and wisdom at the UFC level to get the job done against Aliskerov (+125). The Russian challenger is an up-and-comer who has a bright future, but facing Whittaker will easily be his biggest challenge, and he is not quite ready.

Whittaker is not a punching machine, but he is technically superior, and he does all of the little things to keep all eyes on him, wowing the judges.

While playing Whittaker on the 2-way line is not priced out of line, going with WHITTAKER BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+250) on the 5-way line makes for a tidy little profit if he can go the distance and win.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-150) is worth a look, as it is expected the favorite will win via the distance.

If you’re a little more adventurous, want some action on the fight, and do not want to declare a winner, take YES (+165): WILL FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? at plus-money.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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UFC on ABC 6: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Daniel Rodriguez odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ABC 6 odds between Kelvin Gastelum vs. Daniel Rodriguez, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round middleweight bout on the main card, Kelvin Gastelum and Daniel Rodriguez meet Saturday at UFC on ABC 6 — also known as UFC Saudi Arabia — at Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ABC 6: Gastelum vs. Rodriguez odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at noon ET and can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN+.

Records: Gastelum (18-9-0) | Rodriguez (17-4-0)

The 32-year-old veteran Gastelum is looking to bounce back after a 3rd-round submission loss to Sean Brady last time out in early December. Prior to that, he had 4 straight unanimous decisions, with 2 wins and 2 losses in those outings. He has ended up going the distance in 7 of his past 9 bouts.

Gastelum fought Israel Adesanya for the middleweight strap in April 2019 at UFC 236, but he lost that fight, and he is now 2-6 in his past 8 fights, and simply looking to hang on with the company.

Rodriguez has dropped his past 2 fights, losing via 1st-round KO/TKO to Ian Machado Garry in May 2023 and suffering a submission loss to Neil Magny in Nov. 2022. His most recent win came via split decision against Li Jingliang at UFC 279, and he has ended up going the distance in 4 of his past 7 events.

The 37-year-old southpaw Rodriguez has an impressive 7.30 significant strikes landed per minute mark, with Gastelum checking in at just 3.55 per minute. Rodriguez is much more accurate, too, landing 51.72% of those strikes, to just 46.44% for Gastelum.

Gastelum has a 0.96-to-0.62 takedown average advantage, while Rodriguez is more accurate in that department, too, posting a 50.00% takedown accuracy percentage, to just 30.65% for the veteran Gastelum. The difference in submission average is rather negligible.

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UFC on ABC 6: Gastelum vs. Rodriguez odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:50 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Gastelum -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Rodriguez +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -225 | No +165)

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UFC on ABC 6: Gastelum vs. Rodriguez picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Backing Gastelum (-210) straight up will set you back more than 2 times your potential return. That’s risky because it is so expensive, and because the veteran has won just 2 times in the past 8 bouts.

Rodriguez (+175) is tempting at this price based on his tremendous significant strikes advantage, both in frequency and accuracy. However, he has fought a lot of tomato cans in his UFC career, and he has wilted against some of the better competition.

With both of these fighters going the distance so frequently, GASTELUM BY DECISION (+100) on the 5-way or 7-way line at even-money is a much better value. Of course, if he scores a KO/TKO or submission win, you do not cash, so be careful.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-225): Will the fight go the distance? sets your back more than 2 times. That’s super expensive, so PASS on that as a straight up wager.

However, it isn’t a bad idea to toss in YES (-225) as part of a multi-leg parlay.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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UFC on ABC 6: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Alexander Volkov odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ABC 6 odds between Sergei Pavlovich vs. Alexander Volkov, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round heavyweight bout on the main card, Sergei Pavlovich and Alexander Volkov meet Saturday at UFC on ABC 6 — also known as UFC Saudi Arabia — at Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ABC 6: Pavlovich vs. Volkov odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at noon ET and can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN+.

Records: Pavlovich (18-2-0) | Volkov (37-10-0)

The 32-year-old Pavlovich made his first attempt for the heavyweight championship belt against Tom Aspinall at UFC 295 in mid-November 2023, but he was knocked out in Round 1 by the Englishman. In fact, all 8 of his fights at the UFC level have resulted in KO/TKO, each in Round 1, with 6 victories and 2 setbacks.

The veteran Volkov streaks in with 3 straight victories, all with a finish. He submitted Tai Tuivasa in Round 2 at UFC 293 last time out in Sept. 2023, while posting a pair of Round 1 KO/TKO wins over Alexandr Romanov and Jairzinho Rozenstruik since June 2022. His last loss came against Aspinall in the main event March 19, 2022.

Each of Volkov’s past 4 fights have finished inside the distance, while Pavlovich hasn’t had a decision since winning the belt at FNG: Fight Nights Global 68 against Mikhail Mokhnatkin in June 2017.

Pavlovich holds a 4-inch reach advantage, and the southpaw has an 8.21-to-5.10 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Volkov is much more accurate with those strikes at 62.16%, while Pavlovich lands just 49.51% of those strikes.

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UFC on ABC 6: Pavlovich vs. Volkov odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:22 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Pavlovich -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Volkov +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +120 | Under -160)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -225 | No +165)

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UFC on ABC 6: Pavlovich vs. Volkov picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Pavlovich (-250) will set you back 2½ times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward in this battle of Russian fighters.

The veteran Volkov (+195) is tempting at this price for the chance to nearly double up. However, in this battle of Russian fighters, Pavlovich should use his tremendous reach advantage to push and pull Volkov out at his leisure, picking and choosing his spots to deliver blows, before backing it out and keeping himself from incurring a lot of unnecessary damage.

Let’s get a little more specific. PAVLOVICH IN ROUND 1 (+100) at even-money is a strong play in the round betting department. He hasn’t been past the 4:21 mark of Round 1 in any of his 8 bouts, and that happened in his UFC debut back in Nov. 2018 against veteran Alistair Overeem.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS (-160) has a rather moderate price tag, but it’s worth playing. Pavlovich has never been to Round 2 at the UFC level, and this bet could see this fight end at 2:30 of Round 2 or earlier and still cash.

No (-450): Will the fight go the distance? is not a recommended play, as you must risk 4½ times your potential return. That’s way too much risk, and you likely won’t be able to fold it into a multi-leg parlay to mitigate the risk.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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