Tag: UFC on ESPN+ 99 betting odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC Fight Night 241: Themba Gorimbo vs. Ramiz Brahimaj odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 241 odds between Themba Gorimbo vs. Ramiz Brahimaj, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round welterweight bout on the main card, Themba Gorimbo and Ramiz Brahimaj meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 241 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 99 and UFC Vegas 92 — at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 241: Gorimbo vs. Brahimaj odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 4 p.m. ET and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Records: Gorimbo (12-4-0) | Brahimaj (10-4-0)

The Zimbabwean-born Gorimbo takes the walk with 2 straight victories under his belt after a submission loss in his UFC debut back on Feb. 18, 2023, against AJ Fletcher. The win streak includes a KO/TKO in 32 seconds against Pete Rodriguez last time out on the Dolidze-Imavov card.

Brahimaj has split his 4 fights at the UFC level. He bounced back with a submission win over Michael Gillmore last time out after losing via unanimous decision against Court McGee in mid-January. He has had just 1 of his 4 fights go the distance since arriving in the UFC in Nov. 2020.

Gorimbo enters the octagon with a 5-inch reach advantage, and he holds a tremendous lead in significant strikes accuracy percentage. Gorimbo lands 67.82% of those strikes, while Brahimaj lands just 43.43% of his significant strikes. Gorimbo is much better with a 3.39 takedown average, to just 1.90 for Brahimaj.

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UFC Fight Night 241: Gorimbo vs. Brahimaj odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:20 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Gorimbo -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Brahimaj +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -160 | Under +120)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -250)

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UFC Fight Night 241: Gorimbo vs. Brahimaj picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

GORIMBO (-150), a.k.a. “The Answer”, is a strong play in this welterweight clash at the Apex.

The Zimbabwean has won the past 2 fights, and just 1 of his 3 fights have ended up going the distance.

Brahimaj (+125) tapped out Gillmore last time out, and just 1 of his 4 bouts have needed the judges to decide his fate.

GORIMBO BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+175) on the 5-way line for method of victory is the best play for the chance to nearly double up.

Over/Under (O/U)

No: Will the fight go the distance? (-250) will set you back 2½ times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward.

However, OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-160) isn’t a bad play for a moderate price. While Gorimbo has ended up going past the halfway point of Round 2 just once in his 3 UFC fights, Brahimaj has gone the distance once, and he has fought into Round 3 in 2 of his 4 UFC bouts, including a 3rd-round KO/TKO loss to Max Griffin in his company debut in Nov. 2020.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC Fight Night 241: Khaos Williams vs. Carlston Harris odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 241 odds between Khaos Williams vs. Carlston Harris, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round welterweight bout on the main card, Khaos Williams and Carlston Harris meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 241 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 99 and UFC Vegas 92 — at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 241: Williams vs. Harris odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 4 p.m. ET and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Records: Williams (14-3-0) | Harris (19-5-0)

The veteran Williams picked up a split-decision win over Rolando Bedoya at UFC 288 back in May 2023. He has won 3 of his past 4 fights, including a KO/TKO against Miguel Baeza in Round 3 in Nov. 2021. He has ended up going the distance in 4 of his past 5 fights, though.

Harris tapped out Jeremiah Wells in Round 3 last time out on the Sandhagen-Font card in Aug. 2023. He has won 4 of his 5 fights since arriving at the UFC, with 4 of the 5 fights ending in either KO/TKO or submissions. He won by unanimous decision against Jared Gooden in his only fight to go the distance with the company.

Williams has a slight 1-inch reach edge, and he has a tremendous 5.77-to-2.93 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Harris is much more accurate with those strikes, however, landing 62.01%, while Williams is more of a flailer, landing just 42.60% of his significant strikes. Harris also has a 0.82 submission average.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 241: Williams vs. Harris odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Williams -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Harris +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -160 | Under +120)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -250)

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UFC Fight Night 241: Williams vs. Harris picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

WILLIAMS (-135) is a veteran worth backing. While Harris (+110) has some impressive stats, outside of the Gooden fight, which ended up going the distance, his opponent list hasn’t been terribly impressive.

Williams has wowed the judges with his technique and skill, with 2 of his past 3 victories coming via unanimous decision. And 4 of his past 5 fights have been decided by the judges, so if you like Williams to win, you should like him to get it done by decision, too.

WILLIAMS BY DECISION (+550), for a chance to multiply up by 5½ times, is too tempting to pass up.

Over/Under (O/U)

No: Will the fight go the distance? (-250) is a little on the expensive side, costing you more than 2½ times your potential return.

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-160) is a good play, though. Again, Williams has ended up going the distance in 4 of his past 5 fights. Harris hasn’t needed the help of the judges very often, but he hasn’t fought an experienced veteran like Williams, either.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC Fight Night 241: Edson Barboza vs. Lerone Murphy odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 241 odds between Edson Barboza vs. Lerone Murphy, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round featherweight bout in the main event, Edson Barboza and Lerone Murphy meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 241 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 99 and UFC Vegas 92 — at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 241: Barboza vs. Murphy odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 4 p.m. ET and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Records: Barboza (24-11-0) | Murphy (13-0-1)

Barboza takes the walk to the octagon with 2 straight victories over Billy Quarantillo and Sodiq Yusuff, with a 1st-round KO/TKO of Quarantillo. He has bounced back nicely after a pair of losses to Giga Chikadze and Bryce Mitchell.

Junior has ended up going the distance in just 2 of his past 5 fights, with the other 3 resulting in KO/TKOs, with 2 wins and a loss in those bouts.

Murphy has won 5 straight bouts since a draw against Zubaira Tukhugov in his company debut at UFC 242 back in Sept. 2019. He has ended up going the distance in 3 of his past 4 fights, including a unanimous-decision win over Josh Culibao last time out in July 2023.

Junior holds a slight 1½-inch reach advantage over Murphy, and he has a slight 4.18-to-3.65 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Murphy has been much more accurate with those strikes, however, landing 57.37% to just 46.02% for Barboza.

Murphy has done better work on the ground, too, posting a 1.29 takedown average and 0.86 submission average.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 241: Barboza vs. Murphy odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:37 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Barboza +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Murphy -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -160 | Under +120)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -110 | No -120)

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UFC Fight Night 241: Barboza vs. Murphy picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

MURPHY (-150) is an up-and-comer looking to move up the rankings in the featherweight division. A win over an aging, yet still dangerous Barboza (+125) would be quite a feather in the Briton’s cap.

Murphy has picked up 5 straight victories, including 3 via decision in the past 4 fights. The lone exception was a 2nd-round KO/TKO against Makwan Amirkhani at UFC 267.

Murphy is accurate with his strikes, and he does good work getting the fight to the mat, if needed, while posting a solid submission average.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 3.5 ROUNDS (-160) is worth a look, as this fight isn’t likely to see a quick ending. Barboza is starting to get a little long in the tooth, but he has good cardio, is smart, and won’t get himself into an untenable position.

Murphy has ended up going the distance in 2 straight, and 3 of the past 4 bouts, and he is unlikely to get a quick finish, either.

YES (-110): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is also worth a play and not a bad option for the conservative bettor who wants action on the fight, but doesn’t want to declare a winner.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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