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In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Giga Chikadze and Alex Caceres meet at UFC Fight Night 225 — also known as UFC Singapore — at Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang, Singapore, on Saturday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 225: Chikadze vs. Caceres odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
Records: Chikadze (14-3-0) | Caceres (21-13-0)
The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 5 a.m. ET, while the main card starts at 8 a.m. ET on ESPN+.
Chikadze suffered his first loss in 8 UFC fights last time out, falling to Calvin Kattar via unanimous decision in the main event of a fight night in mid-January 2022. He entered that bout with 3 consecutive KO/TKO wins, including a 3rd-round knockout of Edson Barboza in August 2021.
Caceres, a.k.a. “Bruce Leeroy”, has picked up wins in his past 2 bouts. He recorded a unanimous-decision victory over Daniel Pineda last time out in early June and dropped Julian Erosa in the 1st round in Dec. 2022, washing off the stink of a unanimous-decision loss to Sodiq Yusuff in mid-March 2022.
Chikadze holds a slight half-inch reach advantage, while Caceres owns a 4.16-to-4.05 significant strikes landed per minute edge. Caceres is also much more accurate with his strikes, landing 55.42% to just 43.96% for the favorite.
Caceres is also well ahead in the takedown categories, holding a 0.59-to-0.26 takedown average lead, while his takedown average percentage is 68.42% to just 33.33% for the Georgian. Bruce Leeroy also has a 0.73 submission average, while Chikadze comes in at 0.26.
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UFC Fight Night 225: Chikadze vs. Caceres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:08 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Chikadze -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Caceres +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -210 | Under +160)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -175 | No +130)
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UFC Fight Night 225: Chikadze vs. Caceres picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
CACERES (+200) is a tremendous value for the opportunity to double up with a victory.
Chikadze is an amazing competitor but he’s in for a difficult night against the very energetic and motivated Caceres. The challenger lands more strikes per minute, is much more accurate with said strikes and is slightly better in the ground game.
While the Georgian Chikadze does everything well and is more of an orthodox fighter, Caceres is a ball of energy and a little wild — but that also could help to catch the eye of the judges. As long as Caceres can weather an early storm and can get plenty of takedowns, I think he does enough to wow the judges in his favor.
METHOD OF VICTORY – 7-WAY: CACERES BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+450) is a huge value play for a chance to multiply up by 4 1/2 times, too.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES (-175): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a little on the expensive side, but not a bad play if you want some action and do not want to declare a winner in the bout.
This play comes with risk, as Chikadze has 3 stoppages in the past 4 bouts, although 5 of his 8 fights at the UFC have resulted in decisions.
As far as Caceres is concerned, he has 3 decisions in the past 5 bouts and 10 across his previous 16 outings.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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