UFC on ESPN 41 odds lines picks predictions best bets

UFC on ESPN 41: Nate Landwehr vs. David Onama odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 41 odds and lines between Nate Landwehr vs. David Onama, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a featherweight bout on the main card, Nate Landwehr and David Onama meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 41 at Pechanga Arena in San Diego, Calif. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 41 Landwehr vs. Onama odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The card can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 4 p.m. ET and the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET.

Landwehr has alternated wins and losses across his last 4 fights since making his UFC debut. He had a submission win over Ludovit Klein last time out in mid-October, and he also has a unanimous-decision victory over Darren Elkins to his ledger. He was knocked out in the 1st round in each of his losses by both Julian Erosa and Herbert Burns.

Onama has bounced back with a pair of wins over Garrett Armfield and Gabriel Benitez after losing his UFC debut against Mason Jones in late Oct. 2021. Both of his victories have finished inside the distance.

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UFC on ESPN 41 Landwehr vs. Onama odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Landwehr +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Onama -370 (bet $370 to win $100)
Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -165 | Under +120)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +165 | No -240)

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UFC on ESPN 41 Landwehr vs. Onama picks and predictions

Records: Landwehr (15-4-0) | Onama (10-1-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Onama (-370) will cost you over three and a half times your potential return, and that’s risky business, even against an inconsistent fighter such as Landwehr.

Onama, the Glory MMA & Fitness fighter hailing from Uganda, has a 2-inch reach advantage and holds a 1.09-to-0.54 takedown average. However, when he gets the victory, I am expecting it to come via knockout as Landwehr has been very susceptible to those. ONAMA BY TKO/KO (+110) is a much better play at plus money.

Over/Under (O/U)

Landwehr’s 2 losses at the UFC level have not only been via knockout but he has been dropped in the 1st round in each of the outings. As such, take a flier on UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS (+115) at plus money.

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UFC on ESPN 41: Marlon Vera vs. Dominick Cruz odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 41 odds and lines between Marlon Vera vs. Dominick Cruz, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a bantamweight bout in the main event, Marlon Vera and Dominick Cruz meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 41 at Pechanga Arena in San Diego, Calif. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 41 Vera vs. Cruz odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The card can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 4 p.m. ET and the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET.

Vera aims for his 4th consecutive victory. He posted a unanimous-decision (UD) win against Rob Font in a fight night main event in late April. Three of his last 4 outings have gone to the judges to decide a victor.

Cruz posted a UD victory against Pedro Munhoz at UFC 269 in December, and he has gone the distance in 5 of his last 6 bouts. He is aiming to get back in the championship picture and post a 3rd straight win since suffering a KO/TKO defeat in Round 2 against Henry Cejudo in a title fight at UFC 249 in May 2020.

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UFC on ESPN 41 Vera vs. Cruz odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:09 a.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Vera -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Cruz +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -180 | Under +130)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -170 | No +122)

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UFC on ESPN 41 Vera vs. Cruz picks and predictions

Records: Vera (19-7-1) | Cruz (24-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Vera (-240) takes the walk to the octagon searching for his 4th consecutive win. However, 2 of his last 3 victories have gone to the judges, so it’s a risky wager.

However, he does have a 2.5-inch reach advantage and holds a 4.33-to-3.82 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. In addition, the favorite has a 1.13 submission average to just 0.05 for Cruz.

For the method of victory, look to VERA BY POINTS (+150) for a much better value. Cruz has also gone the distance in 5 of his past 6 outings, so it’s a good bet.