Tag: UFC on ESPN+ 33 betting odds lines picks

UFC on ESPN+ 33: Ricardo Lamas vs. Bill Algeo odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 33 fight between Ricardo Lamas against Bill Algeo, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

The second match on Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 33 main card pits Ricardo Lamas against Bill Algeo in a featherweight bout at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 9 p.m. ET.

Want to place a bet on UFC on ESPN+ 33? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

Lamas (19-8) was originally set to square off with Ryan Hall, who was forced to withdraw due to injury. It doesn’t seem meant to be, as their previous fight was sacked due to the coronavirus. Maybe the third time will be a charm if they’re booked to face each other again.

Luckily for Lamas, Algeo (13-4) will step in with short notice to fill the void, making his UFC debut in the process. Algeo stands four inches taller than Lamas with a 2½-inch reach advantage. And while Algeo has posted a crazy 9.80 significant strikes landed per minute and 53.26 significant strike-accuracy percentage in the lower levels, he hasn’t faced an opponent of quality like Lamas.

Lamas can throw hands and stand toe-to-toe, but his preference will be to get the fight to the canvas. He has a 1.63 takedown average, and 32.0 takedown accuracy percentage with a 1.02 submission average.

Lamas is coming off a KO/TKO loss to Calvin Kattar on the UFC 238 card back on June 8, 2019, and to make matters worse he suffered a broken jaw in the setback. He was set to make his first appearance since the injury in May, but again it was scrapped. So, he’ll be itching to go against Algeo. Five of his past six fights have finished inside the distance with four KO/TKOs (2-2), and a submission win during the span.

Ricardo Lamas vs. Bill Algeo betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 4:40 a.m. ET.

Lamas (-323) is an overwhelming favorite over Algeo (+255), and rightly so. Lamas is the more seasoned fighter. Algeo throws a significant amount of punches, but isn’t terribly polished. It will be a quick fight which goes to the favorite.

Expect Lamas to polish Algeo off, so LAMAS BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+105) is a recommended play. This fight won’t be going the distance, so a bet on UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-134) is a pretty decent value.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Also see:

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 33: Alexa Grasso vs. Ji Yeon Kim odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 33 fight between Alexa Grasso and Ji Yeon Kim, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

A women’s flyweight bout between Alexa Grasso and Ji Yeon Kim is on Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 33 main card at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 9 p.m. ET.

Want to place a bet on UFC on ESPN+ 33? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

Grasso (11-3) might stand just 5-foot-5 while weighing in at 115 pounds, but she is a ball of fury. She enters this one just 3-3 across his past six bouts, but losses against Carla Esparza and Felice Herrig are nothing to be ashamed of, and she has impressive decision victories over Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Randa Markos during the span. While Grasso has been a bit inconsistent, alternating wins and losses across the past six bouts, one thing is rather certain, the fight will be long. Five of those outings have ended up being sent to the judges for a decision.

Kim (9-2-2) checks in with wins in three of the past four outings, including a KO/TKO over Nadia Kassem on the UFC 243 card Oct. 5, 2019. The loss was against Antonina Shevchenko, a unanimous decision, in The Ultimate Fighter 28 Finale.

Ji Yeon Kim vs. Alexa Grasso betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:25 p.m. ET.

KIM (+245) is actually quite an attractive underdog, perhaps the best one on the entire card. Grasso (-304) won’t knock Kim out, and is likely to stay on her heels trying to avoid the tremendous reach of the South Korean fighter. Kim has a six-inch reach advantage, and has plenty of punching power.

In fact, Kim on the 2-way line is already a nice value, but taking KIM BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+650) is an amazing price. Don’t go crazy, but a small-unit wager is certainly worth a shot. And if you’re not feeling Kim, but think this fight will be won by one of the fighters by knockout, bet the KO/TKO/DQ (+550) finish. Here you need not get specific on a winner, but can still fetch a rather handsome payoff if there is a knockout or disqualification by either fighter.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Also see:

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 33: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Ion Cutelaba odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 33 fight between Magomed Ankalaev and Ion Cutelaba, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 33 main card kicks off with Magomed Ankalaev and Ion Cutelaba. They’ll battle in a light heavyweight bout at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims begin at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+, , while the main card starts at 9 p.m. ET.

Ankalaev (13-1) looks for the same result as the last fight against Cutelaba (15-5), a first-round KO/TKO win in 38 seconds in Jacksonville, Fla., back on Feb. 29. The most exciting part of that bout might have been when the two needed to be separated before the fight even started.

These two were supposed to fight on the UFC 252 card, but the bout was pushed back after Cutelaba tested positive for COVID-19.

Three of the past four bouts for Ankalaev have ended via KO/TKO, with the Russian fighter on the winning side of all three. While he enters with a 5.29 to 3.46 disadvantage in significant strikes landed per minute, he is far more effective with a 56.88 to 39.56 significant strike-accuracy percentage. Seven of the past eight fights for Ankalaev have finished inside the distance, too.

Want to place a bet on UFC on ESPN+ 33? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

For Cutelaba, the 38-second knockout loss to Ankalaev was a tough one. He is still 3-2 across the past five outings, and all three of those wins were via knockout, too. This fight will definitely see a lot of fireworks early and often. Cutelaba has seen each of his past five fights finish inside the distance, with the three KO/TKO wins, the loss to Ankalaev, and a submission loss to Glover Teixeira on April 27, 2019.

Magomed Ankalaev vs. Ion Cutelaba betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 4:20 a.m. ET.

Ankalaev (-323) is the overwhelming favorite in this fight over Cutelaba (+255), and rightly so after his extremely rapid dismantling of the Moldovan in their last meeting. AVOID the moneyline, as you cannot justify risking over three times your potential return, and get more specific.

Look to ANKALAEV BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (-125) on the 5-way line for a nicer value with less risk, or ANKALAEV BY KO/TKO or DQ (-115) on the 7-way line for a slightly better value, although it might be worth the extra juice to include the potential submission, too. Cutelaba is returning from illness, and he was roughed up by Ankalaev last time out. That’s not a good combination.

In addition, this fight isn’t going to go anywhere close to the distance. However, betting NO (-286): Will the fight go the distance? is too expensive. Try and pinpoint the rounds. Pick two at plus-money, as even though you’re guaranteed to lose one, you’ll still end up ahead when it comes in. ROUND 2 (+310) and ROUND 3 (+600) are your best bets.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Also see:

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 33: Robbie Lawler vs. Neil Magny odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 33 fight between Robbie Lawler and Neil Magny, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

UFC on ESPN+ 33 co-main event features Robbie Lawler and Neil Magny in a welterweight bout Saturday at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 9 p.m. ET.

Lawler (28-14) has fallen on hard times, dropping three fights in a row since his last victory over Donald Cerrone July 29, 2017. “Ruthless” Robbie was once at the top of his division, and he successfully defended his title twice before a loss to Tyron Woodley July 30, 2016. Lawler has not been nearly the same fighter since, and it’s uncertain if he’ll be able to pull himself out of his current nosedive.

Magny (23-8) has won two straight unanimous decision fights, beating Li Jianliang March 7 and then Anthony Rocco Martin last time out on the UFC 250 card June 6. The “Haitian Sensation” is a rather impressive 14-4 across his past 18 fights since Feb. 1, 2014. Apparently back-to-back losses in 2013 really lit a fire under Magny as he hasn’t had two consecutive setbacks at the UFC level since, and has been a completely different fighter. Three of his past six fights have finished inside the distance, although two resulted in losses. He can be beaten via knockout and submission, which is something Lawler must try to find a way to do, because he isn’t likely to win on points.

Want to place a bet on UFC on ESPN+ 33? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

Robbie Lawler vs. Neil Magny betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:18 a.m. ET.

It’s actually hard to see Lawler (+200) fall this badly, as he was once one of the best fighters in all of UFC. Magny (-250) has been much more consistent lately, and is likely to win this fight, but you can’t risk this type of money with such a little return. Get more specific.

Four of Magny’s past five wins, and each of the past two bouts, have ended in unanimous decision. Target MAGNY BY DECISION (-121) on the 5-way line for method of victory.

I am not crazy about the round props here, as there is a lot of juice, but YES (-209): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is the way to go.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Also see:

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 33: Anthony Smith vs. Aleksandar Rakic odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 33 fight between Anthony Smith and Aleksandar Rakic, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

In the final co-main event, Anthony Smith and Aleksandar Rakic meet in a light heavyweight bout at UFC on ESPN+ 33 Saturday at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 9 p.m. ET.

Want to place a bet on UFC on ESPN+ 33? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

Smith (33-15) enters this fight with a two-inch reach disadvantage against his counterpart. It gets worse, as Rakic (12-2) also holds a 5.17 to 3.19 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and a 52.33 to 46.52 significant strikes-accuracy percentage.

Smith was dumped in a bout for the title at UFC 235 against Jon Jones, but bounced back with a win over Alexander Gustafsson June 1, 2019. However, he suffered a KO/TKO loss to Glover Teixeira in the main event May 13, 2020, falling in the fifth round. There is no shame losing to the likes of Jones and Teixeira, however. Rakic will be another strong opponent for the former top contender.

Rakic is an up-and-comer, but he was knocked off the rails a bit with a split-decision loss to Volkan Oezdemir last time out on Dec. 21, 2019. He had been 4-0 in his first four fights at the UFC level, including two KO/TKOs and a pair of unanimous decisions. In his 14 career professional fights, nine have ended via knockout with no losses. That’s his calling card.

Anthony Smith vs. Aleksandar Rakic betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:25 a.m. ET.

Rakic (-278) enters as the heavy favorite over Smith (+225). But you cannot risk nearly three times your potential return on Rakic, as Smith definitely owns the tools to make your night a poor one if he rises up with the upset.

I still think the favorite will be victorious, however, and it’s even-money betting RAKIC BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+100) on the 5-way line. That’s a much better play, with much less risk.

Another good bet, and you needn’t pick the exact winner, is just pinpointing the end of the fight. If you bet both ROUND 1 (+187) and ROUND 2 (+400), you can add to that bankroll. Yes, you’ll lose one of the bets, but as long as you win one, you’ll still be well ahead, especially if the fight ends in the second.

Lastly, a small-unit play on NO (-176): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? should be a safe play, and UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-143) is also worth a look, and is slightly less costly.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Also see:

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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